January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
3 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 2%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
6 CHEN Yi-Tung 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 54% 28% 9% 2%
7 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
8 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 55% 29% 11% 3% - -
9 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
10 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
11 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
13 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
14 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
15 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 58% 30% 9% 1%
16 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
17 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
18 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
19 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 26% 9% 2% -
20 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 50% 24% 8% 1% -
21 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
22 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
23 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 53% 26% 8% 2% - -
24 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
25 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 49% 23% 7% 1% -
26 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 49% 22% 5% -
27 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 35% 13% 2% -
28 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
29 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
30 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
31 CERVANTES Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 73% 48% 22% 6% 1%
32 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 32% 12% 3% - -
33 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
34 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
35 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 25% 8% 1%
36 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
37 OURSLER Jack 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
38 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
39 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 34% 12% 2% -
40 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 58% 26% 5%
41 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 54% 29% 11% 2% - -
42 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 22% 7% 1% -
43 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 33% 12% 2% -
44 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 66% 41% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
45 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 55% 24% 5%
46 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 45% 21% 7% 1% - -
47 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 46% 20% 5% -
48 LYU Weiqiao Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 53% 27% 10% 2% - - -
49 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 37%
50 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 53% 27% 10% 2% - - -
51 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% -
52 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 61% 36% 17% 5% 1% - -
52 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - -
54 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 51% 20% 3%
55 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 62% 36% 15% 4% 1% - -
56 LO Conrad 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
57 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 41% 17% 4% 1% -
58 GOOR Julian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
59 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 57% 27% 7% 1%
60 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 27% 9% 2% -
61 LI Richard 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
62 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 73% 45% 20% 6% 1% - - -
63 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
64 LEE Chris 100% 98% 90% 69% 41% 18% 6% 1% - - - - -
65 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - -
66 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
67 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 14% 4% - -
68 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - -
69 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 42% 18% 5% 1% - -
70 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 40% 16% 3% -
70 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 61% 36% 16% 5% 1% - - -
72 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 47% 22% 7% 1% -
73 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - -
74 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 37% 14% 4% - -
75 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% - -
76 YOONG Hans 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% - -
77 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 97% 87% 68% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
78 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 31% 12% 3% - -
79 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 28% 11% 3% - - -
79 JI Aidan Y. 100% 99% 93% 75% 48% 22% 7% 2% - - - - -
81 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 98% 88% 64% 36% 14% 4% 1% - - -
82 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
83 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 27% 10% 2% -
84 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 58% 28% 7% -
85 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 97% 84% 58% 29% 10% 2% - - - - -
86 WOO Christian 100% 99% 91% 70% 41% 17% 5% 1% - - - -
87 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 32% 13% 3% 1% - -
88 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
89 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 50% 27% 11% 3% 1% - -
90 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - -
91 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 93% 75% 46% 20% 6% 1% - - - -
92 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 97% 87% 65% 38% 16% 5% 1% - - - -
93 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
94 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 27% 10% 3% - - -
95 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 22% 7% 2% - -
96 OH SEAN 100% 99% 95% 80% 55% 29% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
97 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 39% 16% 5% 1% -
98 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
99 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
100 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
101 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
102 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
103 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
103 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
105 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
106 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
107 SONG Bryan 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
108 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
109 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
109 LI Wangjie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
111 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
112 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
113 BING Charles 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
114 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
115 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
116 HAINES Ethan 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
117 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
117 HE Xiangrui 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
119 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
120 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
121 LU Yikai 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% - -
122 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
122 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
124 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
125 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
126 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
127 CAO Leon M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
127 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
129 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
130 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
131 WU Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
132 CANLAS Nathan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
133 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
133 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
135 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
136 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
137 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
138 YANG Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
138 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
140 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
141 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
142 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
142 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
144 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
145 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
146 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
147 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
147 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
149 CANO Marcos E. 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
150 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
151 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
152 KEE Andrew L. 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
153 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
154 LIN Michael 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
155 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 99% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
156 LEWIS Akhil 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
157 LI Matthew 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
158 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
159 JAIN Aditya 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
160 DU Samuel R. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
161 CHENG Jonathan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
162 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
163 LI Edward 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
164 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
165 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
166 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
166 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
168 LEE Jacob 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
169 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
170 WONG Adrian 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
171 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
172 MOHAMED Murad 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
173 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
174 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
175 LI Eric 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
176 JIANG Owen 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
177 PO Oliver 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
178 DEGROOT Blake 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
179 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
179 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
181 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
182 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 1%
183 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
184 WONG Garrick G. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
185 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
185 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
187 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
187 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
189 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
190 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
191 BURBERRY Alan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
192 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
193 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
194 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
195 WU Alexander 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
196 TANG Owen S. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
196 HSIUNG Richie 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
198 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 63% 17% 2% - -
199 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
200 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
201 REYES Omar 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
202 HOWELL Ryan L. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
203 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
204 TSAO Lukas 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
205 MYERS Dean 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
206 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
207 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
207 ORR Spencer 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
209 HU Robin 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
210 FINLEY Dylan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
211 DETERING Julian 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
212 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
213 OLSON Pel R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
214 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
215 SAGE Michael P. 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
216 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
217 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
218 LEVESQUE Louis 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
219 YOON DYLAN 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
220 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
221 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
221 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
223 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
224 CHAN Matthew 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
225 TANG August L. 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
226 TANG Albert 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
227 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
227 LANG Dong Lin 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
227 UPTON Craig 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
230 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
231 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
231 ROSE Ben 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
233 ZHAO Bowen 100% 40% 7% - - -
234 PARK Jason B. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
235 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 98% 82% 46% 16% 3% -
236 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
237 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
238 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
239 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
240 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
241 TAN Christien 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
241 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
241 MCISAAC Finn 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
244 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
244 JAUME Andrei 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
246 MURRAY Maximo 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
246 YAP Nathan 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
248 KIM Aiden 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
249 KANAR Ian 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
250 LEWIS Jared 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
251 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 97% 80% 46% 17% 3% -
252 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
252 DORE Davis 100% 88% 49% 15% 3% - -
254 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
255 WONG Antonio 100% 73% 24% 4% - -
256 MCCORD Clark 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
257 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
258 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
258 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
258 REEVES Liam 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
261 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 30% 4% - - - -
261 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
263 BOUIE Jacob 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% -
264 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
264 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
266 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
267 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 2% -
268 FLYNN Ian 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
269 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
270 GNEUHS Sam 100% 30% 4% - - - -
271 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
272 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
272 IVANENKO Alex 100% 23% 2% - - - -
274 KUSHNIR Aden N. 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
275 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 50% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.