National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COMES Matthew J. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
3 RODNEY Adam R. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 CANAUX Gabriel A. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
5 WHITE Sean - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
6 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 BISSINGER Michael P. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
8 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
9 NOLLNER Dylan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
10 MA Ark - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
11 MARAKOV Allen B. - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
12 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
13 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
14 SMOAK Omari Z. 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
15 JONES Simon A. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
16 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
17 ELLIS Yehia S. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2%
18 KRAFT Dennis A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
19 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
20 DUNCAN Corwin - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
21 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
22 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
23 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
24 ZHANG Joshua 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
26 TSINIS Alexander E. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
27 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
28 ROBINSON Riley 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
29 CLICK Aiden 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
30 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
31 SMITH Dwight - 1% 7% 22% 36% 26% 7%
32 KUMASHI Mihir R. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
34 LAWSON Henry A. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
35 LEE Ryan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
36 JEONG Connor - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
37 GRABER Andrew J. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
38 CANDELA Nicholas 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
39 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
40 ROGAK Benjamin A. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
41 GIBSON Nowell L. 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
42 ROY Joseph T. - 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
43 SOOMRO Adam A. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
44 CHONG christopher 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
46 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
47 DOLGONOS Mark - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
48 YOO Justin H. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
49 RODNEY Maxwell 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
50 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
51 LI Brian X 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
52 YUMIACO Nolan C. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
53 WU Joseph 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
54 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
55 STUSNICK Hunter - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
56 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 1% 6% 30% 63%
57 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
58 SPIER Julian H. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
59 JOHNSON Wesley (Wes) R. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
60 SHAH S Ayush 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
61 RUSSANOV Dennis 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
62 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - 1% 5% 19% 33% 31% 11%
63 GYURE Brayden H. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
64 GOLDFINE Ian J. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
65 JEON Alexander E. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
66 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
67 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
68 HADDAD Justin R. - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 16%
69 GOHEL Dayus T. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
70 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
71 GAIDAR Daniel B. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
72 WEISS Miles J. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
73 IVE Isaac L. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
74 VERMEULE Spencer - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
75 WONG NICHOLAS A. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
76 HILBERT Xavier - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
77 MACZIK Adam W. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
77 IYOKI Kent - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
79 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
80 BEKKER Mitchel 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
81 LIU John 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
82 LEE Daniel Y. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
83 SHENG Patrick Y. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
84 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
85 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
86 MUN Michael K. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
87 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
88 PRASAD Ankith 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
88 WIMMER Chandler M. 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
90 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
91 HENSAL Nicolas A. 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
92 CHMUT Anton 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
93 XU Zitong (Evan) 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
94 POPOVICI Michael A. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
95 KRAVIT Connor B. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
96 SHIV Rishi 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
97 WEISS Lewis E. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
97 LANGE Henry C. - - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
97 DOELEMAN zeno - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
100 LARSEN Samuel F. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
101 WALSH Kevin 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
102 LAWLER Aidan 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
103 ELGEZIRY Amro - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
104 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
105 SHARMA Sanil 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
106 YOUNG Peyton E. 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
107 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
108 MOORE Shomari A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
109 ZAFFT Maximo S. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
110 KROPP Jack 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
111 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
112 MANDOKI Sandor I. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
113 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
114 DAO Matthew M. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
115 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
116 POPOVICI Stefan N. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
117 HONDOR Robert D. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
118 THOMPSON Soren - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
119 CAI Kevin P. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
120 NORTH Gary S. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
121 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
123 INSLER Ethan C. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
124 YU Colin - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
124 SHAH Maximilian A. 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
126 RHYU Kozmo 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
127 SILVERS Noah E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
128 KUMAR Anitya 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
129 JIN Nicholas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
130 IMREK Samuel A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
130 BLISS Atticus H. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
132 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
133 FRAY Alexander 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
134 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
135 LONCAR Luka E. 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
136 HODGE Jaydon L. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
137 MORSE Tyler 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
138 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
139 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
140 ADLER Ethan M. 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
141 HAN Matthew - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
142 SAITOC Tudor - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
143 JEYOON Ryan S. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
144 PAHLAVI Kamran 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
145 LIU Alexander - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
146 CARPENTER Liam 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
147 SLAVINSKIY Alan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
148 HE Lawrence 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
149 GATZA Logan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
150 ANDREEV Arthur 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
151 LEE Shwan 50% 37% 11% 1% - -
152 KIM William M. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
153 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
154 MANCINI Christopher M. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
155 CHO Tyler H. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
156 GUI Runlin 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
156 MOSES Alexander 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
158 BORATIN Daniel I. 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
158 GLAZ Nicholas S. 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
158 KOKENGE Clark - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
158 JIN Owen 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
162 CHIEN Brandon - 1% 9% 25% 37% 23% 5%
163 FELDMAN Jaemin 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
164 LEE Timothy S. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
165 DOLMETSCH Max 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
165 PARK Ian C. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
167 KOFROTH Zachary R. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
168 SMITH Nicholas S. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
169 GRAY Sterling B. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
169 MOHEBI Saam 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
171 DELANEY Alexander D. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
172 ZHU Max 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
173 SMITH Jackson 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
174 SANDERS Ian W. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
175 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
176 MUNLIN Donovan 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
177 LIN Kyran 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
178 GREGORY Abram 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
179 SPITERI Gareth J. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
179 MERCHANT Reza H. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 20% 4%
181 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
182 SCHULTZ Alex 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
182 LIN Ryan 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
184 MCKEEVER Luca 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
185 KIM Ethan J. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
186 SILVER Cameron 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
186 LEHR William D. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
188 LEE Alexander G. 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
189 LIANG Aaron 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
190 KIM Derek D. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
190 PERSAUD Daivik 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
192 CASTLE Aaron 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
193 MCDERMOTT Brian 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
194 LUEDECKE Myles A. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
195 PARKER Riley D. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
195 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
197 SUVOROV Yuly 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
198 MATTIS George 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
198 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
200 DOAN Joseph M. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
201 CHAWLA Armaan 13% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
201 O'HARA Keegan J. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
203 ZHENG Hagen 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
204 BUYANOV Nikita V. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.