USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
8 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
10 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
10 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
10 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
13 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
14 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
15 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
16 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
17 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
18 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 7%
19 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
20 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
21 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
22 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
23 LYU Victor 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 12% 1%
24 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
25 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
27 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
28 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
29 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
30 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
31 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
32 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
33 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
33 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
35 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
36 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
37 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
38 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
39 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
40 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
41 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
42 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
43 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 8%
44 LI Owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
45 LINDNER Ruben 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
46 OH SEAN 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
47 STRAYER Andrew 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
48 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
49 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
50 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
51 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
52 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
53 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
54 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
55 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
55 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
57 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
58 LEE Chris 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
59 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
60 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
61 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
62 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
63 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% -
64 JI Aidan Y. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
65 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
65 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
67 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
67 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
69 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
70 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
71 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 12%
72 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
73 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
73 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
75 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 13% 1%
76 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
77 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
78 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
79 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
80 WOO Christian 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
80 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6% -
82 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
83 HOWARD Michael 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
84 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
84 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
86 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
87 BANERJEE Anup 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 28% 4%
88 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
88 GAO William 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
90 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
91 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
92 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
93 LOVE Aaron 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
94 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
95 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
96 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% -
97 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
97 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1%
99 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
100 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
101 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
102 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
103 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 24%
103 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
105 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
106 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
107 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
108 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
109 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
110 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
111 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
112 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
113 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
113 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
113 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
116 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
116 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 96% 73% 26% 4% -
118 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
119 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
120 GLASSON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
120 LUH Ethan K. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
122 LU Yikai 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
123 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
124 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
125 HEITZ Noah 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
126 LIN James G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
127 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
128 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
129 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
130 LIN Michael 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
131 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
132 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
133 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 11%
134 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
135 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
136 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
137 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% -
138 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
139 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
139 WANG Ethan 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
141 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
142 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
143 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
143 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
145 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
146 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
147 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
148 LI Eric 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
149 SONG Bryan 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
150 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
151 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
152 HAN Lawrence 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
153 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
154 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
155 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
156 MOHAMED Murad 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
157 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
158 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
159 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
160 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
161 LANG Dong Lin 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
162 TAN Christien 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
163 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
164 BERK Theodore 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
165 CANO Diego A. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
166 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% 1% -
166 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
168 AHN Jun 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
169 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
169 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 98% 72% 28% 5% - -
171 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
171 WU Jerry Z. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
173 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
174 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 4% -
175 BAEK David 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
175 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
175 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
178 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
178 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
180 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
181 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
182 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
183 LEE Jacob 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
184 MYERS Dean 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
185 FU Samuel Y. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
186 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
187 BALL James T. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
188 DRESSEL Jet 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
189 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
190 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
191 KIM Derek A. 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
192 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% -
193 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 98% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
194 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
195 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 1%
196 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% - -
196 DETERING Julian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
198 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% - -
199 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
199 PO Oliver 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
201 XIAO Edward 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
202 LEE Lukas 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
203 ZHENG Zhe 100% 98% 69% 25% 4% - -
203 WANG Winston 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
205 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
206 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
207 LE Jacob W. 100% 99% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
207 SAGE Michael P. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
207 FINLEY Dylan 100% 98% 74% 27% 5% - -
210 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
211 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
212 DEGROOT Blake 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
213 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 12% 1%
213 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
215 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 99% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
215 CANO Marcos E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
215 LEE Jonah 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
218 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
219 TSAI Max W. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
220 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
221 PAN Henry 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
222 ZHEN Ethan 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
223 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
224 GATZA Logan 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
225 REYES Omar 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
226 KIM Andrew J. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
227 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
228 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
229 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 2%
230 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
230 LI Matthew 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
232 PAE Brian L. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
233 LOVIN Vlad 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
234 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
235 REEVES Liam 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
236 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
237 YOON DYLAN 100% 92% 47% 10% 1% - -
238 CO Dylan 100% 97% 66% 23% 4% - -
239 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
240 UPTON Craig 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
240 TORRES Treston 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
242 LI Avery Peihong 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
242 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
244 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
245 WANG Mason 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
246 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 69% 20% 3% - - -
246 WILKINS Mateo 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
248 RAJ Jay 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
248 ANDRIC Borna 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
250 WANG Brayden 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
250 IVANENKO Alex 100% 82% 34% 5% - - -
252 LE Vyn A. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
252 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
254 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
255 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
256 PARK Sky 100% 95% 67% 21% 2% - -
257 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
257 OLSON Emerson 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
259 LI Samuel 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
260 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
261 TALASILA Arush 100% 45% 4% - - - -
262 ZHAO Bowen 100% 69% 11% 1% - - -
263 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
264 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
264 DEDENBACH Joseph 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
266 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% - -
267 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
268 PARK Gabriel 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
268 CHEZ Nolan 100% 20% 1% - - - -
270 SEEDS Edward T. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
271 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
272 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
273 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
273 NGUYEN Liam 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
273 EDISON Ansel 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
276 WU Lucas 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
276 WU Alistair 100% 28% 3% - - - -
276 MARTIN William 100% 28% 2% - - - -
276 POPE Alexander 100% 17% 1% - - - -
276 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 18% 1% - - - -
281 MATSAKH Philip 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
281 KUO Evan 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
281 BARRETT Austin 100% 35% 6% - - - -
284 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
285 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
285 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 3% - - - - -
287 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
287 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
287 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 29% 3% - - - -
290 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
291 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.