March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 HE Kaixuan - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
5 KATS Dylan G. - - - - 2% 20% 79%
6 WOLFE Alex - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
7 YUE Hongrui - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
8 LO Jake - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
9 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 ZHENG Andy - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
11 SILVERS Ari - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
12 DODIN David - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
13 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
14 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
15 WANG justin - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
16 LAM Alan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
17 KIM Nathan - - - - 5% 29% 66%
18 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
18 SHAN Junzhe - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
20 MAO Benjamin - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
21 SCHIEK Harrison - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
22 RICHARD silas - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 6%
23 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
24 LOISEAU Eliott - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
24 ROMANOV Ethan - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
26 WANG zhixing (Daniel） - - - 3% 18% 45% 33%
27 MULCAHY Olaf - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
28 ZHENG Jerry - 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
29 SHCHUR Landon - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
30 KIM Ian - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
31 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
32 CARDENAS Lucas - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
33 ZI QIN Shang - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
34 CORTRIGHT Caedmon - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
35 FU Leon - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
36 IARIKOV Nicholas - - - - 3% 25% 72%
37 LEE JiYuen - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
38 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
38 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
40 NAKAS Levent - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
41 MEN Junda - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
42 TANG William - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
43 LIU Yikun - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
44 CHEN Bailey - - 1% 9% 41% 40% 10%
45 WEGENER Soren - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
46 BOUDREAUX James - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
47 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
48 FANG Hanning - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
49 HAMZA Tudor - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
50 JIANG ryan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
51 BRODSKY Julian - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
52 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - 7% 36% 44% 13%
53 YU Austin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
54 VINOTH Aaron - 1% 7% 23% 39% 27% 3%
54 ALABI Tobi - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
56 ZAHRAN Aiden 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
57 LU Jacob - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
58 ZIEGLER John - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
59 CHOI Zachary - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
60 HEADRICK Lance - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
61 YANG Boyan - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
62 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
63 SOKOL Luke 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
64 XIA Dashan 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
65 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
66 CHEN Brian - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
67 LI Zachary - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
68 TIKHONOV Iliya - - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
69 LAI Boden - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
70 DONDISCH ilan - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
71 KENT V David - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
72 MIDYANY Evan 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
73 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
74 CHENG Trevor 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
75 TRULL A.J. 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 4%
75 DAN Rex - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
77 NOFZIGER Bennett 3% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1%
78 ZHAO Zidong - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
79 BAXTER Max 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 7% -
80 KUGLER Luke 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
81 GINZBURG Adam - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
81 LEE Jayden J. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
83 MITEV Alexander - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
84 MIAO KUNQI - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
85 MODANLOU Navid 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% 1%
86 NAEMI Barsam - 7% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1%
87 SHILOV Maxim 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
88 ALI Farhan - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
89 KIM Teddy 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
90 LEE DoWon 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
91 SINGLETON Aman 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
92 CHIN Dylan A. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
93 PETROVICH Alexandar 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
94 SAUNIER Cameron 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
95 JAIN Samyak 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
96 PARK Sangwook - - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6%
97 LI Samuel - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
98 RUBIN Daniel - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
99 TIKHONOV Daniel - 2% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
100 SAVORETTI Pietro - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
101 XIONG Aaron - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
102 HU Anton - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
103 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 4% 21% 39% 27% 7% -
104 BORISENKO Samuel 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
105 CHUNG Andrew 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
106 DONG Haiyi - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
107 LI Ethan R. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
108 WANG Joey - 1% 7% 27% 41% 23% 2%
109 HEADRICK Jack 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
110 SONG Troy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
111 RAHMAN Yousef 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
112 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
113 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
114 DADE MAXIMUS 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
115 LI zerong 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
116 CHEN Bowen 8% 28% 36% 21% 7% 1% -
117 GONZALEZ Kian 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
118 ATKINS Levi H. - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
119 FRANGER Max 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% -
120 MAK Tin Ho 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
121 OBERDERFER Vladimir 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
122 GRAMMATIKOV Michael - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
123 LEE Inwoo - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 2%
124 MILEY Walker 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
125 SINGH Ravin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
126 LIU Adam 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
127 WU Johnny y. 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
128 REID Wesley 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
129 LIU Josh 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
130 KIM Jayden - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
131 LAU Alex 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
132 CHEN Leonardo 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
133 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
134 KARIMOV Amir 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
135 VAN VACTER Thomas 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
136 WILLIAMS Logan 5% 33% 45% 15% 1% - -
137 HUANG Kenneth - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
138 TAI Edison - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
139 GOROZA Eric 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
140 KIM Minjae - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
141 CHOU Benson 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
142 VYSOTSKIY Evan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
143 YI Nathan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
144 TSE Maxwell 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
145 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
146 LEE Damien 1% 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
147 LI Tristan 1% 16% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
148 AHN EZRA 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
149 MULDOON Thomas 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
150 WANG Devin 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
151 AYOTTE James 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
152 KROPP Wesley 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
153 LOISEAU Oscar 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% 1%
154 MAXU Tiger 4% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
155 MEHROTRA Neel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
156 KUANG Bryan 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
157 LIU Yueri 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
158 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 3% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
159 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
160 ARMSTRONG TyLee 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
160 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
160 LIPPMAN Jake 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
163 PATCHETT Bennett 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
164 CZEPLA Andrew 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
165 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
166 HERNDON Liam 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
167 BAKKEN Archer 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
167 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
167 CARTY JR Johndale - 1% 8% 24% 39% 26% 3%
170 FENG Shang 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
170 MASSE Jack 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
172 MOORE Alexander - 6% 29% 48% 15% 2% -
173 KE Sebastian 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
174 YANG Gary 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
175 CAFASSO Alexander 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
176 KIM Alexander 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
177 DODDAPANENI Aarav 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
178 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
178 SUN Steve 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
180 YAO Tristan 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
181 KIM Joshua 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
182 YAO Chung Pan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
183 RAHMAN Ali 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
184 FENG Ethan 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
185 RAHMAN Zayd 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
186 KANG Eunchan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
187 YAN Eric 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
188 TESFAYE Elias 7% 36% 44% 12% 1% - -
189 BRADSHAW Carter 2% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
190 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
191 QIAN Irvine 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
192 TANG Zheng 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
193 LEE Aiden 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
194 DECKER Hunter 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
195 GUO Woody 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
196 MA Ryan 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
197 WONG Baron 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
198 FU Adrian 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
199 MANGAN Hunter 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
200 MARTINEZ Kenneth 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
201 ZHAO Colin 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
202 VEERAVALLI Vivek 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
203 MA Ciel 11% 43% 37% 9% 1% - -
204 SHCHUR Grayson 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
205 PAN Anthony 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
206 SHEN Jiayi 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
206 YU Max 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
208 CHEN Aiden 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
209 WU Steven 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
210 LYCHKO Maksym 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
211 LI Timothy 57% 36% 7% - - - -
212 PENG Yue 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
213 KABANOV Gleb 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
214 CHEN Isaac Zhi 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
215 RODOCANACHI Hector 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% -
216 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
217 WANG aaron 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
218 POHL Philip 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
219 SHAFFER Tyler 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
220 GUO Lucas 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
221 MARTINEZ Gabriel 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
222 MAZAHERI Fletcher 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
223 PEREZ Daniel 69% 28% 3% - - - -
223 FENG Xinmin 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
225 SIM Ian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
226 HUANG Max 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
227 BO Genero 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
227 SHERLOCK Roderick 75% 23% 3% - - - -
229 OLSON Joseph 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
229 KIM Remington 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
229 TUMULA Arihaan 11% 45% 37% 7% 1% - -
229 LESCURE Dimitri 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
233 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
234 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 62% 32% 6% 1% - -
234 SUN Marco 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
236 SUN Neo 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
237 LEE Daniel 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
238 NGUYEN Ethan 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
239 QIU William 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.