National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, July 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
2 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - - 6% 35% 58%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
5 CHEN Ziyuan - - - - 2% 25% 72%
6 YANG Luao - - - 1% 7% 37% 56%
7 LEE Jacob J - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
8 JEON Caleb A. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
9 KIM Brandon J. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
10 EMMER Chase T. - - - - - 5% 95%
11 SOSNOV David - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 BANERJEE ANUP - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
13 BRUK Peter J. - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
14 LYU Weiqiao Victor - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
15 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
16 MURUHIN Yaroslav - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
17 CHEN Allen - - - - 5% 30% 65%
18 SINGH Dayaal - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
19 DIERKS Kian - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
20 BURKE Spencer W. - - - - 8% 47% 45%
20 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 1% 17% 81%
20 KUMBLA Samarth - - - - 1% 18% 80%
20 KIM Yonjae - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
24 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
25 ROSE Ben - 3% 19% 40% 32% 6%
26 XIAO EDWARD - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
27 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
28 COELHO Cristiano P. - - 1% 6% 28% 50% 15%
29 TANG Owen S. - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
30 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
31 ONIK Elijah T. - - - 1% 12% 51% 35%
32 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
33 LI Owen - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
34 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
34 SISINNI Riccardo - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
36 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
37 LI Brandon H. - - - - 1% 17% 83%
38 DAI Jonathan T. - - 5% 27% 49% 19%
38 SIU Aiden - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
40 UM Ethan A. - - - 1% 18% 81%
41 YU Anders 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
42 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
43 LEE Chris - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 9%
44 LI Richard - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
45 WYMAN Julian - - 4% 18% 41% 33% 3%
46 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
47 KASI Sanjay - - - - 5% 34% 61%
48 KIM Nicholas W. - - - - 6% 35% 59%
49 SHA Yi Peng - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
49 AHN Jun - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
51 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
52 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
53 VALOUEV Aleksey - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11% 1%
54 DIESTELKAMP Niklas - - 6% 27% 43% 21% 3%
55 GUO Justin 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
56 NAGER Noah - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 4%
57 JIANG Owen - - 5% 25% 44% 22% 3%
58 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
59 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
60 KIM Ryan Y. - - 3% 16% 37% 37% 6%
61 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
62 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
63 BALL James T. - 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
64 SHIN Joshua J. - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
65 ZHANG Andy W. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
66 HUTH Mitchell - - - - 6% 37% 57%
67 ZENG Lucas H. - - 1% 8% 34% 45% 12%
68 FUKUDA Alessio R. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
69 BELLUOMO David C. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
70 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
71 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
72 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 5%
73 GRIFFITH JACK - - - 4% 21% 46% 30%
74 MOHAMED Murad - 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 3%
75 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
76 LAO Scott E. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
77 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
78 WONG Antonio 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
79 MA Andrew - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
80 KEE Andrew L. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
81 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 7% 35% 48% 9%
82 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
82 LU Yikai - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
84 MIALL Steven A. - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 4%
84 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
84 GONG Benjamin - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
87 LEE Jonah - 2% 16% 41% 32% 9% 1%
88 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
89 WU Alexander - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
90 WOO Christian - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
91 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
92 WILLIAMS Connor J. 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 1%
93 GODZHIK Zachary - - 5% 24% 46% 26%
94 GOOR Julian - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
95 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
96 CO Dylan - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
97 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
98 PO Oliver - 1% 7% 25% 41% 24% 2%
98 MIN Eric - - 3% 19% 49% 26% 2%
100 GAO William - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
101 OH SEAN - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
101 LINDNER Ruben - - - 5% 28% 58% 9%
103 LI Eric - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
104 KAO Castor T. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
105 GATRELL Mitchell E. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7% -
106 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - 3% 15% 37% 34% 10%
106 DAVIDSON Elliot - 2% 15% 38% 36% 7% -
108 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
109 HO Jia Le Sean - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
109 NGUYEN Martin - 5% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
111 FINLEY Dylan - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6% -
112 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
113 WU Nicholas - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
113 BING Charles - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
113 AZUELA maximo - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
116 STRUGAR Marcus A. 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
117 LO Conrad - - 1% 9% 41% 49%
118 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
119 WONG Garrick G. 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
120 GATZA Logan - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
121 LIN James G. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
122 JAIN Aditya - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
122 CHIN Julian S. - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
124 DERRICK Blake 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
125 KIM Jackson 1% 11% 32% 39% 17% 1%
126 SONG Austin 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
127 LI Matthew 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
128 KIM Andrew J. - 1% 11% 36% 37% 13% 2%
129 DORAN Wesley C. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
130 MION Lorenzo - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
131 HOBSON Aaron K. - 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
132 RENTERIA Emiliano - 3% 19% 43% 30% 4% -
133 LIN Michael - 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 2%
134 LOVE Aaron - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
134 TSAO Lukas 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
136 TANG August L. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
137 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
138 LIGOS Alex M. 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
139 KNIZHNIK David - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
140 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 2%
141 KRYLTSOV Michael 1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
142 MATSAKH Philip - 2% 16% 38% 34% 9% -
143 LEE Aidan - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
143 HOSKERI Anik S. - 6% 24% 39% 24% 6% 1%
143 PALMA Matthew Dominic - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
146 FEDONCHIK Henry J. - 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
146 LARA Diego - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
148 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 6% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
149 SONG Noel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
150 SICHITIU Alexander - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
150 MYERS Dean - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% 1%
150 REICHEL Ezra 35% 42% 19% 4% < 1% - -
153 SUNG Chang-Han S. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
154 SAGE Michael P. - 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
155 PARK Rion 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
156 LEUNG Jin 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
157 TIYA BIAYA K. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
158 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
159 WANG Mason 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
160 LIU Michael H. 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 1%
161 HE Xiangrui 1% 6% 26% 42% 22% 4%
162 JITTAN daniel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
163 TAHOUN Mostafa 1% 10% 36% 39% 12% 1%
164 DINSAY Kristjan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
165 YOON DYLAN - 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
166 LI Arvin 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
167 YEE Johnathan 2% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
168 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 1% 10% 33% 44% 12%
169 CANO Marcos E. - 2% 15% 40% 36% 7% -
169 TAN Christien - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
169 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
172 LING Eddie - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
173 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
174 CHENG Nathan - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
174 REYES Omar - 1% 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
174 LEE Jacob - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
174 MOHAMED Amir - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 3%
178 WU Lucas 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
179 WANG Winston - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% -
180 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
180 LI Aaron 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
182 LUH Ethan K. - - 1% 6% 27% 50% 17%
183 SENIC Lucas - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% 1%
184 ACHILOV Sayid - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
185 MA Bryant 2% 49% 37% 10% 1% - -
185 ALONSO Vinicius 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
187 HAN Changhee - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17% -
188 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
189 LEE Christopher T. 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
190 KLOTZ Isaiah 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
191 ZHEN Ethan 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
192 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 1% 7% 31% 47% 14%
193 LLIDO Soren 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
194 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3%
194 OH Jaden 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 6% -
196 DORE Davis 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
197 MILLER Aidan A. 1% 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
198 CHENG Jonathan 1% 13% 40% 35% 9% 1%
199 QIAN Jason H. - 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
200 XIE Buster 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
201 WU Alistair 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
202 PARK Sky 21% 48% 26% 5% - -
203 MUSHER Benjamin J. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
204 FINNEY Lorenz 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
205 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 6% 35% 40% 16% 3% - -
205 LI Toby 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
207 JI Aidan Y. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
208 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2% -
209 KIM Brian 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
209 RAJ Jay 2% 19% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
211 LEE Brendan 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
212 POPE Alexander 12% 37% 37% 12% 1% - -
213 WU Trevor 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
214 LE Jacob W. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15% 1%
214 SIMA Congyu Josh - 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
216 GUTH Joseph 4% 22% 41% 27% 6% - -
216 KIM Jonah 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
218 TANG Albert 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
218 DETERING Julian - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
218 SAH Steven 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
218 LI Avery Peihong 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
222 XU Andy P. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
222 DRESSEL Jet 4% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
222 PAN Henry 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
225 ORVAÑANOS Jorge 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
225 LIU William 9% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
225 NGUYEN Liam 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
225 PETERSON Matthew 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
229 HUANG Jonathan 8% 32% 37% 18% 5% 1% -
230 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
230 YI William 1% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
230 KIM Daniel Y. 4% 35% 40% 18% 3% - -
233 HOWARD Michael - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
234 SRINIVASAN Vedant 4% 27% 43% 21% 4% - -
235 NICOLL William 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
235 YAP Nathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
237 KHER Roan 2% 16% 39% 34% 8% 1% -
237 LO Preston 6% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
237 AGUINAGA Pedro - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
240 SEAL Maximus R. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
241 KIM Adrian 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
242 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
243 CHUN Dashel 54% 38% 7% 1% - - -
244 FAN Yuchen 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
245 LANG Dong Lin - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
245 RUBIN Max 14% 41% 35% 9% 1% - -
247 LI Ayren 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
248 WANG Ethan 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
249 JOHNSON Chance 9% 43% 36% 10% 1% - -
250 TONKOVICH Ryan 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
251 KIM Andy 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
252 HSIAO Nicholas 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% - -
253 HUANG Eythan 1% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
254 LI Samuel 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
255 WANG Brayden 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
256 ANDERSON Jacob 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
257 BAE Kevin - 4% 16% 35% 33% 12%
258 GAO Payton 31% 45% 20% 3% - -
258 GOH Jonas 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
260 GOGOI Vir K. 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
261 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
262 GOBBO Alexander 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
262 KIM Aiden 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
264 FUKUDA Diego 20% 47% 27% 6% 1% -
265 ZHAO Bowen 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
266 PAI Lakshan K. 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% -
267 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 8% 35% 41% 15% 2% - -
268 XU Ethan 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% - -
269 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 2% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
270 KITAGAWA Eric S. 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
271 TAN Aidan 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
272 ZHANG Jacob 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
273 NICOLL James 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
273 WONG Yuheng Isaac 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
275 SHAGIDANYAN German 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
276 GOLDADE Luke A. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
277 CHEZ Nolan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
278 KONG Luculentus X. 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
279 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
280 LAM Nicolas 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
281 GUEVARA Isaac 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
282 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
282 CORTRIGHT Skipper 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
282 LEVY Jacob 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
285 TUAN Evan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
285 AGRAWAL Niki 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
285 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
285 MAGALONG William 24% 44% 26% 6% - - -
289 ZHANG Aaron 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
290 SETLUR Bhrugu 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
291 ANDRIC Borna 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2% -
291 EDISON Ansel 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% - -
293 TRUBETSKI David 5% 34% 41% 17% 3% - -
294 CHIN Ryan 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
295 BIESIADA Jan 21% 43% 28% 7% - - -
295 TULYAG Azim 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
295 TALASILA Arush 8% 37% 38% 14% 2% - -
298 VANOYEN Dominick 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
298 MORTON Joshua 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% - -
300 BAEK David 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
300 KALAMAS Nikolas 65% 30% 4% - - - -
302 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
303 MCCOWN Ronan 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
303 LEE Jayden 17% 51% 26% 5% 1% - -
305 LIM Lance Jeremiah 11% 40% 38% 11% 1% - -
306 BATRA Dev 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
306 SHAPIRO Leon 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
308 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 73% 24% 3% - - - -
308 KANDAGADLA Rishi 43% 43% 12% 1% - - -
310 CHUANG Oscar 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
310 LEE Eugene 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
312 ORNELAS Matteo 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
313 BOYKO Miles 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
314 GRANT Lachlan K. < 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
315 FU Steven 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
316 CHANG Nathan 80% 19% 1% - - - -
317 MILLER Jordan 45% 42% 11% 1% - -
318 LE Jacob H. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
319 SMITH Grant D. 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
320 BARRETT Austin 46% 41% 11% 1% - - -
320 YU Stephen 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
322 AIKEN Nicholas A. 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
323 IVANENKO Alex 43% 44% 12% 1% - -
324 STEVENS Paul S. 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
324 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
326 WANG Rory 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
326 BAE Eugene 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
328 FRANK Amir 73% 24% 3% - - - -
328 BORG Matthew 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
328 DUSZA Zachery 12% 39% 37% 11% 1% - -
331 ROSSMAN Brock 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
331 MEMMOTT Ben 63% 31% 5% - - - -
331 GREENLEAF Paul 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
331 WONG Evan 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
331 HUNTER Phillip 57% 36% 6% - - - -
336 GREENEBAUM Oliver 64% 31% 5% - - - -
337 RNO Kyler 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
337 KUO Jayden 95% 5% - - - - -
337 YORK Lucas 62% 32% 5% - - - -
340 LEE Ethan 78% 20% 2% - - - -
340 MARTIN William 18% 49% 27% 6% 1% - -
342 DE COQUET Maximilian 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.