Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 26%
2 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
3 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
6 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
7 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
8 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
9 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
10 LEONE Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
11 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 7%
12 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
13 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
14 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
15 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 89% 45% 8% 1% -
16 CAO Albert 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
17 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
18 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
19 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
20 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
21 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 5%
23 JANG Elliot 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
24 KOKENGE Reid 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% - -
25 TAHOUN Aly 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
26 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
27 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
28 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
29 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
30 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
31 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
32 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
33 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 43% 3%
34 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
35 SU Caleb 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
36 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
37 WALCH Logan 100% 98% 81% 33% 4% -
38 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
39 KIM Prestin 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 2% -
40 SHARMA Om V. 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
41 MISHRA Milan B. 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
43 JORDAN Anton 100% 35% 3% - - -
44 PENHOET Adrien E. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
46 ZHANG Caden 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
47 ZHANG Kingston 100% 99% 77% 32% 4% -
48 GINZBURG Adam 100% 95% 68% 24% 1% -
49 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
50 MEISTER Josemaria J. 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
50 LOBSENZ Danny 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
52 HUBSCHER Max 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2% -
53 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9% -
54 BAYASGALAN Taivan 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
55 JONES Aidan 100% 95% 53% 9% - -
56 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 91% 47% 10% 1% - -
57 MITCHELL Cooper 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% - -
58 YEUNG Yun 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.