National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
2 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
3 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
5 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 BOROWIAK Arwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
7 HASHIMOTO Shoei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
8 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
11 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
12 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 14% 2%
14 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
15 DI TOMMASO Alessio 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
16 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
17 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
19 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
20 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
21 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
22 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 7%
23 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
24 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
25 ROSE Ben 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
26 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
27 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
28 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
29 LIU Ethan 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
30 FUKUDA Diego 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
31 TANG Owen S. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 1%
32 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
33 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
34 YU Jason 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3%
35 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
36 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
36 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
36 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
39 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% < 1% -
40 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
41 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
42 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
43 CHEN Matthew 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
44 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
45 LI Eric 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
46 TAN Aidan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
47 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
48 WOO Christian 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% -
49 LYU Weiqiao Victor 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
50 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
51 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
52 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
53 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
54 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
55 CO Dylan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
56 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 2%
57 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
57 LU Royce 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
59 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
60 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
61 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
62 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
63 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
64 LIU Jinning 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
65 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
66 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
67 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
68 LI Bradley 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
69 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
70 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 17%
71 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
72 CHOI JIAN 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
73 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
74 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% < 1% -
75 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
76 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
77 LO Preston 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
78 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
79 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
79 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
81 HE Patrick 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
82 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% - -
82 BORONTOV Pavel 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
84 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
85 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
86 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
87 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
88 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9% 1%
89 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
90 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 5%
91 YI William W. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
92 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
93 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
94 MIN Eric 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
95 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
96 PARK Jason B. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
97 CHENG Ethan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
98 WU Alber Y. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
99 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
100 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
101 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
102 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
103 CHOI Ethan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
104 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
105 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
106 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
107 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
108 WONG Adrian 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
108 LIN Xilong 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
110 AHN Jun 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
111 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
112 LI Toby Muhua 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
113 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
114 SOTO Ulises G 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
115 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
115 HAN Changhee 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
117 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
118 LING Eddie 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
119 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
120 HUANG Jonathan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
121 TANG Alexander L. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
122 LIU William 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
122 ZHANG Aaron 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
124 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
125 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 48% 14%
126 CHALUT Etienne 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
127 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
128 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
129 ZHANG Jacob 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
130 XU Andy P. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2% -
131 LE Jacob H. 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
132 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
133 CANO Marcos E. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
134 LI Aaron 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
135 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
136 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
137 CHENG Logan 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
138 PARK Sky 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
139 DONG Richard 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
140 LIU Derek 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 2% -
140 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
140 MORA Johan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
143 PINCHENG Yao 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
144 XIE Buster 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
145 YAO Bradley 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
146 MYERS Dean 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% -
147 WANG Rory 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
148 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
149 HAYES Stewart 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% - -
150 MA Andrew 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
151 FENG Michael 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
152 JAUME Andrei 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
152 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
154 WONG Evan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
155 MARTIN Darius 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
156 KIM Brian 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
156 SONG Noel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
158 TANG Albert 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
159 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
160 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
160 LI Arvin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
162 PO Oliver 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
162 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
164 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
164 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
166 ZENG Rick 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
167 LEE Christopher T. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
168 CHEN Nuo 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
169 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
170 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 91% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
171 LEE Jonah 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
172 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
173 CHEN Junlin 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
174 LI Edison M. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
175 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
175 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
177 SHENG Dalton 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1% -
177 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
179 KIM Aiden 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
180 MCISAAC Finn 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
181 BARMAKOV Bogdan 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
182 MAO Lucas 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
183 NGUYEN Martin 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
184 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 32% 3% - - - -
185 SHAO Eric 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
186 LEE Eugene 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
187 WU Alistair 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
188 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
189 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
190 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
191 CHONG Tristan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
191 MARÍN MANRÍQUEZ Ángel Fernando 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
193 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 3%
194 TANG August L. 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
195 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
195 CHO Xzander 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
197 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
198 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.