Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 GAO Daniel - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
3 KNOX James - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
3 JIN Owen - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
5 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
7 ZHAO Luhan - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
8 SUN Jason - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
9 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
10 WU Jonathan - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
11 LEE Samuel Y. - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 9%
12 WU Joseph - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
13 HE Lawrence - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
14 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
15 AGAON Shawn - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
16 ZHAI Avalo - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
17 PARK Frederick - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
18 SIMPSON Patrick - - 3% 20% 39% 30% 7%
19 YANG Edward - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
20 MISHIMA Torata - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
21 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
22 RICHARD Owen - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
23 JIANG ryan 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
24 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
25 LAI Aedin 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
26 SAVORETTI Francesco - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
27 LACROIX Floryan - - 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
28 PRIHODKO Max - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
29 WEI HUNTER - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
30 DORASZELSKI Mark 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
31 CAUCHY Eliot 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
32 WONG King-Yee 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
33 KIM Byung - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
34 CAO Albert - 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
35 BRODSKY Julian 5% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1% -
36 SVERDLOV Seth 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
37 SHA Michael - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
38 ZHANG ethan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
39 BHATNAGAR Ayan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
40 KOKENGE Reid - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
41 REDDY Arya 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
42 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
43 BASOK Nikita - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
44 WANG justin 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
45 AGAON Ethan - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%
46 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10% 1%
47 CAO Brad - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
48 SERAFIN Ben - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
49 GOON Tristan Yang 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
50 PARK Nicholas - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
51 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
52 HU Robert J. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
53 LAI Boden - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
54 ZHANG William 1% 10% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
55 MEN Junda 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
56 XIE Brandon 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
57 KUMAR Aidan - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
58 MAO Benjamin - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 2%
59 ZHAO Zidong 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
60 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
61 FANG Hanning 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
62 CHAI Ethan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
63 WU Colin 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
64 TANG Charles 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
65 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
66 ZHEN Youwei - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
67 STELTENKAMP Neal 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
68 KHANNA Nikhil - - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
69 DOYON - VERDON William 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
70 SAVORETTI Pietro 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
71 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
72 KOYFMAN Benjamin 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
73 SONG Troy 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
74 KRISHNAN Skanda 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
75 PAN Tristan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
76 SO Lorenzo 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
77 LI Zachary 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
78 SUN Jeffery 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
79 YAO Bowen 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
80 ZHANG Roland 8% 43% 38% 10% 1% - -
81 FENG Du 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
82 DUSSEAU Maddax 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
83 CHOU Benson 17% 40% 32% 10% 2% - -
84 GILLER Augustus 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
85 KWON Aaron 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
86 FENG Shang 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
87 WOLFORD Benjamin 69% 27% 3% - - - -
88 ZANELLI Ben 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
89 HIGGASON Hugh 16% 57% 24% 3% - - -
89 REPIC Oliver 3% 27% 46% 20% 4% - -
91 SUN James H. 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
92 HU Anton 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% -
93 LIU Adam 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
94 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 68% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.