Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Dylan J. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
2 PRIHODKO Max - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
3 DENNIS Ethan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
5 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
6 LI Jalen 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
7 MURPHY Thomas P. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
8 SPINA Joseph B. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
9 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
10 GALLO James - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
11 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
12 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
13 JUN Jaywu - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
14 TREBON Hayden 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
15 LOISEAU Eliott 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
16 XIANG Hongyi 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
17 LEHR William D. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
18 MAHESH Tarun - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 7%
19 WANG Maxwell L. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
20 KIM Ian 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
21 SAVORETTI Francesco - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
22 NORMAN Christian - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
23 HEIM Bryce - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
24 LO Jake - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
25 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
26 SPITTLE Jake - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
27 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
28 ROLLO Emmett H. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
29 PAHLAVI Kamran - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
30 GAO Chaney C. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
31 PAK Elliot 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
32 DAVIS Jonah 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
33 HE Zhiheng - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
34 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
35 SHEN Max - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
36 ULINICH Alexander 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
37 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
38 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
39 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
40 NORTH Alexander M. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
41 WANG Trontour 1% 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% -
42 ZHENG Alan H. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
43 CROSSMAN Brandon 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
44 WANG Tristan - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
45 FERNANDEZ Santiago Martin - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
46 PARK Frederick - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
47 NGUYEN Tate 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 HEADRICK Lance 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
49 HU Anton 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
50 MING Nathan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
51 LIU Felix 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
52 ZHU Eric 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
53 WEI Michael 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
54 MCADOO Declan 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
55 LIU Dylan Y. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
55 JORDAN Anton - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
57 CHEN Jun Ho - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
58 GORTI Agustya 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
59 LIN Harrison 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
60 LEE JoonWon 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
61 LI Zachary 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
62 SHA Michael 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
63 STCLAIR Jake 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
64 KOYFMAN Benjamin 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
65 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
66 KIM Byung - 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
67 LAI Aedin - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
68 HARR Carver - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
69 AHMED saheer - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
70 CHAI Jonathan - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
71 XIAO Andrew - 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
72 REDDY Arya 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
73 XU Alex - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
74 PARK Nicholas 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
74 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
76 ZENG Zihan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
77 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
78 SCHARF Ryan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
79 WATT Darren 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
80 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
81 WEAVER Neil - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
82 DU SHUNYU K. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
83 GAO Zachary 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2%
84 BERNARD Jack B. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
85 YU Hunter 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
86 KIM Sullivan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
87 WOLFSOHN Peleg 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
88 GARRISON Andrew T. - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
89 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
90 FENG du 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
91 TORRES Gianni 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
92 ALVIOR Jacob A. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
93 SILVERS Ari 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
94 EVERS Gabriel 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
95 BRUSKOTTER Reiland - 3% 13% 29% 34% 19% 4%
96 ROTHKA Spencer J. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
97 BROWN Jacob (Jake) G. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 1%
98 JEON Hwidong 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
99 SANTOS Antonio K. 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
99 GLENNON Sebastian J. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
101 NA Larry 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
102 SONG Troy 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
103 TORRES Nicolas - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
104 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
105 LIU Noah 8% 35% 36% 17% 4% - -
106 FAN Beichen 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
107 RACHEL Dylan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
108 FU Leon 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
109 LIN Kason 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
110 ZHANG Eric 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
111 DILLE Jackson K. 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
112 CHRISTENSEN Parker 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
113 SANTOS Felipe 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
114 TAM Ethan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
115 STETSON Jahaan 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
116 CHUNG Joshua 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
117 XIE Brandon 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
118 HANNON Owen 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
119 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
120 SARIKONDA Akhil 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
121 KNUDSEN Travis 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
122 PARCELEWICZ John M. 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
123 QUITORIANO Jonathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
124 OSTIGUY Cameron 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
125 CHOI Aleksey - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
126 MA Bochen < 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
127 CHANG Shane 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
128 FUSSMAN Yuval 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
129 VACCARO Dominick J. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
130 GULLO Kenji Y. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
131 JUNG Elliot 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
132 SINHA Zaan 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
133 SANTOS Francisco M. 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
134 HU Robert J. 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
135 BYARS John 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
136 PAN Colin 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
137 RICHARDSON Ray 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
138 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
139 WANG Aidan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
140 LOMIO Nicholas A. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
141 WU Marcus 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
142 CLICK Tristan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
143 PENG Gregory 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
144 MILLER Jonathan 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
145 HAN Ethan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
146 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
147 MENDOZA Zander 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
148 KIRSCH Adam J. 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
149 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
150 PAK Joel 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
151 EVANS Grant < 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
152 LI Jeffrey 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
152 ZHAO Zidong 70% 26% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.