Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 13%
2 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
3 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
5 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
7 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
8 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
9 SILVER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
9 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 KOBI Samuel 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
12 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
13 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
14 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
15 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
16 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
17 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
18 GUI Runlin 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
19 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
20 CHONG Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
21 KIM William M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
22 WU Joseph 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
23 KOKENGE Reid 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
24 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
25 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
27 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
28 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
29 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
30 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
31 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
32 KUMAR Aidan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
33 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
34 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
35 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
36 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
37 KIM Tei D. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
37 EKE Frank 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
39 LEE Noah 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
40 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
41 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
42 RICHARD Owen 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
43 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
44 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
45 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
46 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
47 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
48 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
49 SHEN Max 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
50 WU Jonathan 100% 95% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
51 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
52 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
53 KIM Byung 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
54 SPRINGER Michael 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
55 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
56 GAO Daniel 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3%
57 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
58 BOYNTON Zachariah (Zach) G. 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
59 HE Lawrence 100% 94% 67% 25% 3% -
60 GERSEN Jacob 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
61 PAN Colin 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
62 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
63 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
64 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
65 DIPAOLA Steven M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
66 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
67 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
68 JENNINGS Adin 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
69 SKAALAND Will 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
70 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
71 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
72 CHOE Andrew 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
73 MISHIMA Torata 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
74 MATEI Daniel 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
75 CHOI Mason 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
76 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 98% 77% 38% 11% 1% -
77 LEE Hudson 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
78 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
79 LI Jalen 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
80 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
81 LUO Peter 100% 38% 6% - - - -
82 PHO Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
83 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
84 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
85 GONG Haixiang 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
86 ZENG Zihan 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
86 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
86 PARK Nicholas 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
89 LUO Aaron 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
90 ZHANG William 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% - -
91 WANG Yi Nan 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
92 PARK Brian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
93 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
94 NOP Will H. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
95 QI Terry 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
96 CHEN Brian 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
97 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 38% 6% - - - -
98 PATEL Pratik 100% 85% 41% 5% - - -
99 CHU Wenxi 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.