November NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
2 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
5 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
6 VINNITCHOUK Ted 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
8 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
9 ZHAO Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
10 ANDROSYUK Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
11 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 58% 26% 5%
13 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
14 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
15 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
16 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
17 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
18 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
19 MU Lejia 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
20 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
21 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
22 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
22 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
24 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
25 KEHOE James E. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
25 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
27 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
28 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
29 ZHANG Matthew 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
30 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
31 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
32 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
33 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
34 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
35 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
36 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
37 TAE William G. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
38 STONE Henry J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 1%
39 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
40 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
40 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
42 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
43 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
44 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
45 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
45 GUO Joe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
47 ALAIMO Charles 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
48 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
49 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
50 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
51 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
52 RONG Yao 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
54 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
55 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
56 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
57 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
58 YOON Nathan 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
59 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 6%
60 YAO Michael 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
61 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
61 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
63 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
64 REID Avo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
65 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
66 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
67 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
68 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
69 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7% 1%
70 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
71 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 1%
72 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
73 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 6% 1%
74 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
75 CAI Kevin P. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
76 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
77 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 4%
78 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
78 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
80 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
81 BODON Michele I. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
82 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
83 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
84 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
85 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
86 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
87 LIU Alexander 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
88 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
89 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 93% 56% 16% 2% -
89 SZABO Domonkos 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
91 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
92 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
93 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
94 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
95 KIM Ethan J. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
95 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
97 HUANG Zijin 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
98 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
99 ELFEN Nicholas R. 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
100 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
101 JIA Chengming J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
101 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
103 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 12%
104 CHIN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
105 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
106 LIN Ryan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
107 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
108 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
109 HAIDER Syed Mikail 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
110 RODE Damian E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
110 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
112 CHO Tyler H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
113 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 5%
114 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
115 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
116 HERBEL Micah O. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
117 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
118 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
119 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
120 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
121 LEE Matthew C. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
121 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
123 WONG Joshua 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
124 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
125 KASTENBERG Leo M. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
126 PARK Brian 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
126 SHOURIE Jai 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
128 KELSEY Ryan 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
129 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
130 BALAJI Tharoon N. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
131 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
132 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
133 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
134 YAN yuheng 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
135 LENDER David 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
136 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
136 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
138 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 81% 33% 5% - - -
139 ZHU Max 100% 82% 27% 2% - - -
139 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
141 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
142 LIANG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
143 USHER Alexander 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
144 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
145 MOSES Alexander 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
146 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
146 LIU Kyle 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
148 LIM Timothy D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
149 GIBSON Dylan A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
150 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
151 GILBRETH Miles S. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
152 BURNHAM Charlie E. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
153 PARKER Riley D. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
154 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
155 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
156 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
156 RODRIGUEZ Ryan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
158 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
159 SHAMIS Mark 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
160 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
161 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
162 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
163 SHINE Peter C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
164 OGILVIE Evan C. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
165 JACKSON James 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
166 CHUNG Thomas 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
167 HE Jason 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
168 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
168 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
168 KAJI Ty 100% 81% 32% 5% - - -
171 XIAN Ryan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
172 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
172 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
174 PARK Minchan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
175 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
176 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
176 ROY NATHAN J 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
178 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
179 HANRATTY Liam 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
180 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
181 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
182 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
183 ZHANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
184 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
185 PLECHAVICIUS Daniel 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
186 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 90% 49% 15% 2% - -
187 THAYER Bryce 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
187 LI Sui Lun 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
189 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
190 SHIV Rishi 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
191 KIM PAUL 100% 95% 74% 42% 16% 3% -
192 DIB Aaniss 100% 71% 27% 4% - - -
192 CHEN Junle R. 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
195 MORSE Tyler 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
196 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
197 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
198 RYAN Seth C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
199 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
199 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
201 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
202 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
203 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
204 HU Andrew 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
204 RHYU Kozmo 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
206 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
206 POCSVEILER Magor 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
208 MOHEBI Saam 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
209 NEHILA Stephen D. 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
210 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
210 TONG Chihao 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
212 JOO Benjamin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
213 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% 1% -
214 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
215 CASTLE Aaron 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
215 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% - -
215 HERMANSON David B. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
218 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
219 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
219 HA Daniel 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
219 SOLTER Kai 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
222 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
223 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 56% 13% 2% - - -
224 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
225 JUNG Alexander 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2% -
226 MOORE Thomas J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
227 CONNELLY Asa D. 100% 87% 27% 3% - - -
227 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
227 WONG Daniel 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
230 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
231 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
231 SANTORO Marcus M. 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
231 PAI Nandan K. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
231 THOMPSON Benjamin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
235 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
235 DYER Ian E. 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
237 DENNIS Ethan 100% 43% 7% - - - -
238 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 90% 54% 16% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.