November NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUBIN Daniel - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
2 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
3 SHAN Simon - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 YUE Hongrui - - - - 3% 23% 74%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 1% 14% 85%
6 TIKHONOV Iliya - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
7 LO Jake - - - - 3% 24% 72%
8 DODIN David - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
9 YANG Boyan - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
10 FU Leon - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
11 KIM Nathan - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
12 LAI Boden - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
13 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - - 5% 30% 65%
14 ZHENG Andy - - - - 6% 34% 60%
15 HEADRICK Lance - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
16 TANG William - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 1%
17 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
18 RIGGINS Joshua - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
19 SILVERS Ari - - - 2% 19% 47% 31%
20 WANG justin - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
21 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 5% 30% 65%
22 CHIN Dylan A. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
23 DHAL Leon - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
24 TRULL A.J. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
25 LI Ethan R. - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4%
26 HE Kaixuan - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13%
27 WANG Daniel - 1% 7% 30% 45% 17%
28 KATS Dylan G. - - - - 5% 31% 64%
29 WOLFE Alex - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
29 IARIKOV Nicholas - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
31 LU Jacob - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
32 LIU Adam - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
33 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
33 BARG Jonathan - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
35 FAN Jackson - - 1% 11% 37% 41% 10%
36 MAO Benjamin - - - 3% 20% 48% 30%
37 SU Caleb - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
38 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
38 ZIEGLER John - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
40 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
41 HUANG Kenneth 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
42 BRODSKY Julian - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
43 ROMANOV Ethan - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
44 MODANLOU Navid - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
45 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
46 KARNAS Karol - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
46 LIU Yikun - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
48 TAI Edison - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
49 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
50 ZI QIN Shang - 1% 13% 37% 37% 11%
51 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
52 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard - 7% 28% 39% 22% 3%
53 DONAHUE Lake - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
54 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 7%
55 PARK Sangwook - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
55 CHEN Ryan - 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
57 KUGLER Luke - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
57 RIM Eugene 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
59 CHEN Leonardo - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
60 ROBINSON Samuel - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
61 SHCHUR Landon - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
62 GRAVES Lawson - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
63 GINZBURG Adam - - 5% 23% 44% 24% 3%
64 WANG Tony 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
65 DOUBOV Andrew - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
66 BUI Henry - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
67 WONG Baron - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 6%
68 CLICK Tristan - - 4% 20% 41% 30% 4%
69 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
70 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 3% 17% 40% 32% 7%
71 CHUNG Andrew - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
72 ANDERSON Kai 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
73 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
74 ZHENG Jerry - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 5%
75 LOISEAU Eliott - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
76 NORMILE Nicholas - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
77 KIM Jayden - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 5%
78 SANTOS Antonio K. - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
79 CHEN Brian - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
80 FRANGER Max - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
80 LAM Alan - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
80 TRAN Spencer - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
83 MARENCIK Miles 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
84 DUKO Phillip 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
85 SHOUSHA Hamza - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 3%
85 CHEN Luowen 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
87 WU Alistair - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
88 HAMZA Tudor - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
89 XIA Dashan - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
90 LEE DoWon 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
91 SIYANKO Joshua - 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
92 ATKINS Levi H. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
93 DODIN Daniel M. 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
94 BORISENKO Samuel - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
95 CAMP Ethan - 6% 29% 41% 20% 3%
96 WU Steven 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
97 CHOI Zachary - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
98 MIDYANY Evan 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
99 SIEDOW William - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
99 CHANG Andrew - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
101 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 2% 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
102 CORBIN Bennett - - 1% 8% 32% 42% 16%
103 KIM Henry - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
104 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - 2% 12% 35% 36% 13% 1%
105 SOKOL Luke - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
106 MIAO Quentin - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
107 CHEN Bailey - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
108 VUILLEMIN Gregoire - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
108 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
110 MULDOON Thomas 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
111 MOORE Alexander 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
112 LEE Aiden - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
112 OTTAVIANO Aaron 4% 28% 42% 22% 5% - -
114 CHEN Jayden 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
115 LIDSKY Phineas - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 4%
116 LOISEAU Oscar 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
117 GOROZA Eric 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
117 BAGDONAS Olivier 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
119 KARIMOV Amir 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
120 JONES Reilly - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
120 LIPPMAN Jake 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
122 FANG Hanning - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
123 WANG Jason 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
124 OSBORN Hunter - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
125 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
126 RONG Gordon 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
127 CARDENAS Lucas - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
128 HEADRICK Jack 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
129 LESCURE Dimitri - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
130 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
131 RICHARD silas - 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
132 ZHANG James - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
133 PARK Nicholas - - 5% 26% 48% 21%
134 JEONG Arisu 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
135 JAIN Samyak - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
136 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
137 HU Lucas - - 3% 20% 45% 27% 5%
138 PENG Yue - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% -
139 MITEV Alexander - - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
140 LIN Nathan 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
141 WILLIAMS Logan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
142 ZHU Yiming 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
143 SINGLETON Aman - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
144 PAN Tristan - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
145 MUENKE Magnus 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
146 SANTOS Francisco M. - 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
147 MORIN-JIANG Jake 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
148 WANG Joey - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
149 TESFAYE Elias 5% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
150 HSU Joshua 4% 28% 43% 21% 4% -
151 PEREZ Daniel 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
152 IBANEZ Benjamin 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
153 SAVORETTI Pietro 1% 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
154 SIM Ian 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
155 KE Sebastian 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
156 LIU Yueri - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
157 KIM Ian - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
158 HENSLEY Roran 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
159 LEE Damien 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
160 YU Austin - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
161 BRADSHAW Carter 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
161 CHO Alex 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
163 LEE Inwoo - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 3%
164 KIM Teo - 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
165 CHENG Trevor 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
166 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
166 HERDMAN Julian 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
168 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1% -
169 RUSSELL James 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
169 HERNDON Liam 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
171 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
172 SAUNIER Cameron - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
172 ZHANG Michael 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
174 YI Nathan 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
175 LEE Anton 2% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
176 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
177 NALLICHERI Ayaan 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
178 PAL Ian K. 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
179 LOUIE Joseph 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
180 CHEN Bowen 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
181 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
182 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
183 GREENMAN Duke 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
184 YANG Gary - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
185 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
185 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 1% 11% 34% 38% 13% 1%
187 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 2% 13% 35% 38% 14%
188 SHIN Ryan 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
189 AHMED Mohsen 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
190 KROPP Wesley 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
190 MCLAREN Mason 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
192 HENNESSY Levon 29% 47% 20% 3% - -
193 ALEXANDER Christopher 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
194 SOOS Whitman 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
195 MEN Junda - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
196 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
197 KIM Gene - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
198 LI Timothy 19% 47% 27% 7% 1% - -
199 DECKER Hunter 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
200 JOBE Connor 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
201 YILMAZ Tarik 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
201 SHEN Orlando 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
201 KIM Joshua 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
204 PARKER Isaiah - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
205 BENNETT Pierce 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
206 LEE Aiden - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
207 TSE Maxwell - 1% 6% 24% 41% 24% 4%
208 LI Yunji (Rain) - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
209 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
210 VYSOTSKIY Evan 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
211 WONG Vansen 32% 44% 20% 3% - - -
212 CAFASSO Alexander 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
213 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
214 BAUMAN Colin 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
215 OLSON Joseph 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
215 TANG Michael 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
217 HE Bronto 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
218 GUO Woody 2% 16% 39% 33% 8% 1% -
218 LIU Max 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
220 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
221 WONG Maximus 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
222 BO Genero 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
222 AU Joshua 65% 30% 5% - - - -
224 SHAFFER Tyler 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
225 WANG Marcus 12% 43% 34% 10% 1% - -
226 ALI Farhan - 6% 26% 43% 22% 3%
227 CUMMINGS Owen 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
228 REID Wesley 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
229 PARKE Nathaniel 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
230 DELONG Joshua 34% 47% 17% 3% - -
231 NOFZIGER Bennett 5% 33% 42% 18% 3% -
232 WANG aaron 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
233 ADDYSON Aidan 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
234 MOSLEY Wally 29% 50% 18% 3% - -
235 TU Jimmy 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
236 JONES Gideon 81% 17% 1% - - -
237 SOLOMON Aryeh 64% 31% 5% - - -
238 VAN VACTER Thomas 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
239 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
240 PAN Anthony 6% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
241 CHAN Raphael 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
242 FOGEL Jake 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
243 ZHAO Pierce 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% - -
244 LI zerong 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
245 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 5% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
246 ZHANG Austin 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
247 KONG Brandon 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
248 SU Samuel 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
248 HELMY Richard 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
250 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
251 ZHANG Lucas 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
251 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
253 LEWIS Michael 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
253 ZHANG Luqi 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
253 KABA Elias 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
256 CAO Gavin 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% - -
257 MASSIE Jay 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
258 BOSS Evan 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
259 SUN Neo 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
259 OCONNOR Paul 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
261 LEE Daniel 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
262 MA Ciel 22% 45% 27% 6% - - -
263 WANG Devin 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
263 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
265 KARLEKAR Veer 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
266 LI Ray 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
267 BANG Dylan 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
268 SZCZAPA Lukas 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
268 BUHLER Isaac 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
270 LI Grayson 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
271 BARFORD Giovanni < 1% 5% 23% 42% 25% 4%
272 VINOTH Aaron 2% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
273 LI Tristan 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
274 SHCHUR Grayson 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
275 MCNARY Sean 42% 45% 12% 1% - -
276 CLARE James 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
277 DENG Destin 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
278 YAO Tristan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
279 JIANG Harry 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
280 GACIOCH Noah 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% 1% -
280 NILSEN Mark 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
282 RICHMOND Ozan 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
283 KIM Remington 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
283 VENZON Gavin 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
283 GOODMAN Liam 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
286 FONG Henry 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
287 VANDERMEER Joshua 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
288 AYOTTE James 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
289 SLAVIN Tamir 62% 32% 5% - - - -
290 KNYSH IURII 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.