November NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, November 12, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
2 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
6 SZABO Domonkos 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
7 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
8 YAN yuheng 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
9 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
10 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
11 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
12 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
13 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
14 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
15 LEE Alexander G. 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1%
16 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
17 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
18 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 8% < 1%
19 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
20 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
21 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
22 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
23 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
24 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
25 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
26 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 94% 64% 22% 3%
27 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
28 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
29 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
30 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
31 HUANG Zijin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
32 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
33 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
34 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
35 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
36 PARKER Riley D. 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
37 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
38 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
39 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
40 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
41 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
42 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
43 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
44 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
45 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
46 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
47 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
48 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
49 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
50 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
51 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
52 GUO Joe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
53 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
54 CASTLE Aaron 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
55 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
56 PARK Brian 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
57 SANTORO Marcus M. 100% 72% 16% 1% - -
57 CHUNG Thomas 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
59 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
60 POCSVEILER Magor 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
61 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
61 SHIV Rishi 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
63 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
64 MORGAN Cooper 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
65 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
66 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
67 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
68 HERBEL Micah O. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
69 HANRATTY Liam 100% 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% -
70 HA Daniel 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 2% -
71 JACKSON James 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
72 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% -
73 ZHU Max 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
74 USHER Alexander 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
75 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
76 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
77 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
78 LIANG Aaron 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
79 HERMANSON David B. 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% - -
80 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
81 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
82 MOHEBI Saam 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
83 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 98% 74% 28% 5% - -
84 LEONE Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
85 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
86 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 3%
87 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
88 WONG Daniel 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
89 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
90 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
91 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
92 PICK Ian 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
94 DENNIS Ethan 100% 63% 13% 1% - - -
95 GALIS Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
96 GALLANT Antoine 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
97 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
98 YOUNG Jr Colby 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
99 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 59% 12% 1% - - -
100 DYER Ian E. 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
101 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
102 DIB Aaniss 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
103 LOU Kevin 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
104 NICHOLS JR Cortez 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
105 PAI Nandan K. 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
105 RYAN Seth C. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.