March NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 2, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 2% 19% 79%
2 TSAY Jeremy M. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
3 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 LI Owen - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
5 LEE Joshua - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 SONG Aiden S. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
7 BAS Liam - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
8 CHIN Julian S. - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 10%
9 CHENG Jonathan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
10 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
11 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
12 BRUK Peter J. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
13 KIM Yonjae - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
14 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
15 LI Richard - - 5% 31% 45% 18%
16 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
17 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
18 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 1% 9% 43% 47%
20 DAI Jonathan T. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
21 GODZHIK Zachary - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 19%
22 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
23 YU Anders - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
23 BANERJEE ANUP - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
23 WONG Adrian - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
26 YANG Luao - - 1% 10% 34% 42% 14%
27 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
28 PAE Jonathan L. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
29 LYU Victor - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
30 TRAUGOT Owen G. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
31 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 5% 33% 45% 17%
32 ZHAI Jeffrey - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
33 LO Conrad - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
33 MARX Jackson L. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
35 JAIN Aditya - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
36 BING Charles - 2% 13% 33% 37% 16%
37 ZHANG Evan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
38 NG Eben S. - - 5% 24% 42% 24% 4%
39 LEE Aidan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
40 DORAN Wesley C. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
41 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
42 KEE Andrew L. - - 4% 20% 42% 31% 2%
43 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
44 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
44 MARX Oscar L. - - - 1% 8% 33% 58%
46 LIU Michael H. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
47 KANG Anthony Jaegu - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7%
48 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
49 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
50 MUSHER Benjamin J. - 1% 10% 34% 41% 15%
50 LUH Ethan K. - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
52 GOOR Julian - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
53 PAE Brian L. - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
54 KIM Tei D. - - - 1% 13% 42% 43%
55 PAI Lakshan K. - - 3% 14% 35% 39% 9%
56 PO Oliver - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
57 AZUELA Maximo - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
58 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
58 ANTON Nathaniel - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
60 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
61 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 4% 18% 39% 30% 8%
62 LI Eric - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
63 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
64 TANG Owen S. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
65 STRUGAR Marcus A. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
66 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 2% 22% 47% 28%
67 ZHANG Jiening G. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
68 AIBEL Hudson J. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
69 ZHOU Oscar J. - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 8%
70 MIN Eric - - 5% 24% 44% 23% 4%
71 WU Alexander - 2% 17% 41% 31% 8% 1%
71 QIU Daniel 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
73 ORVANANOS Jorge - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
74 LI Aaron 1% 6% 26% 42% 21% 4% -
75 LI Arvin 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
76 KIM Jackson - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 1%
76 WONG Garrick G. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 9%
78 KLYCZEK Andrew 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
79 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - 2% 16% 38% 34% 11%
80 KHER Roan 5% 30% 44% 19% 2% -
81 BAEK David 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
82 HONG Issac 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
83 GUO Sean - 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
83 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
85 DETERING Julian - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
86 KNOEPFFLER Alex - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
87 CANO Marcos E. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
87 JIANG Owen - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 11%
89 FINNEY Lorenz - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
90 ACHILOV Sayid 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
91 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
92 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
92 OUYANG Matt J. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
92 CHEN Kyle P. - 6% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
95 JI Aidan Y. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
96 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
97 GAO William 4% 22% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
98 TAN Christien 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
99 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
100 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
101 GU Andrew - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
102 GONG Benjamin - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16% 1%
103 REEVES Liam 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
104 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
105 WU Lucas - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
106 LO Preston 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
107 ZHEN Ethan - 9% 33% 41% 16% 2%
108 YAN Edward Tianshuo - 10% 33% 37% 17% 2%
108 OH SEAN - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
110 LIN James G. - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
111 ROEVER Sean M. 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
112 LI Peihong 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
113 SAGE Michael J. 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
114 LIU Eric Y. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
115 KHVANG Sebastien T. 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
116 LIM Julien K. 2% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
117 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
118 WOO Christian 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 3% -
119 MENG Zhaoyi 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
120 LIU Derek 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
121 LI Ayren 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
122 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
123 FUKUDA Diego 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
124 OH Joshua 5% 55% 35% 5% - -
125 WANG Ethan 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
126 CULLIVAN Justice 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
127 ORLOV Dmitriy 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
129 METTAPALLI Tarun 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
130 CATINO Brennen 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
131 LOVE Aaron - - 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
132 SONG Bryan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
133 LIU Jacob B. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
134 LONG Connor M. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
134 LIN Michael 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
136 LIEW Jeremy K. 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
137 AHN Jun - 6% 27% 40% 23% 5%
138 BAO Aaron 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
139 TANG August L. - 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
140 PIERCE Cody 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
141 LLIDO Soren 26% 45% 23% 5% - - -
142 ZHENG zhe 43% 44% 12% 1% - - -
143 XIANG Derrick 2% 23% 46% 23% 4% - -
144 JI Evan 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
145 ROSS III Paul D. 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
145 WANG mason 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
147 BURBERRY Alan 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
147 CHENG Ethan 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
147 YU Jason - 3% 22% 39% 28% 8% 1%
150 WANG Jackson 2% 15% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
151 TORRES Treston 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
152 MCGUIRE Christian 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
153 FECHTNER Ezra M. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
155 SONG Austin 4% 33% 41% 19% 4% -
156 HIGGIN Matthew 77% 21% 2% - - -
156 BADLANI Dev 48% 42% 9% 1% - -
158 KRYLTSOV Michael 1% 25% 54% 18% 2% -
159 SPIEWACKI Joshua 86% 13% - - - -
160 MA Andrew 1% 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
161 LI Matthew 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
163 LIU Ryan 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
163 DE COQUET Maximilian 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
165 CHAN Justin D. 11% 45% 35% 9% 1% - -
166 DEDENBACH Joseph 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
167 KUSHNIR Aden N. 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
168 XU Ethan 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
169 DINSAY Kristjan - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
170 KOKKER Thomas 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
170 SANTOS Carlos R. 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
172 CHENG Jonathan 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
172 TANG Albert 5% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
172 RAJPAL Alastair 26% 51% 19% 3% - - -
175 LIU Ethan 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
176 HAN Derek 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
177 DING SHENGLANG 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
178 KELLY Tommy 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
179 ORONOWICZ Jakub 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
180 GUO Justin 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
181 PALMA Matthew Dominic 3% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
182 ZENG Chuyi 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
183 LAI Twayne 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
184 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
184 WHITTLE Calvin 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
184 ARICO Trey 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
187 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
187 MA Bryant 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
189 CHEN Jaden K. 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
190 YANG Alan H. 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
190 HSIAO Nicholas 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
192 GRINDEM Stuart 76% 23% 1% - - -
193 PERSINGER Charles B. 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
193 SAVELIEV Daniel 72% 25% 3% - - - -
195 BURGOS Jacob R. 64% 31% 4% - - - -
196 NG Micah 26% 45% 24% 4% - - -
197 LI Samuel 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
198 ANTONUCCI Suren 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.