National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COMES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
5 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
8 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
9 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
10 MA Ark 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
11 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
12 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
13 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
14 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
15 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
16 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
17 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
18 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
20 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
21 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
22 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
23 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
24 ZHANG Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
26 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
27 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
28 ROBINSON Riley 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
29 CLICK Aiden 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
30 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
31 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
32 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
33 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
34 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 18%
35 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
36 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
37 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
38 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
39 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
40 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
41 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
42 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
43 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
44 CHONG christopher 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
45 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
46 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
47 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
48 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
49 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2% -
50 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
51 LI Brian X 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
52 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
53 WU Joseph 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
54 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
55 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
56 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63%
57 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
58 SPIER Julian H. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
59 JOHNSON Wesley (Wes) R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
60 SHAH S Ayush 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
61 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
62 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
63 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
64 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
65 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
66 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
67 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
68 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
69 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
70 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
71 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
72 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
73 IVE Isaac L. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
74 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
75 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
76 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
77 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
77 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
79 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
80 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
81 LIU John 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
82 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
83 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
84 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
85 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
86 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
87 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
88 PRASAD Ankith 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
88 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
90 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
91 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
92 CHMUT Anton 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
93 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
94 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
95 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
96 SHIV Rishi 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
97 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
97 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
97 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
100 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
101 WALSH Kevin 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
102 LAWLER Aidan 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
103 ELGEZIRY Amro 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
104 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
105 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
106 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
107 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 8% 1%
108 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
109 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
110 KROPP Jack 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
111 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
112 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
113 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
114 DAO Matthew M. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
115 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
116 POPOVICI Stefan N. 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
117 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
118 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
119 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
120 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
121 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
123 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
124 YU Colin 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
124 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
126 RHYU Kozmo 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
127 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
128 KUMAR Anitya 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
129 JIN Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
130 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 9% 1%
130 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 94% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
132 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
133 FRAY Alexander 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
134 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
135 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
136 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
137 MORSE Tyler 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
138 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
139 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
140 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
141 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
142 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
143 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
144 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
145 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
146 CARPENTER Liam 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5%
147 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
148 HE Lawrence 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
149 GATZA Logan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
150 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
151 LEE Shwan 100% 50% 12% 2% - -
152 KIM William M. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
153 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
154 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
155 CHO Tyler H. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
156 GUI Runlin 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
156 MOSES Alexander 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
158 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% - -
158 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
158 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
158 JIN Owen 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
162 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
163 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
164 LEE Timothy S. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
165 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
165 PARK Ian C. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
167 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
168 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
169 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
169 MOHEBI Saam 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
171 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
172 ZHU Max 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
173 SMITH Jackson 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
174 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
175 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
176 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
177 LIN Kyran 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
178 GREGORY Abram 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
179 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
179 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
181 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
182 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
182 LIN Ryan 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
184 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
185 KIM Ethan J. 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
186 SILVER Cameron 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
186 LEHR William D. 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
188 LEE Alexander G. 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
189 LIANG Aaron 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
190 KIM Derek D. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
190 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
192 CASTLE Aaron 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
193 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
194 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
195 PARKER Riley D. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
195 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
197 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
198 MATTIS George 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
198 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
200 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
201 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
201 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
203 ZHENG Hagen 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
204 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.