Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANDERS Ian W. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 ISAAC Joseph - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 GAO Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
5 MELCHER Jack H. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
6 WU Joseph - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
7 ALFAIATE Lucas - 1% 12% 36% 39% 12%
8 LEE Shwan - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
9 LEE Noah - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
10 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
11 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
12 JONES Simon A. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
13 WU Byron - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
14 AGAON Shawn - - 4% 17% 39% 35% 4%
15 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
16 LACROIX Floryan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
17 JAOCHICO Christopher (Chris) - - 1% 5% 25% 51% 19%
18 KOPPE Alexander 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
19 KHANNA Nikhil - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 4%
20 ZHAO Luhan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
21 MAO Benjamin 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
22 HE Lawrence - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
23 KNOX James - - 5% 25% 42% 24% 4%
24 LAI Aedin 2% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1%
25 WEI HUNTER 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
26 BHATNAGAR Ayan - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
27 KUMAR Aidan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
28 DOYON - VERDON William 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
29 SERAFIN Ben 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
30 DORASZELSKI Mark 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
31 MISHIMA Torata - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
32 OH Kevin Y. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
33 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
34 BENJAMIN Julio F. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
35 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
36 SAVORETTI Francesco - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
37 PRIHODKO Max - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
38 SHA Michael 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
38 SPRINGER Michael - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
40 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
41 DOLMETSCH Max - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
42 LIOU Solomon - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
43 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
44 FANG Hanning 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
45 WU Jonathan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
46 LEHR William D. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
47 SUN Jason 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
48 KIM Byung - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
49 PARK Nicholas 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
50 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
51 JIN Owen - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
52 SWANSON Lars M. - 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
53 SIMPSON Patrick 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
54 ZHAI Avalo 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
55 YANG Edward 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
56 LAI Boden 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
57 GUI Runlin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
58 CHAI Ethan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
59 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
60 RICHARD Owen - 4% 16% 35% 33% 12%
61 BASOK Nikita - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
62 SUN Jeffery 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
63 REPIC Oliver 39% 43% 16% 3% - -
64 NABAVI Matthew R. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
65 LEE Samuel Y. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
66 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
67 CAI Brian - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
68 PAN Tristan 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
69 PAYNE Massimo 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
69 HU Robert J. 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
69 SHEN Max - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
72 COHEN Jared E. - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5%
73 MATTO Edward J. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
74 CHEN Jun Ho 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
75 PARK Frederick - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
76 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
77 BUSH Thomas 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
78 KANG Michael H. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
79 SAVORETTI Pietro 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
80 XIE Brandon 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
81 AGAON Ethan 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
82 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
83 MARRAN Erik R. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
84 SUN James H. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
85 PAHLAVI Kamran 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
86 ZHAO Zidong 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
87 LI Zachary 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
88 FU Ethan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
89 FUSSMAN Yuval 9% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
89 HU Anton 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
89 YOON Walter 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
92 SO Lorenzo 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
93 AYALA Jaime 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
94 WU Colin 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
95 ZHANG ethan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
96 CHU Brandon A. 37% 46% 15% 2% - -
97 GRAYSON Joshua 29% 47% 21% 3% - - -
98 BOYKO Frank C. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
99 ZHANG Roland 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
100 YAO Bowen 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
101 GOON Tristan Yang 27% 46% 23% 4% - - -
102 ZHANG William 5% 28% 44% 20% 3% - -
103 KIRSCH Adam J. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
103 LIU Jeremiah W. 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
105 GANESAN Mathavan 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
106 BUACHIE Aaron 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
106 JIANG Matthew 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
108 OTTO Nathaniel B. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
109 SONG Troy 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
109 REDDY Arya 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
111 STELTENKAMP Neal 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
112 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
113 MEN Junda 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
114 FENG Du 26% 48% 22% 4% - -
115 SVERDLOV Seth < 1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
116 CORRIDON Jack T. 7% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.