Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
2 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
6 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
7 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
8 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
9 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
10 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
11 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
12 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
13 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
14 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
15 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
16 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
17 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
19 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
20 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
21 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
22 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
23 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
24 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
24 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
26 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
27 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
28 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
29 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
30 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
31 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
32 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
33 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
34 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
35 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
36 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
37 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
38 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
39 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% 1%
40 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
41 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
42 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
43 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
44 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
45 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
46 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
47 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
48 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 91% 54% 11%
49 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
50 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
51 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
52 OH SEAN 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
53 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
54 JIANG Owen 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
55 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
56 GLASSON Joseph 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
57 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
58 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
59 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
60 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
61 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
62 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
63 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
64 LEE Chris 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
65 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 4%
66 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
67 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
68 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
69 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
70 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
71 LI Owen 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
72 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
73 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
74 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
75 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
76 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 94% 68% 23% 3%
77 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
78 FU Samuel Y. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 7% 1%
79 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
80 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
81 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
82 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
83 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
84 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
85 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
86 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
87 SONG Bryan 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
88 GAO William 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
89 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
90 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
91 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
92 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
93 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
93 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
95 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 21%
96 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
97 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 86% 39% 8% 1% -
98 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1%
99 BALL James T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
100 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
101 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
101 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
103 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
104 FINLEY Dylan 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
105 CANO Marcos E. 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
106 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
106 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
108 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
109 YU Anders 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
110 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 96% 57% 17% 2% - -
111 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
112 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
113 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
114 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
115 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
116 BADLANI Dev 100% 82% 41% 9% 1% -
117 LIN James G. 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% -
118 PORRAS Cristian 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
119 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
120 LEE Jacob 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
121 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
122 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
122 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
124 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
125 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
126 LU Yikai 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
127 BERK Theodore 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
128 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
129 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
130 LE Vyn A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
132 HOWARD Michael 100% 99% 86% 35% 6% -
133 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
134 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
135 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
136 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
136 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
136 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
139 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
140 LIU Eric Y. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
141 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
142 LI Eric 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
143 BERNABE Rafael 100% 86% 23% 2% - -
144 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
145 KNIZHNIK David 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
146 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
147 LIN Michael 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
148 LEWIS Akhil 100% 87% 47% 15% 2% - -
149 TAN Christien 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
149 LYU Victor 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
151 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
152 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
153 DETERING Julian 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
154 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
155 MOHAMED Murad 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
156 KIM Minhyeok 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
157 KIM Derek A. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
157 PO Oliver 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
159 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
160 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
160 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 99% 67% 23% 4% - -
162 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
163 JI Aidan Y. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
163 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
163 LOVIN Vlad 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
166 HSIUNG Richie 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
167 ROSE Ben 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
168 MIN Eric 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
169 GUO Justin 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
170 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 45% 8%
171 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
172 IVANENKO Alex 100% 40% 6% - - - -
173 WANG mason 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
174 WU Jerry Z. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
175 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
176 DRESSEL Jet 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
177 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
177 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
179 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
179 LI Matthew 100% 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
181 WOO Christian 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
182 LEE Lukas 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
183 MATSAKH Philip 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
184 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
184 GUO Sean 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
186 MOHAMED Amir 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
187 ZHEN Ethan 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
188 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 89% 46% 12% 1% - -
189 KHER Roan 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
190 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
190 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
192 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 28% 3% - - - -
193 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
193 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
195 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
196 TORRES Treston 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
197 SMITH Grant D. 100% 43% 7% 1% - -
198 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
198 KIM Jackson 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
200 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
200 STRAYER Andrew 100% 97% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
202 LI Aaron 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
203 LOVE Aaron 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
204 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
205 LI Arvin 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
206 CANO Diego A. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
206 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
206 BISHOP Henry 100% 5% - - - - -
209 XU Ethan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
210 NA Larry 100% 26% 1% - - -
211 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
211 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
213 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.