January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 52% 23% 5%
3 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
7 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 28% 6%
8 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 77% 51% 23% 6% 1%
9 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 16% 4% -
10 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
11 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
12 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 42% 19% 6% 1% -
14 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 32% 7%
15 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
16 OURSLER Jack 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
17 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
18 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
19 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
20 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 48% 19% 3%
21 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 17% 5% 1% - -
22 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 32% 14% 4% 1% - -
23 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
24 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
24 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 98% 89% 71% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - -
26 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 58% 28% 8% 1%
27 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 57% 28% 9% 1% -
28 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 29% 12% 3% 1% - -
29 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
30 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 99% 95% 81% 57% 30% 11% 3% 1% - - -
31 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 30% 11% 2% -
32 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 34% 12% 2% -
33 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
34 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 27% 9% 2% -
35 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 48% 21% 5% -
36 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
37 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
38 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - -
39 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 36% 15% 4% 1% -
40 CHEN Yi-Tung 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
41 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 15% 4% -
42 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 29% 9% 1%
42 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 33% 13% 3% 1% - -
44 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 34% 14% 3% -
44 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 49% 18% 3%
46 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 34% 11% 1%
46 MIN Eric 100% 100% 96% 83% 59% 32% 13% 4% 1% < 1% - - -
48 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
49 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 44% 19% 5% -
50 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
51 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 51% 26% 9% 2% -
52 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
53 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
54 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
55 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 30% 12% 3% 1% - -
56 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 40% 18% 5% 1% -
57 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 29% 11% 3% - -
58 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% - -
59 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
60 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
61 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 48% 25% 10% 3% - - -
62 TOTUSEK Marek 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 47% 22% 6% 1%
63 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 37% 15% 4% 1% - - -
64 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 50% 25% 9% 2% -
65 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 30% 11% 2% -
66 LI Matthew 100% 99% 95% 79% 54% 27% 10% 3% - - - - -
67 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 17% 4% -
68 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 25% 8% 1% -
69 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 42% 19% 5% 1% - -
69 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 41% 18% 5% 1% -
71 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 58% 30% 11% 2% -
71 YU Jason 100% 98% 87% 62% 33% 13% 4% 1% - - - - -
73 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 49% 23% 6% 1%
74 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 12% 2% -
74 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 32% 13% 3% - -
76 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
77 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 60% 33% 13% 3% 1% -
78 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 54% 26% 8% 1%
79 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 51% 27% 10% 3% 1% - -
79 CHEN Boris 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 27% 11% 3% 1% - - -
81 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 36% 15% 4% 1% - -
82 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 27% 8% 1% -
83 LIN Michael 100% 99% 96% 83% 60% 34% 15% 4% 1% - - - -
84 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 54% 29% 11% 3% - - -
85 YANG Luao 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
86 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 29% 10% 2% - -
87 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% - - -
88 LEYNEN DUBUS Victor 100% 95% 76% 47% 22% 7% 2% - - - - - -
89 SINGH Dayaal 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
90 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
91 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 60% 32% 12% 3% - - -
92 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
93 HE Patrick 100% 99% 94% 77% 49% 24% 8% 2% - - - - -
94 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 45% 20% 6% 1%
94 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 54% 28% 10% 2% - -
96 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
97 LEE Chris 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 32% 11% 3% - - - -
98 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 95% 81% 56% 29% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
99 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
100 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
101 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 13%
102 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
103 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
104 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
105 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
106 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
107 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
107 LANG Dong Lin 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
109 LI Eric 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
110 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
110 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
112 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
113 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
114 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
115 SENIC Lucas 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
116 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 1%
117 CO Dylan 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
118 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
119 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
120 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
121 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
122 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
122 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
124 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
125 LU Yikai 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
126 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
127 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
128 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
129 MORROW Brenden 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
130 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
132 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 8%
133 HAN Changhee 100% 99% 86% 49% 12% 1%
134 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
135 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
136 KIM John J. 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
137 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
138 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
139 LI Toby 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
140 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
141 NGUYEN Martin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
142 PARK Jason B. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
143 DEGROOT Blake 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
144 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
145 AHN Jun 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
145 LI Samuel 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
147 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
148 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% -
149 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
150 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
151 LIN Youlong 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
152 WU DING-JUN 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
153 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
154 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
155 JIANG Owen 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
156 WOO Christian 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
157 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
158 LI Daniel J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
159 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
160 LI Aaron 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
161 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
162 MYERS Dean 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
163 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
164 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
165 JAUME Andrei 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
166 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
167 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
168 DETERING Julian 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
169 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
170 TANG August L. 100% 91% 58% 18% 1% -
171 LOVIN Vlad 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
172 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
173 PO Oliver 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
174 QIAN Jason H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
175 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
175 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
177 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 12% 1%
178 SMITH Grant D. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
178 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
180 GAO William 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
181 MIALL Steven A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
182 GAO Payton 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
183 ZHAO Bowen 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
184 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
185 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
186 MATSAKH Philip 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
187 CANO Marcos E. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
188 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1%
189 CHIN Julian S. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
190 CHENG Alex N. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
191 LO Preston 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
192 EDISON Ansel 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
193 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
194 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
195 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
196 WU Alber Y. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
197 KIM Jackson 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
198 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
199 WONG Garrick G. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
199 IVANENKO Alex 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
201 TAN Christien 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
202 CHENG Nathan 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
203 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
204 FINLEY Dylan 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
205 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
205 MA Andrew 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
205 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
205 HAINES Ethan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
209 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
210 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
211 PAN Henry 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
211 LEE Eugene 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
213 LEE Seungwon 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
214 GOBBO Alexander 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
215 DORE Davis 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
216 ORR Spencer 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
217 SONG Noel 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
218 ZHANG Aaron 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
219 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
220 WU Trevor 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
221 LEVY Jacob 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
222 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
223 HU Robin 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
224 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
225 WANG Ethan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
226 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
226 TALASILA Arush 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
228 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
229 CHOI Ethan 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
230 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
231 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
232 HUANG Eythan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
233 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
233 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
235 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
235 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
237 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
238 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
239 BROWN Darius D. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
239 PONS Diego 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
241 UPTON Craig 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
242 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
243 FUKUDA Diego 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
244 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8% 1%
245 LEE Christopher T. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
246 LI Avery Peihong 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
247 YOON DYLAN 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
248 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
249 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
250 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
251 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
252 GERVAIS Joel 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
252 TSAO Lukas 100% 96% 73% 30% 3% -
254 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
255 HUANG Jonathan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
256 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
256 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
256 YAP Nathan 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
259 LEWIS Jared 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
260 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
260 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
262 REYES Omar 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
263 NGUYEN Liam 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
263 LAK Isaac 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
265 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
266 WU Lucas 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
267 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
267 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
267 FLANAGAN James 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.