Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, April 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
5 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
5 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
7 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
8 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 24% 4%
9 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
10 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
11 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
12 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
13 WOO Christian 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
14 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
15 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
15 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
17 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
18 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
19 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
20 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
21 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
22 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 18%
23 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
24 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
25 LU Yikai 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
26 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
27 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
28 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
29 REYES Omar 100% 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
30 LI Matthew 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
31 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
32 KNIZHNIK David 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
33 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
34 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
35 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
36 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
37 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 1%
38 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
39 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
40 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
40 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
42 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
43 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
44 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
45 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 3%
46 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
47 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
48 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
49 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
50 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
51 MIALL Steven A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
52 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
53 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 96% 73% 27% 3%
54 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
55 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
56 MOHAMED Amir 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
57 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
58 LI Eric 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
59 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
60 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
61 LI Owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
62 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
62 HAN Changhee 100% 98% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
64 PO Oliver 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
65 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% < 1%
66 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
67 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
68 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
69 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
70 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
70 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
72 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
73 MURRAY Maximo 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
74 LIN James G. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
75 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
76 HE Xiangrui 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
77 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
78 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
79 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
80 CHENG Nathan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
81 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
82 YU Anders 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
83 WU DING-JUN 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
84 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
84 BADLANI Dev 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
86 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
87 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
88 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
89 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
90 AHN Jun 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
91 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
92 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 2% -
93 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
94 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
94 OH SEAN 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
96 MATSAKH Philip 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
97 CHIN Julian S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
98 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
99 EDISON Ansel 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
100 BALL James T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
101 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
102 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
103 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 97% 73% 26% 3% -
104 DIERKS Kian 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
104 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
106 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
107 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
108 KIM Jackson 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
109 LE Jacob W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
110 MOHAMED Murad 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
111 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
112 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
113 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
113 JI Aidan Y. 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
115 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
116 LEE Chris 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
117 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
117 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 67% 13% 1% - - -
117 LI Arvin 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
120 KIM Adrian 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
121 LOVIN Vlad 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
122 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
123 PAN Henry 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
124 WYMAN Julian 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
125 LANG Dong Lin 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
125 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
127 CHENG Jonathan 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
128 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
129 TAN Christien 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
130 MYERS Dean 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
131 CANO Marcos E. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
132 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
133 FLYNN Ian 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
134 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
135 DORE Davis 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
136 LIN Michael 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
137 GARCIA HERNANDEZ Lucas 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
138 LIU William 100% 39% 6% - - - -
139 TSAO Lukas 100% 97% 60% 19% 3% -
140 MA Andrew 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
141 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 61% 15% 1% - -
142 LEE Jacob 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
143 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
144 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
145 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 7%
145 GUO Justin 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% - -
145 FUKUDA Diego 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
148 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
149 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 5% -
150 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
151 QIAN Jason H. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
152 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
153 ZHEN Ethan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
153 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
155 SONG Bryan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
155 TEH Ryan 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
157 WEI Chit Chun (David) 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
158 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
159 BOYKO Miles 100% 37% 6% - - - -
160 GNEUHS Sam 100% 50% 6% - - - -
161 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
162 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
163 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
164 SONG Noel 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
165 ZHAO Bowen 100% 74% 25% 3% - -
166 LI Jett 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
167 CHOI Simon 100% 29% 3% - - - -
168 KOKKER Thomas 100% 14% 1% - - -
169 METTE Russell 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
170 MORRISON Eddie 100% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.