November NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
2 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
6 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
7 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
10 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
11 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
12 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
13 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
14 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
15 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
16 TANG William 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17% 1%
17 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
18 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
19 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 31%
20 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
21 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
22 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
23 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
24 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
25 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
26 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
27 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
28 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
29 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
29 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
31 LU Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
32 LIU Adam 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
33 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
33 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
35 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 10%
36 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
37 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
38 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
38 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
40 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
41 HUANG Kenneth 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
42 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
43 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
44 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
45 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
46 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
46 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
48 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
49 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
50 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 11%
51 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
52 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 3%
53 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
54 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
55 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
55 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
57 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
57 RIM Eugene 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
59 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
60 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
61 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
62 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
63 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
64 WANG Tony 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
65 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
66 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
67 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 6%
68 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
69 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
70 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
71 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
72 ANDERSON Kai 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
73 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
74 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 5%
75 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
76 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
77 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 5%
78 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
79 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
80 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
80 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
80 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
83 MARENCIK Miles 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
84 DUKO Phillip 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
85 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
85 CHEN Luowen 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
87 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
88 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
89 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
90 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
91 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
92 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
93 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
94 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
95 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
96 WU Steven 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
97 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
98 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
99 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
99 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
101 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
102 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
103 KIM Henry 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
104 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
105 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
106 MIAO Quentin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
107 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
108 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% -
108 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
110 MULDOON Thomas 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
111 MOORE Alexander 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
112 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
112 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% - -
114 CHEN Jayden 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
115 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
116 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
117 GOROZA Eric 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
117 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
119 KARIMOV Amir 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
120 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
120 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
122 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
123 WANG Jason 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
124 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
125 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
126 RONG Gordon 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
127 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 1%
128 HEADRICK Jack 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
129 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
130 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
131 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
132 ZHANG James 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
133 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
134 JEONG Arisu 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
135 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
136 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
137 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32% 5%
138 PENG Yue 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% -
139 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
140 LIN Nathan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
141 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
142 ZHU Yiming 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
143 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
144 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
145 MUENKE Magnus 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
146 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3%
147 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
148 WANG Joey 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
149 TESFAYE Elias 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
150 HSU Joshua 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% -
151 PEREZ Daniel 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
152 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
153 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
154 SIM Ian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
155 KE Sebastian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
156 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
157 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
158 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
159 LEE Damien 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
160 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
161 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
161 CHO Alex 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
163 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
164 KIM Teo 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
165 CHENG Trevor 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
166 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
166 HERDMAN Julian 100% 88% 49% 15% 3% - -
168 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
169 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
169 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
171 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
172 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
172 ZHANG Michael 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
174 YI Nathan 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
175 LEE Anton 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
176 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
177 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
178 PAL Ian K. 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
179 LOUIE Joseph 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
180 CHEN Bowen 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
181 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
182 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
183 GREENMAN Duke 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% - -
184 YANG Gary 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
185 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
185 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
187 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
188 SHIN Ryan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
189 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
190 KROPP Wesley 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
190 MCLAREN Mason 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
192 HENNESSY Levon 100% 71% 23% 4% - -
193 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
194 SOOS Whitman 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
195 MEN Junda 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
196 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
197 KIM Gene 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
198 LI Timothy 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
199 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
200 JOBE Connor 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
201 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
201 SHEN Orlando 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
201 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
204 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
205 BENNETT Pierce 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
206 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
207 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 28% 4%
208 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
209 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
210 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
211 WONG Vansen 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
212 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
213 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
214 BAUMAN Colin 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
215 OLSON Joseph 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
215 TANG Michael 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
217 HE Bronto 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
218 GUO Woody 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1% -
218 LIU Max 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
220 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
221 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
222 BO Genero 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
222 AU Joshua 100% 35% 5% - - - -
224 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
225 WANG Marcus 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
226 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
227 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
228 REID Wesley 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
229 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
230 DELONG Joshua 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
231 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 95% 62% 20% 3% -
232 WANG aaron 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
233 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
234 MOSLEY Wally 100% 71% 21% 3% - -
235 TU Jimmy 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
236 JONES Gideon 100% 19% 1% - - -
237 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 36% 5% - - -
238 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
239 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
240 PAN Anthony 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
241 CHAN Raphael 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
242 FOGEL Jake 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
243 ZHAO Pierce 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
244 LI zerong 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
245 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
246 ZHANG Austin 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
247 KONG Brandon 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
248 SU Samuel 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
248 HELMY Richard 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
250 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
251 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
251 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
253 LEWIS Michael 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
253 ZHANG Luqi 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
253 KABA Elias 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
256 CAO Gavin 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% - -
257 MASSIE Jay 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
258 BOSS Evan 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
259 SUN Neo 100% 87% 47% 12% 2% - -
259 OCONNOR Paul 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
261 LEE Daniel 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
262 MA Ciel 100% 78% 34% 7% - - -
263 WANG Devin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
263 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
265 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
266 LI Ray 100% 93% 55% 17% 2% - -
267 BANG Dylan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
268 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
268 BUHLER Isaac 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
270 LI Grayson 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
271 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
272 VINOTH Aaron 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% -
273 LI Tristan 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
274 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
275 MCNARY Sean 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
276 CLARE James 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
277 DENG Destin 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
278 YAO Tristan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
279 JIANG Harry 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
280 GACIOCH Noah 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
280 NILSEN Mark 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
282 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
283 KIM Remington 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
283 VENZON Gavin 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
283 GOODMAN Liam 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
286 FONG Henry 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
287 VANDERMEER Joshua 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
288 AYOTTE James 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
289 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 38% 6% - - - -
290 KNYSH IURII 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.