Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
3 KNOX James 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
7 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
8 SUN Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
9 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
10 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
11 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
12 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
13 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
14 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
15 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
16 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
17 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
18 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
19 YANG Edward 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
20 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
21 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
22 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
23 JIANG ryan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
24 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
25 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
26 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
27 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
28 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
29 WEI HUNTER 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
30 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
31 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
32 WONG King-Yee 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
33 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
34 CAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
35 BRODSKY Julian 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
36 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
37 SHA Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
38 ZHANG ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
39 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
40 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
41 REDDY Arya 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
42 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
43 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
44 WANG justin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
45 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
46 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11% 1%
47 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
48 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
49 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
50 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
51 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
52 HU Robert J. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
53 LAI Boden 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
54 ZHANG William 100% 99% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
55 MEN Junda 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
56 XIE Brandon 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
57 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
58 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 2%
59 ZHAO Zidong 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
60 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
61 FANG Hanning 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
62 CHAI Ethan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
63 WU Colin 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
64 TANG Charles 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
65 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
66 ZHEN Youwei 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
67 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
68 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
69 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
70 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% -
71 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
72 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
73 SONG Troy 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
74 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
75 PAN Tristan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
76 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
77 LI Zachary 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
78 SUN Jeffery 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
79 YAO Bowen 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
80 ZHANG Roland 100% 92% 49% 11% 1% - -
81 FENG Du 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
82 DUSSEAU Maddax 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
83 CHOU Benson 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
84 GILLER Augustus 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
85 KWON Aaron 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
86 FENG Shang 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
87 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 31% 3% - - - -
88 ZANELLI Ben 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
89 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 84% 28% 4% - - -
89 REPIC Oliver 100% 97% 70% 24% 4% - -
91 SUN James H. 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
92 HU Anton 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
93 LIU Adam 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
94 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 32% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.