November NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, November 11, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
2 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
5 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
7 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
8 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
9 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
11 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
12 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
13 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
15 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
16 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
17 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
18 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
19 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
20 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
20 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
22 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
23 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
23 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
23 VOZOVIK Zakhar 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
26 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
27 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
28 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
29 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 2%
30 TAE William G. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
31 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
32 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
33 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
34 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
36 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
37 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
38 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
39 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
40 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% < 1%
41 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
42 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
43 GIBSON Dylan A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
44 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
45 XIAN Ryan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
46 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
47 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
48 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 3%
49 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
50 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
51 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
52 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
53 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
53 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
55 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
56 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
57 PLAISANCE Louis 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
58 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
59 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
60 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
61 MARKHAM Jimmy 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
62 ZHANG YuJian 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
63 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
64 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
65 YAO Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
66 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
67 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
68 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
69 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
70 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
71 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
72 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
73 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
74 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
75 WELLS Tommy R. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
76 JEONG Connor 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
77 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
78 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
79 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 16%
79 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
79 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
82 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
83 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
83 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
85 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
86 GUO Joe 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
87 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
88 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
88 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
90 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
91 JAMES Samuel 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
91 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
93 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
94 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
95 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
95 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
97 XIAO Zherui 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
98 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
99 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
100 KULIGOWSKI Bartosz 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
101 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
102 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
102 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 15%
104 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
105 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
105 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
107 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
108 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
109 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
110 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
111 ALAIMO Charles 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
112 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
113 DIB Aaniss 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
113 SHI Edric 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
115 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
116 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
117 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
118 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
119 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
120 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
121 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
122 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
123 ALTHARDT Michael W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
123 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
125 KIM William M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
126 LIANG Aaron 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
127 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
128 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
129 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
129 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
131 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
131 SMITH Jackson 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
133 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
134 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
135 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
136 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
137 CUMMINGS Kai W. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
138 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
139 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
139 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
141 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
142 KIM Alexander 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
143 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
144 LEE Shwan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
145 LENDER David 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
146 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
147 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
148 CHIN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
148 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
148 LEE Wesley Y. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
151 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
152 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1%
153 HERMANSON David B. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
154 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
155 JIN Alexander 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
156 LIU Frank 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
157 KROPP Jack 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
158 MUGA Boris 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
159 WANG William M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
160 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
161 SZABO Domonkos 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
162 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
163 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
164 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
165 MOHEBI Saam 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
166 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
166 MAENG Jake W. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
166 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
169 KIM Donghyeok 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
170 ZHU Max 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
170 KEMP Nicolas 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
172 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
173 GATZA Logan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
174 WANG Nathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
175 HANKINS Trace 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
176 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
176 MACKIN Samuel 100% 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
176 YAN yuheng 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
179 LAI Coby 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
180 KANG Philip F. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
181 TANG William 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
182 THOMAS Harris 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
182 SHOURIE Jai 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
184 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
185 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
185 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
187 WONG Joshua 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
188 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
189 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
190 DENNIS Ethan 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
191 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
192 YOON Nathan 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
193 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
194 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
195 CORRALES Nikolas 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
196 PRIHODKO Max 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
196 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
198 PARKER Riley D. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
199 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
200 KELSEY Ryan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
201 BURNHAM Charlie E. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
202 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
203 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
204 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
204 DYER Ian E. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
206 HANXU Richard A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
207 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
208 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
209 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
210 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
211 KIM PAUL 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
211 PARAKH Darayus 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
213 DIXON Samuel 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
214 HOLCOMB Wesley 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
215 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
215 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
217 GUI Runlin 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
218 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
219 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
219 KAJI Ty 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
221 SINGHA Orion 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
222 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
222 SOLTER Kai 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
224 LI Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
225 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
226 DIECK Logan O. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
227 LEHR William D. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
228 KOBI Samuel 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
229 BENDER Rhys T. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
229 JACKSON James 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
231 WEAVER Neil 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
232 JIN daniel 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
233 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
234 COMBS Colson 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
234 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
236 USHER Alexander 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
237 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
238 JUNG Alexander 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
239 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
240 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
241 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 88% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
242 WONG Daniel 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
243 TROAKE Henry R. 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
244 PARK Ian C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
245 CHYNOWETH Euan 100% 74% 30% 7% 1% - -
245 STRAUSS Luke 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
247 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
248 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
248 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
250 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
251 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
251 HA Daniel 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
253 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
253 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
253 HONG James 100% 74% 30% 7% 1% - -
256 HANRATTY Liam 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
257 SMITH Zane A. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
257 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
259 GINCE Loic 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
260 WADE Grayson 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
261 CHU Allan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
262 GARRETT Samuel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
262 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
264 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
264 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
266 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
267 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 100% 86% 47% 15% 3% - -
268 THOMPSON Chester 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
269 JOSEPH William 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
270 WU Joseph 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
271 CORDDRY Matthew 100% 10% - - - - -
272 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
273 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
274 MUN Chur-Yong 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
275 CHEN Austin 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
276 JANG Elliot 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
276 SALISBURY Cary 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
278 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
279 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
279 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
279 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
282 OH Matthew M. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
282 COLLINS Damase 100% 98% 54% 15% 2% - -
284 PETERSON Elliot F. 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
284 TAMHANKAR Neil 100% 15% 1% - - - -
286 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
287 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
288 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
289 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
290 ZHAO Luhan 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
291 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
291 THOMPSON Benjamin 100% 27% 3% - - - -
293 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
294 STANLEY Dominick 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
295 DUONG Enoch 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
295 YEH ZONGSIN 100% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.