March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
5 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
7 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
8 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
9 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
11 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
12 DODIN David 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
13 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
14 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
15 WANG justin 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
16 LAM Alan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
17 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
18 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
20 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
21 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
22 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
23 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
24 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
24 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
26 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
27 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
28 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
29 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
30 KIM Ian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
31 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
32 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
33 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
34 CORTRIGHT Caedmon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
35 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
36 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
37 LEE JiYuen 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
38 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
38 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
40 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
41 MEN Junda 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
42 TANG William 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
43 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
44 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 10%
45 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
46 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
47 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
48 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 4%
49 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
50 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
51 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
52 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57% 13%
53 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
54 VINOTH Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
54 ALABI Tobi 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
56 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6% -
57 LU Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
58 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
59 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
60 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
61 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
62 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
63 SOKOL Luke 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
64 XIA Dashan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
65 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
66 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
67 LI Zachary 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
68 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
69 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
70 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
71 KENT V David 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
72 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
73 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 21% 2%
74 CHENG Trevor 100% 99% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
75 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
75 DAN Rex 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
77 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
78 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 4%
79 BAXTER Max 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
80 KUGLER Luke 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
81 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
81 LEE Jayden J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
83 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
84 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
85 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
86 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
87 SHILOV Maxim 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 2% -
88 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
89 KIM Teddy 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
90 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% 1%
91 SINGLETON Aman 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
92 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
93 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
94 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
95 JAIN Samyak 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
96 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
97 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
98 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
99 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
100 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
101 XIONG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 1%
102 HU Anton 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
103 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% -
104 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
105 CHUNG Andrew 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
106 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
107 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
108 WANG Joey 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
109 HEADRICK Jack 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
110 SONG Troy 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
111 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
112 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
113 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
114 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
115 LI zerong 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
116 CHEN Bowen 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
117 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
118 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
119 FRANGER Max 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
120 MAK Tin Ho 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
121 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
122 GRAMMATIKOV Michael 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
123 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
124 MILEY Walker 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
125 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
126 LIU Adam 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
127 WU Johnny y. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
128 REID Wesley 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
129 LIU Josh 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
130 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
131 LAU Alex 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
132 CHEN Leonardo 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
133 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
134 KARIMOV Amir 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
135 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
136 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 95% 62% 17% 1% - -
137 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
138 TAI Edison 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
139 GOROZA Eric 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
140 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
141 CHOU Benson 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
142 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
143 YI Nathan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
144 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
145 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
146 LEE Damien 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
147 LI Tristan 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
148 AHN EZRA 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
149 MULDOON Thomas 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
150 WANG Devin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
151 AYOTTE James 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
152 KROPP Wesley 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
153 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
154 MAXU Tiger 100% 96% 68% 26% 5% -
155 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
156 KUANG Bryan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
157 LIU Yueri 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
158 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 97% 70% 29% 5% -
159 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
160 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
160 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
160 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
163 PATCHETT Bennett 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
164 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
165 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
166 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
167 BAKKEN Archer 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% - -
167 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
167 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 3%
170 FENG Shang 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
170 MASSE Jack 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
172 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 94% 64% 17% 2% -
173 KE Sebastian 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
174 YANG Gary 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
175 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
176 KIM Alexander 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
177 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
178 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
178 SUN Steve 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
180 YAO Tristan 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
181 KIM Joshua 100% 87% 47% 12% 2% - -
182 YAO Chung Pan 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
183 RAHMAN Ali 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4% -
184 FENG Ethan 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
185 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
186 KANG Eunchan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
187 YAN Eric 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
188 TESFAYE Elias 100% 93% 57% 14% 1% - -
189 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 98% 77% 38% 9% 1%
190 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
191 QIAN Irvine 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
192 TANG Zheng 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
193 LEE Aiden 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
194 DECKER Hunter 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
195 GUO Woody 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
196 MA Ryan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
197 WONG Baron 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
198 FU Adrian 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
199 MANGAN Hunter 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
200 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
201 ZHAO Colin 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
202 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
203 MA Ciel 100% 89% 47% 10% 1% - -
204 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
205 PAN Anthony 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
206 SHEN Jiayi 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
206 YU Max 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
208 CHEN Aiden 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
209 WU Steven 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
210 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
211 LI Timothy 100% 43% 7% - - - -
212 PENG Yue 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
213 KABANOV Gleb 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
214 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
215 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
216 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
217 WANG aaron 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
218 POHL Philip 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
219 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
220 GUO Lucas 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
221 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
222 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
223 PEREZ Daniel 100% 31% 4% - - - -
223 FENG Xinmin 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
225 SIM Ian 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
226 HUANG Max 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
227 BO Genero 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
227 SHERLOCK Roderick 100% 25% 3% - - - -
229 OLSON Joseph 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
229 KIM Remington 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
229 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 89% 44% 7% 1% - -
229 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
233 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
234 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
234 SUN Marco 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
236 SUN Neo 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
237 LEE Daniel 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
238 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
239 QIU William 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.