January NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allen - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
2 CHEN Andrew - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
3 ONIK Elijah T. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 6%
6 LI Brandon H. - - - - 6% 33% 60%
7 OURSLER Jack - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
8 LI Owen - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
9 GRIFFIN John O. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
9 KIM Nicholas W. - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
11 CHEN Yi-Tung - - - 4% 29% 67%
12 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
13 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
14 YU Vinni - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
15 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 1% 18% 47% 33%
16 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
17 GRIFFITH JACK - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
18 LI Richard - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
19 KAO Castor T. - - 2% 23% 49% 26%
20 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 5%
21 SINGH Dayaal - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
22 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
23 LEE Jacob J - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
24 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
25 BANERJEE ANUP - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
26 KIM Brandon J. - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
27 BRUK Peter J. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
28 KELLY William J. - - - - 7% 37% 55%
29 LEE Aidan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
30 AYUPOV Ilya - 1% 10% 44% 37% 9%
31 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
32 LYU Weiqiao Victor - - 3% 20% 44% 29% 4%
33 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
34 ZHENG Alan H. - 1% 6% 28% 45% 19% 2%
35 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 6% 28% 45% 20%
36 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
37 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 1% 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
38 JEON Caleb A. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
39 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 1% 8% 33% 48% 11%
40 KASI Sanjay - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
41 UM Ethan A. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
42 DORAN Wesley C. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
43 GOOR Julian - 3% 19% 44% 31% 4%
44 VAZQUEZ Zander 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
45 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
46 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 12%
47 BURKE Spencer W. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
48 DAI Jonathan T. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
49 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
50 LAO Scott E. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
51 ZHAO Jason L. - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
52 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
53 ROSE Ben 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
54 LO Conrad - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
55 FUKUDA Renzo K. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
56 DEGROOT Blake - 6% 25% 42% 22% 4% -
57 BAS Liam - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
58 LEWIS Akhil 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
59 XIAO Ethan J. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
60 LI Wangjie - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
61 DIERKS Kian - 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
62 DICKSON Farr R. - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
63 GATRELL Mitchell E. 2% 20% 45% 26% 6% -
64 LI Eric - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
65 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
66 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
67 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
68 BAE Kevin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 6%
69 JANG Jaewon - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
70 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
71 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13%
72 KIM Ryan Y. 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
73 WU Alexander - - 1% 11% 38% 40% 10%
74 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
75 AHN Jun - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
76 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
77 CANNON Caiden C. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
78 TAN Christien 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
79 LUH Ethan K. - 2% 17% 42% 32% 7%
80 LI Raphael C. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
81 DESHMUKH Arjun 5% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
82 ZHANG Luke T. 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
83 NAGER Noah - 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
84 CHEN James P. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
85 JAIN Aditya - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
86 WONG Adam L. - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
87 KO Brian J. - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8%
88 WONG Adrian 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
89 XIAO EDWARD - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
89 LIN Michael - 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
91 BALL James T. - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
91 GERVAIS Joel - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
93 PYO Michael M. - - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
94 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
94 TANG Owen S. 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
96 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 7% 31% 44% 17%
97 HO Ryan J. - 2% 19% 42% 31% 7%
98 WU Nicholas - 5% 22% 40% 28% 6%
99 ZHANG Yun Isaac 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2%
100 BELLUOMO David C. 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
101 OH SEAN 1% 16% 43% 31% 8% 1%
102 MURRAY Maximo 2% 19% 45% 28% 6% -
103 KIM Yonjae - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 16%
104 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
105 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
106 MOHAMED Murad - 4% 25% 43% 23% 4% -
107 KIM Derek A. 1% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
108 PO Oliver 1% 10% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
109 BING Charles - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
110 WYMAN Julian - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
111 SICHITIU Alexander - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
112 MOHAMED Amir 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
113 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 8% 33% 38% 17% 4% - -
114 UPTON Craig 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
115 SCHENCK Koen M. - 2% 15% 42% 35% 5%
116 GRISWOLD Abel B. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
117 LANG Dong Lin 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
118 BARTEL Jacob L. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
119 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
120 TRAUGOT Owen G. 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
120 SISINNI Riccardo 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
122 KLOTZ Isaiah 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% - -
123 MUSHER Benjamin J. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
124 DU Samuel R. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
125 DINSAY Kristjan 10% 40% 41% 9% 1% -
126 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
127 TANG August L. 13% 42% 32% 11% 2% - -
128 SONG Bryan 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
129 WOO Christian - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
130 HSIUNG Richie 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
131 YU Jason 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
132 WONG Garrick G. - 5% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
133 CANLAS Nathan 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
134 COELHO Cristiano P. - 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
135 ORONOWICZ Jakub 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
136 GOGOI Vir K. 1% 23% 45% 25% 5% - -
136 ORR Spencer - 4% 28% 40% 22% 6% -
136 HE Xiangrui 1% 17% 41% 32% 8% 1% -
139 REEVES Liam 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
140 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 2% 12% 37% 38% 11%
141 TAHOUN Mostafa 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
142 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
143 LIM Lance Jeremiah 26% 46% 23% 4% - - -
144 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
145 REYES Omar 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
146 JIANG Owen - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
147 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
148 FORTUNE Alexander J. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
149 CAMAYO GUERRERO ISAAC 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
150 MCCORD Clark 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
151 TSAO Lukas 9% 49% 33% 7% 1% -
152 VOGLER Justin K. - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
153 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 9% 34% 42% 15%
154 SEAL Maximus R. 16% 47% 32% 5% - -
155 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
156 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
157 PARK Jason B. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
158 WECHSLER Jacob 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
159 YAP Nathan 3% 36% 43% 16% 2% - -
160 DETERING Julian - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
161 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
162 CHENG Jonathan 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
162 GONG Benjamin 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
164 GARCIA HERNANDEZ Lucas 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
165 SHIN Joshua J. 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
166 TANG Albert 14% 47% 30% 7% 1% - -
167 YOON DYLAN 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% 1% -
168 MYERS Dean 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
169 DAVIDSON Elliot 5% 37% 40% 15% 2% - -
170 LEE Chris 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
171 WANG Brayden 3% 55% 34% 7% 1% - -
172 KRYLTSOV Michael 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
173 LI Matthew 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
174 PELOSKY Zack B. - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
175 JI Aidan Y. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
176 SIMA Congyu Josh 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
177 KEE Andrew L. 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
178 LAK Isaac 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
179 WONG Antonio 26% 49% 22% 3% - -
180 RAJPAL Alastair 54% 38% 8% - - -
181 HOBSON Aaron K. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
182 SUAREZ Adrian 44% 42% 13% 2% - -
183 WU DING-JUN 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
184 WILLIAMS Connor J. 1% 6% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
185 CANO Marcos E. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
185 ZHAO Bowen 5% 66% 26% 4% - - -
187 PALMA Matthew Dominic 4% 33% 41% 18% 3% - -
187 LEE Jacob 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
187 MCISAAC Finn 20% 50% 25% 5% - - -
190 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
191 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
192 ELKOUSY Laith H. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
192 LU Yikai 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
194 KUSHNIR Aden N. 27% 44% 23% 5% - - -
195 SAGE Michael P. 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
196 KNIZHNIK David - 10% 34% 39% 15% 2% -
196 FINLEY Dylan 10% 37% 35% 15% 3% - -
198 DORE Davis 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
198 ZHEREBTCOV Kirill 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
200 ARANA Massimo 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
201 FLYNN Ian 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
202 GAO Payton 81% 18% 1% - - - -
203 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 44% 43% 12% 1% - -
204 PRASANNA Advaith 15% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
205 SHEPHERD Conner M. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
206 NUNNINK Phillip W. < 1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
207 TORRES Treston 39% 45% 14% 2% - -
208 DEGREMONT Henri S. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
208 KLEIN Sebastian W. 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
208 EDISON Ansel 51% 40% 8% 1% - - -
211 ALONSO Vinicius 62% 32% 6% - - -
212 LU Howen 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
213 KIM Aiden 17% 49% 28% 5% - -
214 ZHENG zhe 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
214 GNEUHS Sam 72% 25% 3% - - - -
216 KNOEPFFLER Alex 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
216 DE COQUET Maximilian 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
218 BOYKO Miles 71% 26% 3% - - -
219 DRESSEL Jet 9% 58% 27% 5% - - -
220 SANTOS Carlos R. 26% 46% 24% 4% - - -
220 SLOUGH Sean 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
220 IVANENKO Alex 57% 36% 7% 1% - - -
223 EDWARDS Maxon 68% 28% 4% - - -
224 BIESIADA Jan 71% 25% 3% - - - -
224 SHI Dylan 85% 14% 1% - - - -
226 EXNICIOS Rex 92% 8% - - - - -
227 MODADUGU Aryan 93% 7% - - - - -
228 MACHI Dylan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.