October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
2 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
3 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
3 LEE Jacob J - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
5 CHEN Ziyuan - - - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 30% 20% 6%
6 BURKE Spencer W. - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
7 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
8 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 3% 11% 22% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - -
9 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 4% 28% 68%
10 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - - - 2% 9% 21% 31% 25% 10% 1%
11 KUMBLA Samarth - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
13 CHEN Andrew - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
14 SIU Aiden - - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 20% 10% 3% -
15 LEE Aidan - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
16 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
17 BANERJEE ANUP - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 28% 27% 14% 4% -
18 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
19 CULLIVAN Justice - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
20 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% < 1% -
21 TARASIEWICZ Maxime - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 9% 2% - -
22 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 29% 26% 12% 2%
23 CHEN Allen - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
24 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
25 KIM Yonjae - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
26 LI Richard - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
27 YU Vinni - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
28 ZHENG Alan H. - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 23% 23% 15% 7% 2% - -
29 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
29 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
31 LIN Michael - - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
32 BRUK Peter J. - - - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 2% -
33 DESERANNO Jeidus - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
34 LEWIS Akhil - - - 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 13% 4% 1% - -
35 GRAHAM Roy J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
36 BAS Liam - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
37 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% < 1% -
38 KAO Castor T. - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 29% 23% 10% 2%
39 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% 1% -
40 WOO Christian - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% -
41 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
41 ISOLANI Gregorio 1% 6% 17% 27% 26% 15% 6% 2% - - - - -
43 DAI Jonathan T. - - - - 2% 6% 16% 25% 26% 17% 6% 1%
44 LIU Derek - - 3% 12% 24% 28% 21% 9% 2% < 1% - - -
45 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - - 1% 5% 14% 26% 28% 18% 6% 1% -
46 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 24% 31% 22% 7%
47 YANG Luao - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
48 GRIFFITH JACK - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
49 LI Toby 2% 10% 23% 29% 22% 10% 3% 1% - < 1% - - -
50 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
51 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
52 SINGH Dayaal - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
53 ROSE Ben - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 8% 2% - -
54 CHEN Raymond - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1%
55 LIN Youlong - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% - -
56 KONG Luculentus X. 9% 27% 32% 21% 8% 2% - - - - - - -
57 MOHAMED Murad - - 2% 9% 19% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - -
58 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - - - 2% 8% 20% 31% 26% 11% 2%
59 ESPINOZA Joaquin - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 9% 3% - -
60 WU Alexander - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
61 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
62 KNIZHNIK David - - - 2% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
63 WANG Ziyu - - 1% 5% 16% 27% 27% 16% 6% 1% - - -
64 MOHAMED Amir - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
65 HASSANIN Mohamed - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
66 OURSLER Jack 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
67 RUSADZE Nickolas 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
68 WONG Adam L. - - - - - - 2% 9% 21% 30% 25% 11% 2%
69 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1% -
70 LIN James G. - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 4% 1% - - -
71 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 20% 8% 2% - -
72 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 23% 10% 2%
73 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - - - 2% 7% 19% 30% 27% 13% 2%
73 HUTH Jacob - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
75 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
75 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
75 SENIC Lucas - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 9% 3% 1% - -
78 MATSAKH Philip - - 1% 5% 15% 26% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - -
79 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 2% 8% 19% 26% 24% 14% 5% 1% - -
79 BADLANI Dev - 1% 5% 16% 27% 27% 17% 6% 2% - - - -
81 WU Nicholas - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - -
82 JAIN Aditya - - - - 1% 6% 16% 26% 27% 17% 6% 1% -
83 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 8% 2% - - - -
84 CO Dylan - - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
85 XU Andy P. 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - - -
86 UM Ethan A. - < 1% 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
87 CHEN James P. - < 1% 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
87 KELLY William J. - < 1% 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
87 NICOLETTI Luca - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - -
90 DOCTOR Aidan L. 2% 9% 20% 27% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
91 KORABLIN Anton - - - - 2% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 9% 3% -
92 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 2% 8% 20% 29% 25% 13% 4% 1% - - -
93 LEE Christopher T. - 3% 11% 23% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
93 JEON Caleb A. - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 25% 14% 4% 1%
95 LI Raphael C. - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
96 CANLAS Nathan - - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 8% 2% - - -
97 CHOI Ethan 1% 6% 19% 29% 26% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
98 JAUME Andrei 2% 11% 24% 29% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
99 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
100 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
101 LO Conrad - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
102 GOOR Julian - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
102 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
104 DIERKS Kian - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
105 BAE Kevin - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
105 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
107 ZHANG Aaron 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
107 LEUNG Ethan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
109 BING Charles - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
109 HOWLAND Jonas 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% < 1% -
111 LIU Jinning 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
112 SIMONOV Timofey 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
113 LO Preston 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
114 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
115 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
116 MYERS Dean 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
117 PARK Jason B. - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
118 TOTUSEK Marek - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
119 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
120 PORRAS Cristian - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
121 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
122 PO Oliver - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 2%
123 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
124 YU Jason - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
125 LU Yikai - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
126 WONG Evan 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
127 LIN Xilong 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
128 NGUYEN Martin - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
128 WUJASTYK Leon 2% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
130 TAN Aidan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
131 FENG Michael 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
132 CANO Marcos E. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
133 KIM Harrison 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
134 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
134 MITCHELL Philip D. - 3% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
136 YANG Adam - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
137 MA Andrew - 1% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
138 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
139 WYMAN Julian 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
140 JIANG Owen - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
141 KIM Ryan Y. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
142 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
142 CHEN Kyle P. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
144 LEE Brendan - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
144 AKYAMAC Bora 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
146 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
147 SHENG Dalton 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
148 LIU Ethan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
149 SOTO Ulises G - 1% 7% 25% 36% 25% 6%
150 WANG Rory 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
151 LI Edward - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
152 WU Alistair 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
153 CHEN Boris 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
154 THOMPSON Alastair 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
155 SMITH Grant D. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
156 GIRALDO Pablo E. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
157 HUANG Jonathan 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
158 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
159 LORENZO Alejandro 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
160 YI William 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
161 CHEN Matthew 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
162 KIM Daniel Y. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
163 PAN Henry 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
164 SONG Aiden S. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
165 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
166 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
166 TANG Owen S. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 16%
166 AHN Jun - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
169 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
170 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
171 TAHOUN Mostafa - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
172 TRUBETSKI David 47% 38% 12% 2% < 1% - -
173 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
174 GOGOI Vir K. 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
175 DIVITO Dylan - 2% 14% 38% 37% 10%
176 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
177 LI Aaron 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
178 LE Jacob H. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
179 HUANG Eythan 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
180 DERRICK Blake 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3% -
181 GONG Benjamin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
182 FINLEY Dylan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
183 COELHO Cristiano P. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
184 BARTEL Jacob L. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
185 XIE Buster 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
186 PARRISH Evan 6% 38% 37% 15% 3% - -
187 TANG Alexander L. 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
188 MCISAAC Finn 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
189 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
190 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
190 ZHEN Ethan 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
190 CORTRIGHT Skipper 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
190 STRINGER David 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
194 KIAYIAS Aris 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
195 SHAO Eric 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
196 TEMPLE Jackson - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
197 WONG Yuheng Isaac 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
198 GARCIA Sebastian R. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
199 YU Anders - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
200 FORTUNE Alexander J. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
201 SUN Ryan 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
202 LIPPMAN Sam 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
203 PINCHENG Yao 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
204 KIM Brian 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
204 ORLOV Dmitriy 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
206 ORR Spencer 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
207 LI Arvin 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
208 CRALEY Thomas M. - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
209 HAN Changhee 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
210 CHO Jadon Yushin - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
211 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
212 BELLUOMO David C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
213 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
214 DINSAY Kristjan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
215 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
216 HAMILTON Brock B. 7% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
216 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
216 GUTH Joseph 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
219 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
220 JANG Jaewon - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 9%
221 CHOI Benjamin 43% 41% 13% 2% - - -
221 SHAPIRO Leon 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
221 HAINES Ethan 4% 22% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
224 LOVIN Vlad 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
225 CANNON Caiden C. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
225 YAO Bradley 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
225 DOELL Ethan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
228 QIU Zhaocheng 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
229 KAISER Hans Z. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
229 GATRELL Mitchell E. 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
229 BAI Brian 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
232 TANG August L. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
232 CHUANG Oscar 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
234 CHENG Jonathan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
235 SCHLESINGER Nathan 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
235 PYO Michael M. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
237 BAILEY William F. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
238 GHEDINI Luca 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
238 PARKER Isaiah 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
240 STRAYER Andrew 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
241 GATZA Logan 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
241 ROUNTREE Rob 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
243 DAVIS Christopher M. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
243 SONG Noel - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
245 WILLIAMS Connor J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
246 ANDRIC Borna 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
247 HOBSON Aaron K. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
248 GAO Payton 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
249 BLACK Zachary 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
250 TIKHAEV Alexander 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
251 RAJ Jay 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
252 GORDON Jacob 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
253 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 3% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
254 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
255 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
256 DESANDO Michael R. 1% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1%
257 SMOLICH Marat 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
258 MILLER Jordan 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
259 TALASILA Arush 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
260 POLONI Giovanni 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
261 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
262 TANG Albert - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
263 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 2% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
264 ZHANG Luke T. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
265 MATHEWS Rocco J. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
266 MILLER Jeffrey E. - < 1% 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
266 REZNICK Nicholas J. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
268 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
268 DICKSON Farr R. - < 1% 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
270 SONG Austin 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
270 JURMAN Therin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
270 GÉLINAS Jonathan 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
270 JIANG Bowang 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
274 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 70% 26% 4% - - - -
275 RENTERIA Emiliano 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
276 VOLLMER Quintin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
277 MAO Lucas 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
278 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
279 LYNCH Owen C. 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
280 CHENG Ethan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
281 LUM-DEBONO Alex 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
281 BAE Eugene 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
283 LOZADA Gabriel G. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
284 ZAIDI Adil 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
285 KAPOOR Aayan 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
286 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
287 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
287 SUAREZ Adrian 14% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
289 PARK Rion 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
290 CHEZ Nolan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
291 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
292 REYES Omar 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
293 LIGOS Alex M. 32% 49% 17% 2% - -
294 JOSEPH Willem 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
294 WU DING-JUN 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
296 GRIEB Oliver 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
297 KIM Teo 76% 21% 2% - - - -
298 GNEUHS Sam 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
299 ARCE Andrew W. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
299 CHO Xzander 69% 27% 4% - - - -
299 YU William 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
302 CLAYMAN John A. 29% 44% 23% 5% - -
303 LEVY Jacob 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.