National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
2 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - - 4% 32% 64%
3 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 3% 25% 71%
3 ONIK Elijah T. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
5 KUMBLA Samarth - - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 BOROWIAK Arwen - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 HASHIMOTO Shoei - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
8 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
9 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 25% 72%
10 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
11 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
12 LO Conrad - - - 4% 22% 51% 24%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
14 SISINNI Riccardo - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
15 DI TOMMASO Alessio 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
16 OURSLER Jack - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
17 BAS Liam - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
18 HASSANIN Mohamed - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
19 LIN Youlong - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
20 MOHAMED Amir - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
21 MOHAMED Murad - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
22 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
23 WU Alexander - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
24 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
25 ROSE Ben 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
26 WANG Aaron - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
27 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
28 LEWIS Akhil 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
29 LIU Ethan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
30 FUKUDA Diego 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
31 TANG Owen S. 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
32 KIM Ryan Y. - 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1%
33 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
34 YU Jason 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
35 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
36 TIYA BIAYA K. - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
36 YANG Luao - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
36 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
39 LORENZO Alejandro 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% < 1% -
40 LEWIS Paul D. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
41 CANLAS Nathan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
42 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
43 CHEN Matthew 3% 16% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
44 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
45 LI Eric - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
46 TAN Aidan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
47 LEE Jacob J - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
48 WOO Christian 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
49 LYU Weiqiao Victor - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
50 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
51 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
52 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
53 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
54 LIN Michael - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
55 CO Dylan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
56 LIN James G. - 2% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
57 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
57 LU Royce 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
59 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
60 ZOBEL Eric H. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
61 ZHANG Yun Isaac 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
62 KLOTZ Isaiah 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
63 JIANG Owen - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
64 LIU Jinning 4% 20% 38% 30% 9% -
65 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
66 HUTH Jacob - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
67 MATSAKH Philip - - 2% 9% 29% 41% 20%
68 LI Bradley 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
69 SENIC Lucas - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
70 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - - 5% 24% 54% 17%
71 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
72 CHOI JIAN 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
73 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
74 STRUGAR Marcus A. 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% < 1% -
75 SIU Aiden - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
76 LEE Benjamin H. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
77 LO Preston 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
78 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
79 DINSAY Kristjan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
79 WYMAN Julian 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
81 HE Patrick 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
82 SUAREZ Adrian 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% - -
82 BORONTOV Pavel 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
84 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
85 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
86 GOOR Julian - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 17%
87 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
88 LEE Brendan - 3% 17% 37% 33% 8% 1%
89 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
90 GRIFFITH JACK - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 5%
91 YI William W. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
92 VAZQUEZ Zander 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
93 WUJASTYK Leon 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
94 MIN Eric 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
95 ZHAI Jeffrey 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% -
96 PARK Jason B. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
97 CHENG Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
98 WU Alber Y. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
99 DOCTOR Aidan L. 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
100 CULLIVAN Justice - - 3% 16% 40% 34% 7%
101 ROZALSKI Eli 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
102 CORTRIGHT Skipper 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
103 CHOI Ethan 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
104 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
105 SISINNI Leonardo 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
106 SEZER Kaya - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
107 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
108 WONG Adrian 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
108 LIN Xilong 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
110 AHN Jun - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
111 KIM Daniel Y. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
112 LI Toby Muhua - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
113 AKYAMAC Bora 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
114 SOTO Ulises G - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
115 SINGH Dayaal - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
115 HAN Changhee 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
117 JAIN Aditya - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
118 LING Eddie - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
119 RAUTUREAU Hugo 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
120 HUANG Jonathan 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
121 TANG Alexander L. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
122 LIU William 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
122 ZHANG Aaron 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
124 DERRICK Blake 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
125 CHEN Raymond - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
126 CHALUT Etienne 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
127 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
128 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
129 ZHANG Jacob 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
130 XU Andy P. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2% -
131 LE Jacob H. 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
132 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
133 CANO Marcos E. 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
134 LI Aaron 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
135 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
136 SIMA Congyu Josh 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
137 CHENG Logan 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
138 PARK Sky 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
139 DONG Richard 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
140 LIU Derek 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
140 KNIZHNIK David - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
140 MORA Johan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
143 PINCHENG Yao 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
144 XIE Buster 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
145 YAO Bradley 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
146 MYERS Dean 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% -
147 WANG Rory 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
148 ALONSO Vinicius 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
149 HAYES Stewart 10% 46% 34% 9% 1% - -
150 MA Andrew 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
151 FENG Michael 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
152 JAUME Andrei 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
152 GONG Benjamin 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
154 WONG Evan 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
155 MARTIN Darius 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
156 KIM Brian 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
156 SONG Noel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
158 TANG Albert 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
159 DIERKS Kian 1% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
160 QUINONES Diego A. 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
160 LI Arvin 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
162 PO Oliver 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
162 KLOSTERMANN Max 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
164 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
164 GUERRA Gabriel H. 3% 15% 31% 32% 17% 3%
166 ZENG Rick 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
167 LEE Christopher T. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
168 CHEN Nuo 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
169 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - < 1% 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
170 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
171 LEE Jonah 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
172 KRYLTSOV Michael 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
173 CHEN Junlin 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
174 LI Edison M. 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
175 YANG Andy H. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
175 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
177 SHENG Dalton 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
177 SHAPIRO Leon 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
179 KIM Aiden 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
180 MCISAAC Finn 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
181 BARMAKOV Bogdan 1% 11% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
182 MAO Lucas 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
183 NGUYEN Martin 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
184 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 68% 29% 3% - - - -
185 SHAO Eric 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
186 LEE Eugene 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
187 WU Alistair 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
188 SHAGIDANYAN German 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
189 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
190 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
191 CHONG Tristan 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
191 MARÍN MANRÍQUEZ Ángel Fernando 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
193 GRIFFIN John O. < 1% 6% 23% 40% 28% 3%
194 TANG August L. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
195 ASHIDA Tomoaki 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
195 CHO Xzander 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
197 ARIZA Abraham J. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
198 LIM Lance Jeremiah 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.