The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Learn More

Event Results

Cadet Men's Épée

November NACSurprise Map

Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM Kentucky International Convention Center · Louisville, KY, USA
290 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 RUBIN Daniel V V V V V V V V V V V V 4.3 5 +0.7
2 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan V V V V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
3 SHAN Simon V V D D V V V V V V V V D 5.6 4 -1.6
3 YUE Hongrui V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. V V V V V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
6 TIKHONOV Iliya V V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
7 LO Jake V V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
8 DODIN David D V V D D V V V V V D 4.4 2 -2.4
9 YANG Boyan V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
10 FU Leon V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
11 KIM Nathan V V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
12 LAI Boden V V D V V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
13 CHIRASHNYA Daniel V V V D V V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
14 ZHENG Andy V V V V D D V V V V D 5.5 4 -1.5
15 HEADRICK Lance V V V D D V V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
16 TANG William D V V D D V V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
17 LE BORGNE Matthieu V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
18 RIGGINS Joshua V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
19 SILVERS Ari V D V V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
20 WANG justin D V V V V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
21 DAVOODIAN Christopher D V V V V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
22 CHIN Dylan A. V V V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
23 DHAL Leon D V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
24 TRULL A.J. V V D V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
25 LI Ethan R. V V V V D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
26 HE Kaixuan V V D V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
27 WANG Daniel V V V V D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
28 KATS Dylan G. V V D V V D V V V D 5.6 4 -1.6
29 WOLFE Alex V V V V D D V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
29 IARIKOV Nicholas D V V V D V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
31 LU Jacob V D V V D V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
32 LIU Adam D D V V V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
33 YAO Geoffrey B. V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
33 BARG Jonathan V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
35 FAN Jackson V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
36 MAO Benjamin V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
37 SU Caleb V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
38 ESKRIDGE Caleb V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
38 ZIEGLER John V V V V V V V D 3.8 6 +2.2
40 BOUDREAUX James V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
41 HUANG Kenneth V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
42 BRODSKY Julian V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
43 ROMANOV Ethan V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
44 MODANLOU Navid V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
45 TIKHOMIROV Theodore V V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
46 KARNAS Karol V V V V D V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
46 LIU Yikun D V V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
48 TAI Edison V V V V V D V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
49 ELHUSSEINI Dylan V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
50 ZI QIN Shang D V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
51 ZAYDMAN Ethan V V V V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
52 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard V V D V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
53 DONAHUE Lake V V V D V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
54 ERLIKHMAN Adrian V D V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
55 PARK Sangwook D V V V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
55 CHEN Ryan D V V V D V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
57 KUGLER Luke V V D D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
57 RIM Eugene D D V V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
59 CHEN Leonardo D V V D V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
60 ROBINSON Samuel V V D D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
61 SHCHUR Landon V V D V D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
62 GRAVES Lawson D D V V V D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
63 GINZBURG Adam V V D D V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
64 WANG Tony V V D D D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
65 DOUBOV Andrew V V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
66 BUI Henry V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
67 WONG Baron V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
68 CLICK Tristan V V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
69 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) V D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
70 ELHUSSEINI Kyle V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
71 CHUNG Andrew V V V V D V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
72 ANDERSON Kai V V V V D V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
73 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN V V V D V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
74 ZHENG Jerry V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
75 LOISEAU Eliott V V V D V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
76 NORMILE Nicholas V V D V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
77 KIM Jayden V V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
78 SANTOS Antonio K. V D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
79 CHEN Brian D D V V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
80 FRANGER Max V V V D V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
80 LAM Alan D V V V D V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
80 TRAN Spencer D V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
83 MARENCIK Miles D V D V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
84 DUKO Phillip V V D V V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
85 SHOUSHA Hamza D V V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
85 CHEN Luowen V D D V V V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
87 WU Alistair V V D D V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
88 HAMZA Tudor V V V D D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
89 XIA Dashan D V V D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
90 LEE DoWon V V D V V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
91 SIYANKO Joshua D D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
92 ATKINS Levi H. D D V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
93 DODIN Daniel M. D D V V V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
94 BORISENKO Samuel V D D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
95 CAMP Ethan V D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
96 WU Steven V V D D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
97 CHOI Zachary V D D D V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
98 MIDYANY Evan D V V V D D V D 3.0 3 -
99 SIEDOW William V D D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
99 CHANG Andrew V D V V D D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
101 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar D V V D V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
102 CORBIN Bennett V D D D V V V D 4.6 3 -1.6
103 KIM Henry D V D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
104 DONG Haiyi(Leo) V V D D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
105 SOKOL Luke V D V D V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
106 MIAO Quentin V V D D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
107 CHEN Bailey V D V V D D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
108 VUILLEMIN Gregoire D V V D D V V D 3.0 3 -
108 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco D D V V D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
110 MULDOON Thomas D D V V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
111 MOORE Alexander D D V V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
112 LEE Aiden V V D V D D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
112 OTTAVIANO Aaron D V D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
114 CHEN Jayden V V V D D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
115 LIDSKY Phineas V V V D D D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
116 LOISEAU Oscar D D V V V D V D 3.0 3 -
117 GOROZA Eric D D V V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
117 BAGDONAS Olivier D V V V D D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
119 KARIMOV Amir V D D V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
120 JONES Reilly D V V D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
120 LIPPMAN Jake D D V D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
122 FANG Hanning D D V D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
123 WANG Jason D D V V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
124 OSBORN Hunter V V D D D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
125 LIOZNYANSKY Miron V V D D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
126 RONG Gordon V D V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
127 CARDENAS Lucas V V D D D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
128 HEADRICK Jack D D D D V V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
129 LESCURE Dimitri V V D V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
130 LEE Samuel Y. V V V D V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
131 RICHARD silas V V V V D V D 3.7 5 +1.3
132 ZHANG James D V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
133 PARK Nicholas D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
134 JEONG Arisu V V V D V D 1.6 4 +2.4
135 JAIN Samyak V V D D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
136 KHANNA Nikhil D V V V V D D 5.1 4 -1.1
137 HU Lucas V V V D V D D 4.1 4 -0.1
138 PENG Yue V V D D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
139 MITEV Alexander D V V D V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
140 LIN Nathan D D V V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
141 WILLIAMS Logan V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
142 ZHU Yiming V V V V D D D 1.3 4 +2.7
143 SINGLETON Aman D V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
144 PAN Tristan D V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
145 MUENKE Magnus D V D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
146 SANTOS Francisco M. D V V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
147 MORIN-JIANG Jake D V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
148 WANG Joey D V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
149 TESFAYE Elias V V D V D D 2.0 3 +1.0
150 HSU Joshua D V V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
151 PEREZ Daniel D V V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
152 IBANEZ Benjamin D V D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
153 SAVORETTI Pietro D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
154 SIM Ian V V D V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
155 KE Sebastian D V D V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
156 LIU Yueri V V D V D D D 4.0 3 -1.0
157 KIM Ian V D V V D D D 4.2 3 -1.2
158 HENSLEY Roran D V D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
159 LEE Damien D V D V V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
160 YU Austin V D V V D D D 3.9 3 -0.9
161 BRADSHAW Carter D V V V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
161 CHO Alex D D V V V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
163 LEE Inwoo D D V D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
164 KIM Teo V D D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
165 CHENG Trevor D D V V D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
166 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil V D V V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
166 HERDMAN Julian D D V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
168 MCMILLAN Jackson V. V V D D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
169 RUSSELL James V D D V D V D 3.0 3 -
169 HERNDON Liam V V D V D D D 3.0 3 -
171 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas D D V V V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
172 SAUNIER Cameron D V V V D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
172 ZHANG Michael D V V D V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
174 YI Nathan D V V D D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
175 LEE Anton V D D V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
176 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO D D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
177 NALLICHERI Ayaan V D D D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
178 PAL Ian K. V D D V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
179 LOUIE Joseph V D D D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
180 CHEN Bowen D D V V V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
181 AGROMAYOR Benjamin D V D V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
182 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian V V D D V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
183 GREENMAN Duke V V D D D V 1.9 3 +1.1
184 YANG Gary D D V D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
185 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) D D V V D D 3.2 2 -1.2
185 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas V D V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
187 OBERDERFER Vladimir V V D D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
188 SHIN Ryan D V D V D D 2.0 2 -
189 AHMED Mohsen V D V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
190 KROPP Wesley D D D V V D 1.2 2 +0.8
190 MCLAREN Mason D D V V D D 1.2 2 +0.8
192 HENNESSY Levon V D D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
193 ALEXANDER Christopher D V D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
194 SOOS Whitman D D V V D D 2.0 2 -
195 MEN Junda D V D D V D D 3.6 2 -1.6
196 TIKHONOV Daniel V V D D D D D 4.4 2 -2.4
197 KIM Gene D V V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
198 LI Timothy D D D V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
199 DECKER Hunter D D D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
200 JOBE Connor D D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
201 YILMAZ Tarik D D D D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
201 SHEN Orlando V V D D D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
201 KIM Joshua D D V V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
204 PARKER Isaiah D D D V V D D 4.2 2 -2.2
205 BENNETT Pierce V D D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
206 LEE Aiden V D V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
207 TSE Maxwell D D D V D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
208 LI Yunji (Rain) D D V D V D D 4.2 2 -2.2
209 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) D D V V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
210 VYSOTSKIY Evan D D V V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
211 WONG Vansen V D D D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
212 CAFASSO Alexander D V D V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
213 VAN JAARSVELD Leo D V V D D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
214 BAUMAN Colin D D V V D D D 0.8 2 +1.2
215 OLSON Joseph D D V D D V D 0.8 2 +1.2
215 TANG Michael D D D V V D D 1.0 2 +1.0
217 HE Bronto V V D D D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
218 GUO Woody D D V V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
218 LIU Max D V D D D V D 0.5 2 +1.5
220 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. D V D D D V D 0.7 2 +1.3
221 WONG Maximus V D D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
222 BO Genero V D D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
222 AU Joshua D V V D D D D 0.4 2 +1.6
224 SHAFFER Tyler D D V D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
225 WANG Marcus D V D V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
226 ALI Farhan D D D D V D 2.9 1 -1.9
227 CUMMINGS Owen V D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
228 REID Wesley D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
229 PARKE Nathaniel V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
230 DELONG Joshua D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
231 NOFZIGER Bennett V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
232 WANG aaron V D D D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
233 ADDYSON Aidan V D D D D D 1.0 1 -
234 MOSLEY Wally D D D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
235 TU Jimmy D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
236 JONES Gideon V D D D D D 0.2 1 +0.8
237 SOLOMON Aryeh D D D V D 0.4 1 +0.6
238 VAN VACTER Thomas D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
239 MEHROTRA Neel D D D D D V 2.8 1 -1.8
240 PAN Anthony D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
241 CHAN Raphael V D D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
242 FOGEL Jake D D D V D D 0.8 1 +0.2
243 ZHAO Pierce D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
244 LI zerong V D D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
245 LIU Zicheng (Andy) D D V D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
246 ZHANG Austin D D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
247 KONG Brandon D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
248 SU Samuel D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
248 HELMY Richard D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
250 SATISHKUMAR Pranav D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
251 ZHANG Lucas D D D D D V 2.8 1 -1.8
251 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki D D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
253 LEWIS Michael D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
253 ZHANG Luqi D V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
253 KABA Elias D D D V D D 2.3 1 -1.3
256 CAO Gavin D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
257 MASSIE Jay D D D V D D 1.3 1 -0.3
258 BOSS Evan D D D D V D 2.3 1 -1.3
259 SUN Neo D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
259 OCONNOR Paul D V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
261 LEE Daniel D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
262 MA Ciel D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
263 WANG Devin D D D D D V 1.4 1 -0.4
263 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
265 KARLEKAR Veer D D D D D V 0.6 1 +0.4
266 LI Ray D D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
267 BANG Dylan D V D D D D 0.5 1 +0.5
268 SZCZAPA Lukas V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
268 BUHLER Isaac V D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
270 LI Grayson D D D D V D 0.6 1 +0.4
271 BARFORD Giovanni D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0
272 VINOTH Aaron D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
273 LI Tristan D D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6
274 SHCHUR Grayson D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
275 MCNARY Sean D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
276 CLARE James D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
277 DENG Destin D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
278 YAO Tristan D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
279 JIANG Harry D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
280 GACIOCH Noah D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
280 NILSEN Mark D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
282 RICHMOND Ozan D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
283 KIM Remington D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
283 VENZON Gavin D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
283 GOODMAN Liam D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
286 FONG Henry D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
287 VANDERMEER Joshua D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
288 AYOTTE James D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
289 SLAVIN Tamir D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
290 KNYSH IURII D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%