USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
2 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 CHEN Allen - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
3 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
5 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
6 GOOR Julian - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
7 LI Brandon H. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
8 KIM Brandon J. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
9 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
10 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
10 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
10 LI Richard - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
13 CHEN James P. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
14 BAS Liam - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
15 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
16 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 1% 7% 29% 44% 18%
17 KELLY William J. - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
18 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
19 ONIK Elijah T. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
20 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
21 BRUK Peter J. - - 3% 18% 38% 33% 7%
22 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 1% 14% 44% 40%
23 LYU Victor - 2% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1%
24 SINGH Dayaal - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
25 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
27 BUERGIN Aidan - 2% 13% 36% 36% 12% 1%
28 UM Ethan A. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
29 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
30 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
31 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
32 JEON Caleb A. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
33 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
33 LI Raphael C. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
35 WONG Adam L. - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
36 WU Nicholas - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
37 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
38 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
39 KASI Sanjay - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
40 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
41 OURSLER Jack - - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
42 YANG Luao - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
43 ZHENG Alan H. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 32% 8%
44 LI Owen - 2% 11% 31% 37% 16% 2%
45 LINDNER Ruben - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
46 OH SEAN 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
47 STRAYER Andrew 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
48 YU Eric W. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
49 CULLIVAN Justice - - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
50 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
51 ARIZA Isaac A. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
52 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
53 BAE Kevin - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
54 JAIN Aditya - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
55 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
55 LO Conrad - - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
57 MURRAY Maximo - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
58 LEE Chris 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% 1%
59 LIN Dashiell - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
60 WILLIAMS Connor J. 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
61 AYUPOV Ilya - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
62 ZHANG Luke T. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
63 TANG Owen S. - 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
64 JI Aidan Y. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
65 DICKSON Farr R. - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
65 CHIN Julian S. - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
67 KAO Castor T. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
67 ZHANG Andy W. - - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
69 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
70 SADOVSKY Leor B. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
71 MITCHELL Philip D. - - 1% 9% 37% 41% 12%
72 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
73 LIU Niles J. - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
73 YU Vinni - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
75 HO Jia Le Sean - 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 1%
76 KWON Ethan - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
77 KIM Yonjae - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
78 JANG Jaewon - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
79 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
80 WOO Christian - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
80 SICHITIU Alexander - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
82 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
83 HOWARD Michael 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
84 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
84 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
86 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
87 BANERJEE Anup - 1% 6% 24% 41% 24% 4%
88 BAE Junnie - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
88 GAO William 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
90 MORAIS Paulo - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
91 YI Stephen K. - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
92 SHA Yi Peng - 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2%
93 LOVE Aaron 1% 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
94 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
95 MION Lorenzo - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
96 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
97 OH Samuel H. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
97 BING Charles - 1% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
99 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
100 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
101 LEE Jacob J - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
102 WU Alexander - - 5% 21% 40% 27% 6%
103 LUTAR Lucas N. - - 1% 5% 23% 47% 24%
103 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
105 VALOUEV Aleksey - 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
106 WYMAN Julian - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
107 YU Anders - - 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
108 OTAKE Jared K. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
109 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
110 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
111 NAGER Noah - 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
112 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
113 HONDA Kazu Z. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
113 DIERKS Kian 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
113 SISINNI Riccardo 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
116 PYO Michael M. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
116 KNIZHNIK David - 4% 23% 47% 22% 4% -
118 DU Samuel R. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
119 VAZQUEZ Zander - 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
120 GLASSON Joseph - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
120 LUH Ethan K. 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
122 LU Yikai - 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
123 BREIER Matthew F. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
124 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
125 HEITZ Noah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
126 LIN James G. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
127 HOSKERI Anik S. 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
128 LIN Richard W. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
129 LEE Aidan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
130 LIN Michael 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
131 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 1% 6% 25% 42% 24% 3%
132 LEWIS Akhil 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
133 ZHANG Henry C. - - 1% 10% 39% 39% 11%
134 LI Jiaan - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
135 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
136 KO Brian J. - - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
137 KEE Andrew L. - 5% 35% 41% 17% 3% -
138 STANLEY Mason B. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9%
139 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
139 WANG Ethan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
141 ZENG Lucas H. - - 4% 21% 41% 29% 4%
142 KOBAL Maximilian 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
143 DAVIS Christopher M. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
143 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
145 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
146 LAURICELLA Douglas - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
147 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
148 LI Eric 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
149 SONG Bryan 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
150 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
151 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
152 HAN Lawrence 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
153 GALLUCCI Charles John 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
154 DOCTOR Aidan L. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
155 CHENG Nathan - 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
156 MOHAMED Murad 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
157 GONG Benjamin 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
158 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
159 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
160 MUSHER Benjamin J. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
161 LANG Dong Lin 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
162 TAN Christien 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
163 DORAN Wesley C. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2%
164 BERK Theodore 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
165 CANO Diego A. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
166 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 4% 24% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
166 DAVIDSON Elliot 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
168 AHN Jun - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
169 RUSADZE Nickolas - 1% 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
169 TAHOUN Mostafa 2% 26% 43% 23% 5% - -
171 ACHILOV Sayid 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
171 WU Jerry Z. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
173 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
174 FORTUNE Alexander J. 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
175 BAEK David 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
175 JIANG Owen - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
175 MOHAMED Amir 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
178 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
178 WONG Garrick G. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
180 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 2% 19% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
181 ELKOUSY Laith H. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
182 DARIANO Noah G. - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
183 LEE Jacob 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
184 MYERS Dean 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
185 FU Samuel Y. 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 3%
186 CHENG Matthew S. - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
187 BALL James T. - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
188 DRESSEL Jet 28% 47% 21% 4% - -
189 SEAL Maximus R. 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
190 CHENG Jonathan 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
191 KIM Derek A. 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
192 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
193 ORVANANOS Jorge 2% 28% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
194 ZHAO Jason L. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
195 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19% 1%
196 DINSAY Kristjan 13% 40% 36% 10% 1% - -
196 DETERING Julian 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
198 NOWAK Joseph A. 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
199 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
199 PO Oliver 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
201 XIAO Edward - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
202 LEE Lukas 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
203 ZHENG Zhe 2% 29% 43% 21% 4% - -
203 WANG Winston 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
205 KIM Ryan Y. 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
206 STRUGAR Marcus A. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
207 LE Jacob W. 1% 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
207 SAGE Michael P. 2% 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
207 FINLEY Dylan 2% 24% 47% 23% 4% - -
210 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
211 DESHMUKH Arjun 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
212 DEGROOT Blake 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
213 GIRALDO Pablo E. - 2% 13% 38% 35% 11% 1%
213 PRASANNA Advaith 11% 34% 37% 15% 3% - -
215 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
215 CANO Marcos E. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
215 LEE Jonah 10% 38% 36% 14% 3% - -
218 HSIUNG Richie 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
219 TSAI Max W. 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
220 HOBSON Aaron K. 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
221 PAN Henry 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
222 ZHEN Ethan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
223 GOLDADE Luke A. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
224 GATZA Logan 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
225 REYES Omar - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
226 KIM Andrew J. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
227 GOGOI Vir K. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
228 FINNEY Lorenz 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
229 KLOSTERMANN Max - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26% 2%
230 KNOEPFFLER Alex 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
230 LI Matthew 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
232 PAE Brian L. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
233 LOVIN Vlad 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
234 KLOTZ Isaiah 4% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
235 REEVES Liam 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
236 TIYA BIAYA K. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
237 YOON DYLAN 8% 45% 37% 9% 1% - -
238 CO Dylan 3% 31% 43% 20% 4% - -
239 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
240 UPTON Craig 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
240 TORRES Treston 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
242 LI Avery Peihong 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
242 ALONSO Vinicius 25% 50% 22% 4% - - -
244 DANKAR Neel - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
245 WANG Mason 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
246 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 31% 49% 17% 2% - - -
246 WILKINS Mateo 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
248 RAJ Jay 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
248 ANDRIC Borna 11% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
250 WANG Brayden 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
250 IVANENKO Alex 18% 48% 29% 5% - - -
252 LE Vyn A. 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
252 MCCOSH Evin M. 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
254 BROWN Alexander R. 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
255 TSAY Jeremy M. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
256 PARK Sky 5% 29% 46% 18% 2% - -
257 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
257 OLSON Emerson 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
259 LI Samuel 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
260 PALMA Matthew Dominic 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
261 TALASILA Arush 55% 40% 4% - - - -
262 ZHAO Bowen 31% 57% 11% 1% - - -
263 TKACHUK Daniel 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
264 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
264 DEDENBACH Joseph 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
266 WECHSLER Jacob 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
267 ANDERSON Jacob 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
268 PARK Gabriel 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
268 CHEZ Nolan 80% 19% 1% - - - -
270 SEEDS Edward T. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
271 CHOE Jayden K. 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
272 DE COQUET Maximilian 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
273 PITERBARG Maxim 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
273 NGUYEN Liam 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
273 EDISON Ansel 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
276 WU Lucas 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
276 WU Alistair 72% 25% 3% - - - -
276 MARTIN William 72% 25% 2% - - - -
276 POPE Alexander 83% 16% 1% - - - -
276 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 82% 17% 1% - - - -
281 MATSAKH Philip 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
281 KUO Evan 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
281 BARRETT Austin 65% 29% 5% - - - -
284 AIKEN Nicholas A. 31% 46% 19% 3% - -
285 SANCHEZ Emanuel 45% 44% 10% 1% - - -
285 MCKINLEY Luke 97% 3% - - - - -
287 HSIAO Nicholas 39% 47% 13% 1% - - -
287 SETLUR Bhrugu 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
287 BOUCHARD Kai 71% 26% 3% - - - -
290 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
291 FECHTMEYER Theodore 81% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.