November NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERBST Isaac L. - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
2 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
3 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
5 MUN Michael K. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
6 VINNITCHOUK Ted - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 IYOKI Kent - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
8 WANG Nathan - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
9 ZHAO Howard - - - - 6% 32% 62%
10 ANDROSYUK Alexander - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
11 WEI Zikun - - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
11 LEE Timothy S. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
13 LEE Aaron Y. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
14 KANG Michael H. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
15 MERCHANT Reza H. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
16 ZHU Wilson - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 NGUYEN Ethan D. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
18 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
19 MU Lejia - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
20 LEVY Zachari I. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
21 XU Zitong (Evan) - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 19%
22 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
22 MILAM Hugh - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
24 KIM Ethan S. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
25 KEHOE James E. - 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
25 MARAKOV Allen B. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
27 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
28 DAO Matthew M. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
29 ZHANG Matthew 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
30 RA Jr. Daniel M. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
31 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
32 ROBINSON Riley - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
33 VERMEULE Spencer - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
34 SZABO Benedek H. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
35 SHIN Joshua - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
36 WEISS Miles J. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
37 TAE William G. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
38 STONE Henry J. - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
39 ZHANG Eric - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
40 SHIFRON Daniel A. - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 5%
40 SPIER Julian H. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
42 MA Ark - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
43 LIPPMAN Eli - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
44 KIM Juni C. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
45 XIAN Riley - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
45 GUO Joe - - - 1% 8% 34% 56%
47 ALAIMO Charles 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% -
48 IMREK Samuel A. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
49 LEI Joshua - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
50 JEONG Connor - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
51 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
52 RONG Yao - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
53 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
54 SILVERS Noah E. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
55 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 2% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
56 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 14% 3%
57 LI Jason Man Kit - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
58 YOON Nathan 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
59 KOKENGE Clark - - 4% 17% 39% 34% 6%
60 YAO Michael 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
61 SHUGART Henry R. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
61 CARVALHO Daniel S. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
63 GRABER Andrew J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
64 REID Avo 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
65 DEGUCHI Nicolas - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
66 HADDAD Justin R. - - 1% 12% 38% 37% 12%
67 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
68 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
69 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
70 MCGAW Julian E. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
71 LEI Jacob - 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
72 LEE Ryan - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
73 MCDERMOTT Brian 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
74 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
75 CAI Kevin P. 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
76 BEKKER Mitchel 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 1%
77 ZHANG YuJian - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
78 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 15%
78 CHA Russell W. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
80 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
81 BODON Michele I. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
82 INSLER Gabriel C. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
83 MALYSZ Anthony J. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
84 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
85 LESPERANCE Lucas 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
86 DOLGONOS Mark - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19% 2%
87 LIU Alexander 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
88 CAPELLUA Tommaso 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
89 ROY Joseph T. - 7% 37% 40% 14% 2% -
89 SZABO Domonkos - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
91 HANXU Richard A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
92 ZHANG Tianyi 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
93 KRAVIT Connor B. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 18% 4%
94 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
95 KIM Ethan J. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
95 KRONROD Tal - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
97 HUANG Zijin - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
98 WOZNIAK David - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
99 ELFEN Nicholas R. 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
100 PRASAD Ankith - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
101 JIA Chengming J. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11% 1%
101 BRUNET Nathan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
103 KAMBESELES Peter G. - - 1% 13% 36% 37% 12%
104 CHIN Ethan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
105 LEIGH David A. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
106 LIN Ryan 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
107 GAIDAR Daniel B. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 13%
108 GIBSON Nowell L. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
109 HAIDER Syed Mikail 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
110 RODE Damian E. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
110 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
112 CHO Tyler H. 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
113 DIXON Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 5%
114 NOMANI Shibli D. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
115 GANA Jr Jorge M. 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
116 HERBEL Micah O. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
117 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
118 UKOLOV Dimitri 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
119 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
120 WANG Kevin de-tai 1% 9% 33% 39% 15% 2% -
121 LEE Matthew C. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
121 GYURE Brayden H. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
123 WONG Joshua 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
124 O'HARA Keegan J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
125 KASTENBERG Leo M. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
126 PARK Brian 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
126 SHOURIE Jai 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
128 KELSEY Ryan 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
129 OH Matthew M. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
130 BALAJI Tharoon N. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
131 PARAMESH Dhilan R. - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
132 LEHR William D. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
133 IVAKIMOV Vasil 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
134 YAN yuheng - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
135 LENDER David - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
136 MALIASSOV Nikita S. - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
136 RAWSON Nicholas 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
138 ADLER Ethan M. 19% 49% 27% 5% - - -
139 ZHU Max 18% 55% 25% 2% - - -
139 ZHOU Alec Q. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
141 BRENNAN Charles F. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
142 LIANG Aaron 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
143 USHER Alexander 12% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
144 SMITH Nicholas S. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
145 MOSES Alexander 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
146 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
146 LIU Kyle 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
148 LIM Timothy D. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
149 GIBSON Dylan A. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
150 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
151 GILBRETH Miles S. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
152 BURNHAM Charlie E. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
153 PARKER Riley D. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
154 ZHENG Hagen - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
155 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
156 TOPAZ Nicholas - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
156 RODRIGUEZ Ryan 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
158 SHENG Patrick Y. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
159 SHAMIS Mark 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
160 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
161 LEE Daniel Y. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
162 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
163 SHINE Peter C. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
164 OGILVIE Evan C. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
165 JACKSON James 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
166 CHUNG Thomas 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
167 HE Jason 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
168 DORRELL Connor I. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 5% -
168 SOOMRO Adam A. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
168 KAJI Ty 19% 50% 26% 5% - - -
171 XIAN Ryan 1% 10% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1%
172 BORATIN Daniel I. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
172 ATANAS Matthew M. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
174 PARK Minchan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
175 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 3% 14% 28% 30% 18% 6% 1%
176 INSLER Ethan C. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
176 ROY NATHAN J 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
178 FELDMAN Jaemin - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
179 HANRATTY Liam 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
180 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
181 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
182 PADHYE Siddhant - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
183 ZHANG Andrew - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
184 HUSSAIN Kamran 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
185 PLECHAVICIUS Daniel 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
186 GLECKNER Aidan 10% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
187 THAYER Bryce 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
187 LI Sui Lun 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
189 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
190 SHIV Rishi 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
191 KIM PAUL 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
192 DIB Aaniss 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
192 CHEN Junle R. 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
195 MORSE Tyler 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
196 RUSSANOV Boris J. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
197 BUHEIS Alexander I. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
198 RYAN Seth C. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
199 VENKAT Rakesh 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
199 CRANE Matthew T. 15% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
201 PHAM Ian Q. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
202 JEYOON Ryan S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
203 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
204 HU Andrew 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
204 RHYU Kozmo 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
206 ANDERSON Elias W. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
206 POCSVEILER Magor 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
208 MOHEBI Saam 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
209 NEHILA Stephen D. 4% 20% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
210 NESTEROV Andrew E. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
210 TONG Chihao 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
212 JOO Benjamin 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
213 KIM Benjamin I. 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
214 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
215 CASTLE Aaron 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
215 MANZ Hamilton R. 2% 21% 44% 27% 6% - -
215 HERMANSON David B. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
218 GOLDMAN Rami 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
219 MCKEEVER Luca 61% 32% 7% 1% - - -
219 HA Daniel 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
219 SOLTER Kai 26% 44% 24% 5% - - -
222 HOLDERNESS Landon 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
223 ZHOU Stanley Q. 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -
224 SHAH Maximilian A. 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
225 JUNG Alexander 1% 9% 31% 40% 16% 2% -
226 MOORE Thomas J. < 1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
227 CONNELLY Asa D. 13% 60% 24% 3% - - -
227 LEE Alexander G. < 1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
227 WONG Daniel 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2% -
230 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
231 BUYANOV Nikita V. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
231 SANTORO Marcus M. 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
231 PAI Nandan K. 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
231 THOMPSON Benjamin 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
235 JIN Nicholas < 1% 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
235 DYER Ian E. 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
237 DENNIS Ethan 57% 36% 6% - - - -
238 SIMMONS Tristan A. 10% 35% 38% 15% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.