January NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 6%
6 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
7 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
8 LI Owen 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
9 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
11 CHEN Yi-Tung 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
12 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
14 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
15 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 33%
16 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
17 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
18 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
19 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 26%
20 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
21 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
22 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 3%
23 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
24 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
25 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 9%
26 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
27 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
28 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
29 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
30 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 89% 45% 9%
31 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
32 LYU Weiqiao Victor 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 4%
33 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
34 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21% 2%
35 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
36 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
37 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 5%
38 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
39 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 11%
40 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
41 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
42 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
43 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 4%
44 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
45 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
46 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
47 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
48 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
49 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
50 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 9%
51 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
52 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
53 ROSE Ben 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
54 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
55 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
56 DEGROOT Blake 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4% -
57 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
58 LEWIS Akhil 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
59 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
60 LI Wangjie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
61 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
62 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
63 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% -
64 LI Eric 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
65 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
66 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
67 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
68 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
69 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
70 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
71 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
72 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
73 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
74 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
75 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
76 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
77 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 9%
78 TAN Christien 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
79 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
80 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
81 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% -
82 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
83 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
84 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
85 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
86 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
87 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
88 WONG Adrian 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
89 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
89 LIN Michael 100% 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
91 BALL James T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
91 GERVAIS Joel 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
93 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
94 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
94 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9% 1%
96 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
97 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 7%
98 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
99 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
100 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
101 OH SEAN 100% 99% 83% 40% 9% 1%
102 MURRAY Maximo 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
103 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
104 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
105 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
106 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
107 KIM Derek A. 100% 99% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
108 PO Oliver 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
109 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
110 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
111 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
112 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
113 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
114 UPTON Craig 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
115 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 5%
116 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
117 LANG Dong Lin 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
118 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
119 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
120 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
120 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
122 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% - -
123 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
124 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
125 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 90% 50% 9% 1% -
126 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% -
127 TANG August L. 100% 87% 45% 13% 2% - -
128 SONG Bryan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
129 WOO Christian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% 1%
130 HSIUNG Richie 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
131 YU Jason 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
132 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
133 CANLAS Nathan 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 2%
134 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
135 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
136 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 99% 76% 30% 5% - -
136 ORR Spencer 100% 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% -
136 HE Xiangrui 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
139 REEVES Liam 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
140 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
141 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
142 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
143 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 74% 28% 4% - - -
144 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
145 REYES Omar 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
146 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
147 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
148 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
149 CAMAYO GUERRERO ISAAC 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
150 MCCORD Clark 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
151 TSAO Lukas 100% 91% 41% 8% 1% -
152 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
153 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
154 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 84% 37% 5% - -
155 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
156 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 26% 4%
157 PARK Jason B. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
158 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
159 YAP Nathan 100% 97% 61% 18% 2% - -
160 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
161 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
162 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
162 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% -
164 GARCIA HERNANDEZ Lucas 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
165 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
166 TANG Albert 100% 86% 38% 8% 1% - -
167 YOON DYLAN 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
168 MYERS Dean 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
169 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 95% 58% 17% 2% - -
170 LEE Chris 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 4% -
171 WANG Brayden 100% 97% 42% 8% 1% - -
172 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
173 LI Matthew 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
174 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
175 JI Aidan Y. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
176 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
177 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
178 LAK Isaac 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
179 WONG Antonio 100% 74% 25% 3% - -
180 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 46% 8% - - -
181 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
182 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
183 WU DING-JUN 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
184 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 6% -
185 CANO Marcos E. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
185 ZHAO Bowen 100% 95% 30% 4% - - -
187 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 96% 63% 22% 3% - -
187 LEE Jacob 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
187 MCISAAC Finn 100% 80% 30% 5% - - -
190 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
191 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
192 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
192 LU Yikai 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
194 KUSHNIR Aden N. 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
195 SAGE Michael P. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
196 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
196 FINLEY Dylan 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
198 DORE Davis 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
198 ZHEREBTCOV Kirill 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
200 ARANA Massimo 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
201 FLYNN Ian 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
202 GAO Payton 100% 19% 1% - - - -
203 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
204 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
205 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
206 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
207 TORRES Treston 100% 61% 15% 2% - -
208 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
208 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
208 EDISON Ansel 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
211 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 38% 6% - - -
212 LU Howen 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
213 KIM Aiden 100% 83% 34% 6% - -
214 ZHENG zhe 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
214 GNEUHS Sam 100% 28% 3% - - - -
216 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
216 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
218 BOYKO Miles 100% 29% 3% - - -
219 DRESSEL Jet 100% 91% 32% 5% - - -
220 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
220 SLOUGH Sean 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
220 IVANENKO Alex 100% 43% 7% 1% - - -
223 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 32% 4% - - -
224 BIESIADA Jan 100% 29% 3% - - - -
224 SHI Dylan 100% 15% 1% - - - -
226 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 8% - - - - -
227 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 7% - - - - -
228 MACHI Dylan 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.