Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
2 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
3 DENNIS Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
5 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
6 LI Jalen 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
7 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
8 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
9 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
10 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
11 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
12 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
13 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
14 TREBON Hayden 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
15 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
16 XIANG Hongyi 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
17 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
18 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
19 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
20 KIM Ian 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
21 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
22 NORMAN Christian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
23 HEIM Bryce 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
24 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
25 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
26 SPITTLE Jake 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
27 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
28 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
29 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
30 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
31 PAK Elliot 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
32 DAVIS Jonah 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
33 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
34 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
35 SHEN Max 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
36 ULINICH Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
37 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
38 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
39 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
40 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
41 WANG Trontour 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
42 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
43 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
44 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
45 FERNANDEZ Santiago Martin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
46 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
47 NGUYEN Tate 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
48 HEADRICK Lance 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
49 HU Anton 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
50 MING Nathan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
51 LIU Felix 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
52 ZHU Eric 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
53 WEI Michael 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
54 MCADOO Declan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
55 LIU Dylan Y. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
55 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
57 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
58 GORTI Agustya 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
59 LIN Harrison 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
60 LEE JoonWon 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
61 LI Zachary 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
62 SHA Michael 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
63 STCLAIR Jake 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
64 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
65 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
66 KIM Byung 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11%
67 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
68 HARR Carver 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
69 AHMED saheer 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
70 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
71 XIAO Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
72 REDDY Arya 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
73 XU Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
74 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
74 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
76 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
77 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1%
78 SCHARF Ryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
79 WATT Darren 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
80 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
81 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
82 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
83 GAO Zachary 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
84 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
85 YU Hunter 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
86 KIM Sullivan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
87 WOLFSOHN Peleg 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
88 GARRISON Andrew T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
89 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
90 FENG du 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
91 TORRES Gianni 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
92 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
93 SILVERS Ari 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
94 EVERS Gabriel 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
95 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
96 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
97 BROWN Jacob (Jake) G. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
98 JEON Hwidong 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
99 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
99 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
101 NA Larry 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
102 SONG Troy 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
103 TORRES Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
104 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
105 LIU Noah 100% 92% 57% 21% 4% - -
106 FAN Beichen 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
107 RACHEL Dylan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
108 FU Leon 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
109 LIN Kason 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
110 ZHANG Eric 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
111 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
112 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
113 SANTOS Felipe 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
114 TAM Ethan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
115 STETSON Jahaan 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
116 CHUNG Joshua 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
117 XIE Brandon 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
118 HANNON Owen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
119 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
120 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
121 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
122 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
123 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
124 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
125 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
126 MA Bochen 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
127 CHANG Shane 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
128 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
129 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
130 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
131 JUNG Elliot 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
132 SINHA Zaan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
133 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
134 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
135 BYARS John 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
136 PAN Colin 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
137 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
138 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
139 WANG Aidan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
140 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
141 WU Marcus 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
142 CLICK Tristan 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
143 PENG Gregory 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
144 MILLER Jonathan 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
145 HAN Ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
146 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
147 MENDOZA Zander 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
148 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
149 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
150 PAK Joel 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
151 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
152 LI Jeffrey 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
152 ZHAO Zidong 100% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.