National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, July 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
3 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
7 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
8 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
9 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
10 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
11 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
12 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
13 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
14 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
15 ZHANG JIAMING 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
16 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
17 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
18 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
19 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
20 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
21 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
22 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
23 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
24 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
25 WANG Xiaowei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
26 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
27 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
28 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
29 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
30 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
31 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
32 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
33 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
34 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
35 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
36 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
37 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
38 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
39 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
40 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
41 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 2%
41 ZHU JIAMING 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
43 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
43 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
45 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
45 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 14%
47 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
47 VINOTH Aaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
49 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
50 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
50 LUTYENS-HUMFREY Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
52 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
53 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
54 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
55 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
56 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 11%
57 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
58 MIAO Quentin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
59 BUI Henry 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
60 ZHAO ZHANYAN 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
61 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
62 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
63 LAM Alan 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
64 ANAFI Ari 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
65 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
66 AYOTTE James 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
67 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% < 1%
68 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
69 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
70 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
71 WONG Baron 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
72 BHATT Arjun 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
73 WU Alistair 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
74 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
75 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
76 YANG Tianyi 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
77 KIM Henry 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
78 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
79 CHAI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
79 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
81 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
81 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
83 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
84 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
85 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
86 LI Zachary 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
86 YANG Gary 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
86 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
89 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 4%
90 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
90 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
90 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
90 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
90 TANG William 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
95 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
95 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
97 TAI Edison 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
98 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
98 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
100 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
100 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
102 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
102 LI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
104 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
105 LIN Nathan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
106 LEE DoWon 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
106 TRAN Spencer 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
108 WANG Joey 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
109 邦特 李 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
110 LI Morgan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
111 KIM Gene 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
112 COHEN Nathan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
113 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
114 LU Jacob 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
115 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
116 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
117 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
118 HU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
119 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
120 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
121 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
121 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
123 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
124 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
125 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
126 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
127 JIANG Matthew 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
128 KONG Brandon 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
129 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% < 1%
130 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
131 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
132 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
133 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
134 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
135 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
136 THOMAS Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
137 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
138 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
139 SONG Charlie 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
140 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
141 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
142 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
143 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
144 CAMP Ethan 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
145 SIM Ian 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
146 PETROW Zoryan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
147 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
148 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
149 LI Jade 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
150 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
151 WONG Preston 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
152 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
153 BAKKEN Archer 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
154 LIU Adam 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
155 LEE Damien 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
156 KLINKNER Richard 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
157 DADE Augustus 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
157 DUKO Phillip 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
159 KIM Teo 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
159 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
161 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 21% 3%
162 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
162 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
164 WU Steven 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
164 CAO Ray 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
164 KIM Teddy 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
167 RVACHEV Michael 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
168 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
169 CHHU Allen 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
169 RIM Eugene 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
171 ZENG Andrew 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
172 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
174 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
175 LEE Royce 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
176 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
176 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
178 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
179 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
179 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
179 WANG Aiden 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
182 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
183 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
184 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
185 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
186 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 2%
187 LI zerong 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
187 MEN Junda 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
189 ZHANG Lucas 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
190 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
190 SHIN Ryan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
192 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
193 DECKER Hunter 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
194 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
195 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
195 MAXU Tiger 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
197 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
197 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
199 CHEN Edward 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
200 SOOS Whitman 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
201 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 2% -
202 KENT V David 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
203 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
204 ZHANG James 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
205 KE Sebastian 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% -
206 KIM Remington 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
207 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
208 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
209 ZHOU Austin 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
210 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
211 CORTRIGHT Caedmon 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
212 CHEW Aedan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
213 YI Nathan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
213 HALL Gabriel 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
213 CORDOVA Colin 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
216 CHEN zhuoyang 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
217 WANG Kunqi 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
218 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
219 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
219 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
219 DEL CASTILLO Oscar Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
222 NAEMI Barsam 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
223 KIM Alexander 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2% -
224 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
225 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1% -
226 NAM Nathaniel 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
227 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
228 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
229 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
229 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
231 RONG Gordon 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
232 SINGLETON Aman 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
232 HEADRICK Jack 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
234 THOMPSON North D. 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
234 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
236 PAL Ian K. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
236 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
238 WONG Ethan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
238 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
240 CHEN Jayden 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
240 ALAM Rajan 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
242 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
242 FEI Victor 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
244 CHENG Trevor 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
245 GOWDA Suyog 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
246 GAO Victor 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
247 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
247 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
249 YU Jason 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
250 ZHAO Pierce 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
251 LIU Ethan 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
252 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
253 MILEY Walker 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
253 MULDOON Thomas 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
255 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
256 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
257 WONG Maximus 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
258 LI Ray 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
259 PENG Yue 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
260 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
261 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
262 SHEN Orlando 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
262 JEONG Arisu 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
264 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 69% 29% 7% 1% - -
264 YANG Alex 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
266 NILSEN Mark 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
266 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
266 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
269 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
270 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
270 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
272 DAN Rex 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
272 GUO Woody 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
272 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
275 GOROZA Eric 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
275 WANG Devin 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
277 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
278 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
279 FU Adrian 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
280 SUN Neo 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
281 YOUNG Quentin 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
282 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
283 PEREZ Daniel 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
284 RAO Neil 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
285 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
285 LEE Henry 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
287 CHANG Ian 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
288 MOORE Alexander 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
289 WANG Tony Wang 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
290 ZHANG Michael 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
291 SUN Lucas 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
292 PAN Anthony 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
293 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
294 LI Tristan 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
294 GADHVI Darius 100% 79% 41% 13% 3% - -
294 MA Ryan 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
294 LEE Edward 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
298 WANG Marcus 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
298 POHL Philip 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
300 REID Wesley 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
301 LIN Haley 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
302 HU Anton 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
302 HSU Joshua 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
302 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
302 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
306 BOSS Evan 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
306 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
306 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
306 ZOU Vincent 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
310 MCNARY Sean 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
310 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
312 MANGAN Hunter 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
313 EMERSON Zachary 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
314 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
315 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
316 MORI Seneca 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
317 TESFAYE Elias 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
318 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.