National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, July 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 ZHENG Andy - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 SHAN Junzhe - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
6 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
8 CHEN Leonardo - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
9 TRULL A.J. - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
10 FISHMAN Rahm - - 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
11 BRODSKY Julian - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
12 WANG justin - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
13 YUE Hongrui - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
14 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
15 ZHANG JIAMING - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
16 LIU Yikun - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
17 ZHAI Avalo - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
18 KIM Nathan - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
19 KATS Dylan G. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
20 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
21 RIGGINS Joshua - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
22 SU Caleb - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
23 SIYANKO Joshua - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
24 LO Jake - - - - 4% 26% 70%
25 WANG Xiaowei - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
26 MAO Benjamin - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
27 TSE Maxwell - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
28 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
29 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
30 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
31 LAI Boden - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
32 MITEV Alexander - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
33 FU Leon - - - - 6% 31% 63%
34 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
35 KARNAS Karol - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
36 BARG Jonathan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
37 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
38 FRANGER Max - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
39 PAN Tristan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
40 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
41 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 2%
41 ZHU JIAMING - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
43 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
43 RUBIN Daniel - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
45 KUGLER Luke - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
45 CARTY JR Johndale - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14%
47 SANTOS Francisco M. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
47 VINOTH Aaron - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
49 YANG Boyan - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
50 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
50 LUTYENS-HUMFREY Charlie - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
52 CHOI Zachary - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 19%
53 WEGENER Soren - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
54 HAMZA Tudor - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
55 XIA Dashan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
56 DONDISCH ilan - - 2% 12% 33% 42% 11%
57 PARKER Isaiah - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
58 MIAO Quentin - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
59 BUI Henry - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
60 ZHAO ZHANYAN - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
61 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
62 CHIN Dylan A. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
63 LAM Alan - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
64 ANAFI Ari 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
65 HEADRICK Lance - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
66 AYOTTE James 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
67 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% < 1%
68 KIM Jayden - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
69 PARK Nicholas - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
70 PETROVICH Alexandar 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
71 WONG Baron - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
72 BHATT Arjun 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
73 WU Alistair 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
74 ATKINS Levi H. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
75 DOUBOV Andrew - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
76 YANG Tianyi 1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
77 KIM Henry 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
78 JAIN Samyak - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
79 CHAI Ethan - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
79 HELMY Richard 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
81 SANTOS Antonio K. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
81 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
83 MIZRAHI Michael 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
84 BARFORD Giovanni 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
85 ROMANOV Ethan - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
86 LI Zachary - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
86 YANG Gary 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
86 JIANG ryan - - 1% 9% 27% 42% 21%
89 LEE Inwoo - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 4%
90 RUSSELL James - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1%
90 ZIEGLER John - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
90 KIM Ian - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
90 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
90 TANG William - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
95 ZHENG Jerry - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
95 CHUNG Andrew - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
97 TAI Edison - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
98 XIE Brandon - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
98 AHMED Mohsen 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
100 TIKHONOV Iliya - - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
100 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
102 DHAL Leon - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
102 LI Jeff - - - 6% 28% 44% 21%
104 JONES Reilly - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
105 LIN Nathan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
106 LEE DoWon 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
106 TRAN Spencer 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
108 WANG Joey - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
109 邦特 李 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
110 LI Morgan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
111 KIM Gene 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
112 COHEN Nathan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
113 SIMMES Jackson - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
114 LU Jacob - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
115 SCHIEK Harrison - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
116 LI Yunji (Rain) - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
117 CLICK Tristan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
118 HU Lucas - 1% 6% 21% 39% 29% 5%
119 KARIMOV Amir 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
120 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
121 CHUTKAY Pratham 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
121 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
123 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 6% 25% 42% 23% 3%
124 MODANLOU Navid 1% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2%
125 PARK Sangwook - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
126 HE Kaixuan - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
127 JIANG Matthew 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
128 KONG Brandon 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
129 ROBINSON Samuel 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% < 1%
130 WOLFE Alex - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
131 SINGH Ravin - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
132 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
133 SOKOL Luke 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
134 ALI Farhan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
135 GRAVES Lawson - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
136 THOMAS Michael - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
137 CARDENAS Lucas - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
138 VRAPI Dorian A. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
139 SONG Charlie 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
140 RICHARD silas - 3% 13% 29% 32% 19% 4%
141 SZIEDE Kieran 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
142 CHEN Bailey - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
143 CHEN Brian - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
144 CAMP Ethan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
145 SIM Ian 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
146 PETROW Zoryan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
147 FEINBERG James Y. 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
148 RAPALSKI Thomas 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
149 LI Jade 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
150 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
151 WONG Preston 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
152 LIPPMAN Jake - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
153 BAKKEN Archer 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
154 LIU Adam - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
155 LEE Damien 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
156 KLINKNER Richard 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
157 DADE Augustus 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
157 DUKO Phillip 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% -
159 KIM Teo 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
159 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
161 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
162 FANG Hanning - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
162 LEE Jayden J. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
164 WU Steven 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
164 CAO Ray 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
164 KIM Teddy 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
167 RVACHEV Michael 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
168 DADE MAXIMUS 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
169 CHHU Allen 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
169 RIM Eugene 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
171 ZENG Andrew 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
172 JOBE Connor - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
174 SONG Troy - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
175 LEE Royce 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
176 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
176 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
178 LI Ethan R. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
179 SIEDOW William - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
179 SHOUSHA Hamza 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
179 WANG Aiden 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
182 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
183 ZI QIN Shang - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
184 LIU Yueri 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
185 OSBORN Hunter - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
186 YU Austin - 1% 8% 25% 40% 24% 2%
187 LI zerong 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
187 MEN Junda - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
189 ZHANG Lucas 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
190 LOISEAU Oscar 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
190 SHIN Ryan 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
192 NOFZIGER Bennett 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
193 DECKER Hunter 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
194 AVETISIAN Michael 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
195 WANG Daniel - - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
195 MAXU Tiger 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
197 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
197 MARKOWITZ Sam 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
199 CHEN Edward 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
200 SOOS Whitman 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
201 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
202 KENT V David - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
203 LESCURE Dimitri 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
204 ZHANG James 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
205 KE Sebastian 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
206 KIM Remington 20% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
207 LEE Aiden 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
208 TIKHONOV Daniel - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
209 ZHOU Austin 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
210 GUIRAUDET Alistair 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
211 CORTRIGHT Caedmon - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
212 CHEW Aedan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
213 YI Nathan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
213 HALL Gabriel 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
213 CORDOVA Colin 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
216 CHEN zhuoyang 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
217 WANG Kunqi 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
218 WILLIAMS Logan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
219 LASIYCHUK Nikita - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
219 WU Johnny y. - 6% 23% 40% 25% 5% -
219 DEL CASTILLO Oscar Gabriel 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
222 NAEMI Barsam 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
223 KIM Alexander 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
224 PALACIOS Francisco 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
225 VEERAVALLI Vivek 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% - -
226 NAM Nathaniel 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
227 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
228 VAN VACTER Thomas 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
229 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
229 HENSLEY Roran 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
231 RONG Gordon 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
232 SINGLETON Aman 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
232 HEADRICK Jack 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
234 THOMPSON North D. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
234 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
236 PAL Ian K. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
236 SHAFFER Tyler 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
238 WONG Ethan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
238 HUANG Kenneth - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
240 CHEN Jayden 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
240 ALAM Rajan 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
242 RATUSHNYI Georgii 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
242 FEI Victor 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
244 CHENG Trevor 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
245 GOWDA Suyog 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 6% 1%
246 GAO Victor 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
247 ROBERTS Phoenix 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
247 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
249 YU Jason 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
250 ZHAO Pierce 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
251 LIU Ethan 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
252 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
253 MILEY Walker 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
253 MULDOON Thomas 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
255 HERNDON Liam 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
256 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
257 WONG Maximus 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
258 LI Ray 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
259 PENG Yue 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
260 AVETISIAN Alexander 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
261 ZAHRAN Aiden 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
262 SHEN Orlando 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
262 JEONG Arisu 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
264 WANG-SONG Evan 31% 40% 22% 6% 1% - -
264 YANG Alex 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
266 NILSEN Mark 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
266 SERAFYM Damian - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
266 CHAUDHURI Kabir 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
269 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
270 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
270 SCHAUER Oliver 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
272 DAN Rex 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
272 GUO Woody 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
272 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
275 GOROZA Eric 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
275 WANG Devin 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
277 NALLICHERI Ayaan 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
278 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
279 FU Adrian 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
280 SUN Neo 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
281 YOUNG Quentin 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
282 ARMSTRONG TyLee 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
283 PEREZ Daniel 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% - -
284 RAO Neil 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
285 GOLDSON Tyrese - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
285 LEE Henry 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
287 CHANG Ian 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
288 MOORE Alexander 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
289 WANG Tony Wang 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
290 ZHANG Michael 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
291 SUN Lucas 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
292 PAN Anthony 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
293 ORESKOVIC Olivier 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
294 LI Tristan 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
294 GADHVI Darius 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
294 MA Ryan 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
294 LEE Edward 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
298 WANG Marcus 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
298 POHL Philip 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
300 REID Wesley 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
301 LIN Haley 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
302 HU Anton 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
302 HSU Joshua 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
302 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
302 IBANEZ Benjamin 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
306 BOSS Evan 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
306 STAFFORD Bryan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
306 KOSTUSIAK Evan 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
306 ZOU Vincent 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
310 MCNARY Sean 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
310 BAGDONAS Olivier 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
312 MANGAN Hunter 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
313 EMERSON Zachary 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
314 OTTAVIANO Aaron 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
315 SUNKARA Vishnu 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
316 MORI Seneca 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
317 TESFAYE Elias 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
318 TOYOFUKU Ethan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.