October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
2 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
3 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
5 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
6 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
7 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
8 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
10 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
11 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
12 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
13 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
14 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
15 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
16 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
17 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
18 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
19 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
20 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
21 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 47% 12%
22 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
23 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
24 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
25 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 59% 30% 9% 1%
26 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 40% 16% 3% -
27 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 64% 37% 14% 3% -
28 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 14% 3% -
29 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
30 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
31 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
32 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
33 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
34 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 14% 3% < 1%
35 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
36 TOTUSEK Marek 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 47% 15%
37 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 31% 12% 3% 1% - - -
38 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
39 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 16% 4% - -
40 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% -
41 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 21% 6% 1%
42 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 53% 28% 10% 3% < 1% - -
43 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 39% 16% 4% -
44 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
45 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 33% 13% 3% - -
46 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 25% 7% 1% -
47 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 58% 31% 12% 3% - -
48 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - -
49 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 29% 10% 2% -
50 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 47% 23% 7% 2% - - -
51 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 36% 13% 2%
52 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 22% 6% 1% -
53 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 47% 22% 7% 1% -
54 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 73% 45% 20% 7% 1% - - - -
55 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 61% 35% 14% 3% -
56 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 22% 7% 1% -
57 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 28% 10% 3% - - -
58 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 96% 84% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% - - -
59 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 41% 14% 2%
60 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 69% 42% 17% 4% -
61 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 28% 11% 3% 1% - -
62 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
63 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 31% 13% 4% 1% - -
64 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
65 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
66 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
67 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - -
67 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 24% 8% 2% - -
69 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 96% 84% 60% 32% 13% 3% 1% - - -
70 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
71 KARBONOWSKI Kamil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 35% 12% 2% -
72 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 55% 28% 9% 1% -
73 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
73 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 58% 33% 13% 3% - -
73 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
76 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 25% 9% 2% - - - - -
77 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 56% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
78 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 51% 24% 7% 1% -
79 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 50% 26% 10% 3% - - -
80 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 45% 19% 5% 1% - - - - -
81 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 33% 13% 3% - -
82 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 98% 87% 62% 33% 12% 3% 1% - - - - -
83 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 37% 15% 4% -
84 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
85 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 13% 4% 1% - - -
86 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 44% 21% 7% 2% - -
87 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 60% 32% 12% 3% 1% - - -
88 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 40% 17% 5% 1% -
89 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 63% 34% 13% 3% - - -
90 PARK Jason B. 100% 98% 87% 62% 34% 13% 4% 1% - - - - -
91 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% - - -
92 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 96% 82% 58% 31% 12% 3% 1% - - -
92 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 55% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - -
94 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 55% 29% 11% 2% - -
95 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 66% 38% 16% 4% 1% - -
96 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 30% 11% 3% - - -
97 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 97% 86% 63% 35% 15% 5% 1% - - - - -
98 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
99 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
100 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
101 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
102 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
103 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
104 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
105 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
106 LI Edward 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
107 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
108 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
109 MOHAMED Amir 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
110 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
111 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
112 REYES Omar 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
113 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
114 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
115 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
116 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
117 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
118 LU Yikai 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
119 YU Jason 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
120 PO Oliver 100% 98% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
121 CANO Marcos E. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
122 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
123 WOO Christian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
124 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
125 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
125 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
127 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
127 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 94% 66% 21% 2%
129 HAN Changhee 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
130 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
130 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
132 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
133 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
133 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
135 LI Eric 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
136 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
136 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
136 LIN Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
139 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
140 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
141 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
142 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
143 LEE Chris 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
143 LIN James G. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
145 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
146 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
147 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
148 FUKUDA Diego 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
149 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
150 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
150 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
152 JITTAN daniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
153 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 2%
154 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
155 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
156 MYERS Dean 100% 93% 60% 19% 2% -
157 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
158 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
159 BALL James T. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
160 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
161 LING Eddie 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 3% -
162 WYMAN Julian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
163 GATZA Logan 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
164 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
165 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
166 DETERING Julian 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
167 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
168 MATSAKH Philip 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
169 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
170 AHN Jun 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
170 GAO Payton 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
172 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
173 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
173 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
175 JAUME Andrei 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
176 LANG Dong Lin 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
177 LEE Jonah 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
178 HU Robin 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% -
179 YAP Nathan 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
180 CHEN Boris 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
181 GORDON Jacob 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
182 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
183 WU Alistair 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
184 WU DING-JUN 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% - -
185 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
186 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
187 TANG Albert 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
188 GERVAIS Joel 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
189 KELLY Benjamin J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
189 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
189 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
192 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
193 TANG August L. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
193 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
195 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
196 ORR Spencer 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
197 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
198 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
199 DEGROOT Blake 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
200 BING Charles 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
201 SONG Noel 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% -
202 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
203 LEE Brendan 100% 57% 17% 2% - -
204 MURRAY Maximo 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
205 MOHAMED Murad 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
206 LEWIS Jared 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
207 CO Dylan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
208 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
209 JI Aidan Y. 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
210 OH SEAN 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
211 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
212 LONG Quinton R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
212 KIM Jackson 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
214 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
215 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
215 XIAO Bowen 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
217 GUTH Joseph 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
217 REYES Manuel A 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
217 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
220 JIANG Owen 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
220 EDISON Ansel 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
222 HAINES Ethan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
223 LE Jacob W. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
223 TAN Christien 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
225 RAJ Jay 100% 78% 32% 6% - - -
225 HE Xiangrui 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% 1%
227 GHAZALI Omer 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
228 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
229 WONG Antonio 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
230 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
231 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
232 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 89% 50% 16% 3% - -
232 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
232 LEVY Jacob 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
235 DUSZA Zachery 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
236 LEE Seungwon 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
237 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
238 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
239 WANG Mason 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
240 KANAR Ian 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
241 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
242 PETERSON Matthew 100% 28% 3% - - -
243 TRIPARI Jose G. 100% 91% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
243 LOVIN Vlad 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
245 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
246 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
247 IVANENKO Alex 100% 41% 7% - - - -
248 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.