USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Épée

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOWE-THORPE Tyler - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
2 NOVOJILOV Alexei - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 TREBON Hayden - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
3 LANGENDERFER Braeden - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
5 IMREK Elijah S. - 1% 8% 22% 35% 26% 7%
6 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
7 WANG Tristan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 ULINICH Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
9 PAHLAVI Kamran - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
10 ZAYDMAN David M. - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
11 KIM Andrew J. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
12 WIECHMANN Colin - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
13 SPINA Joseph B. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
14 LAI Aedin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
15 WU Marcus 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
16 HUTTO Joshua 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
17 MCDANIELS Jeremy - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
18 XU Alex - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
19 SUN Jason 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
20 MULCAHY Olaf - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
21 SHETTY Surya - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
22 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
23 PETROV Niki A. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
24 SARKAR Anish - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
25 KNUDSEN Travis 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
26 HARR Carver 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2%
27 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
28 LEE JoonWon - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
29 MURPHY Thomas P. 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
30 CAO Brad 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
31 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
32 DALTON Matthew 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
33 HERMANSON David B. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
34 BASOK Nikita - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
35 LEHR William D. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
36 GALLO James - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
37 ABBOUD Michael - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
38 GUNDA Saketh - - 4% 15% 31% 35% 15%
39 WANG Trontour 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
40 JUN Jaywu - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
41 CHOI Kaiden I. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
42 DANIEL Camron - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
43 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
44 SHA Michael 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
45 LOESER Jacob - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
46 VACCARO Dominick J. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
47 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
48 WATT Darren 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
49 ZHANG William - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
50 ARANA Abraham 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
51 CHRISTENSEN Parker 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
52 COETZEE Frans M. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
52 UVAROV Andrii - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
54 BEAVER Aaron 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
55 MAHESH Tarun - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
56 ROLLO Emmett H. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
56 SIMPSON Patrick - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
58 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
59 PARK Augustine 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
60 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick - 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
61 DONDISCH Ilan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
62 O'CONNOR Riley 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
63 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
64 SCHARF Ryan - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
65 CASTLE Aaron - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
66 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
67 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
68 CONKLIN Jim - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
69 DU Shunyu K. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
70 DUBOIS Peter - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
71 TIRADO Giancarlo 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
72 JORDAN Anton 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
73 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 21%
74 LOISEAU Eliott 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
75 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
76 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
77 CHAMBLISS Logan C. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
78 BHARGAV Siddharth 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
79 DELAND Stuart R. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
80 NIKOLOV Peter - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
81 SERAFIN Ben 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
82 GULLO Kenji Y. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
83 CHEN Jun Ho - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
84 PRIHODKO Max - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
84 ZHU Eric 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
86 JENSEN Daniel G. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
86 DAVIS Jonah 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
88 TEH Steven 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
89 PAK Elliot 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
90 TORRES Gianni 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
91 JONES Caleb - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
92 CHUNG Yeongbin - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
93 DRIBIN Ezra - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
94 SCHERNIKAU Jack 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
95 VELUVALI Vivek S. 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
96 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
97 FU Ethan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
98 WADE Grayson 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
99 ZHANG Nathan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
100 SHCHUR Landon - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
101 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
102 JOHNSON Jay - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
103 WENGER Caleb 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
104 BURGESS James E. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
104 PARCELEWICZ John M. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
106 JONES Dominic R. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
107 STEPHENS Corbin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
107 FU Leon 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
109 QUITORIANO Matthew 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
110 BANKULLA Nihal R. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
111 KOPPE Alexander - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
111 LEE Chun Po - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
113 ROTHKA Spencer J. 8% 26% 33% 22% 8% 2% -
114 BAGCHI Aritra 4% 17% 32% 29% 15% 4% -
115 SILVERS Ari - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
116 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
117 WANG Max S 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
118 XIAO Andrew 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
119 MUSEL Daniel 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
120 ROBINSON Matthew 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
121 CROSSMAN Brandon 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
122 EVERS Gabriel 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
123 BRODSKY Julian 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
124 LEADBETTER Gordon 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
125 KUBATIN Anton V. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
126 OSTIGUY Cameron 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
127 HANNON Owen 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
128 GAO Zachary 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
129 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
130 ASGARALLY Anthony - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
131 KIM Sullivan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
132 WANG David 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
133 MCADOO Declan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
134 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
135 GERSEN Jacob 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
135 FENG du 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
135 KMOSKO Nicholas 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
138 DOWDELL Riley 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
139 MORTIMER Gavin 4% 19% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
140 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
141 YANG Zeph 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
142 RICHARD silas 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
143 VELINOV Gabriel 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
144 AYABINA JR John 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
145 SCHIAVONE Oreste 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
146 PARKER Riley D. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
147 EVANS Grant 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
148 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
149 TOLLEFSON Zachary 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
150 HEADRICK Lance 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
151 BROWN Allan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
152 PENG Gregory 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
153 SINHA Zaan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
154 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
155 CHIZ Max H. - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
156 LIMER Avi 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
157 CHIN Dylan A. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
158 LEE Bryson 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
159 MA Bochen 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
160 JONES Reilly 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
161 JOSLIN Tyler 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 7% 1%
161 LIN Harrison 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
163 EGAN Edward L. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
164 ZELIN Sam J. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
165 NABAVI Matthew R. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
165 GUPTA Karan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
167 PARKS Isaac 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
168 ECKEL Anson J. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
168 FUSSMAN Yuval 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
170 MARTINEZ Joshua 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
171 JENNINGS Adin 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
172 BARNETT Devin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
173 REDDY Arya 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
174 CORRALES Victor M. 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
175 DUAN eric 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
176 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
177 KERTESZ Stefan G. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
178 SHULL Marc 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
179 WEBB Jacob T. 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
180 FULLERTON Joshua D. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
181 KOYFMAN Benjamin 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
182 ZHENG Jerry 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
183 MARRAN Erik R. - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
184 PETERSON Matthew 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
185 WANG Albert 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
186 SUN Jeffery 12% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
187 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
188 MITTLER Frederick 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
189 VENET Téva 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
190 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
191 MENDOZA Zander 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
192 HINTON Nickolys R. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
193 KENT V David 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
194 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
195 VRAPI Dorian A. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
196 MANAUGH Guy 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
197 CHU Brandon A. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
198 TORRES Nicolas 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
199 MIAO Kunqi 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
200 KIM Jeff 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
201 TAM Ethan 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
201 STETSON Jahaan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
203 WILSON Benjamin H. 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
204 KENT IV David 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
204 TENHUNDFELD Jack 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
206 SHETTY RIHAN 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
207 HU Robert J. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
208 MING Nathan 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
209 QUITORIANO Jonathan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
210 BRADFORD Ethan 47% 40% 11% 2% - - -
211 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
212 KIM Dylan 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
213 JANYSKA Allen 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
214 HICKIE Bryant 14% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.