Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
2 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
5 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
6 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
8 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
9 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
10 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
11 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
12 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
13 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
14 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 4%
15 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
16 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
17 JAOCHICO Christopher (Chris) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 19%
18 KOPPE Alexander 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2%
19 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
20 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
21 MAO Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
22 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
23 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
24 LAI Aedin 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1%
25 WEI HUNTER 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
26 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
27 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
28 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
29 SERAFIN Ben 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
30 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
31 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
32 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
33 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 8%
34 BENJAMIN Julio F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
35 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
36 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
37 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
38 SHA Michael 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
38 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
40 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
41 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
42 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
43 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
44 FANG Hanning 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% -
45 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
46 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
47 SUN Jason 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
48 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
49 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
50 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
51 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
52 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
53 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
54 ZHAI Avalo 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
55 YANG Edward 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
56 LAI Boden 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
57 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
58 CHAI Ethan 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
59 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
61 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
62 SUN Jeffery 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
63 REPIC Oliver 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
64 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
65 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
66 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
67 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
68 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
69 PAYNE Massimo 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
69 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
69 SHEN Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
72 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
73 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
74 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
75 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
76 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
77 BUSH Thomas 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
78 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
79 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
80 XIE Brandon 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
81 AGAON Ethan 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
82 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
83 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
84 SUN James H. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
85 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
86 ZHAO Zidong 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
87 LI Zachary 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
88 FU Ethan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
89 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
89 HU Anton 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
89 YOON Walter 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
92 SO Lorenzo 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
93 AYALA Jaime 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
94 WU Colin 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
95 ZHANG ethan 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
96 CHU Brandon A. 100% 63% 17% 2% - -
97 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 71% 24% 3% - - -
98 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
99 ZHANG Roland 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
100 YAO Bowen 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
101 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
102 ZHANG William 100% 95% 67% 23% 4% - -
103 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
103 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
105 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
106 BUACHIE Aaron 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
106 JIANG Matthew 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
108 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
109 SONG Troy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 REDDY Arya 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
111 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
112 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
113 MEN Junda 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
114 FENG Du 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
115 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
116 CORRIDON Jack T. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.