March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - - 4% 29% 66%
5 IARIKOV Nicholas - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
6 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
7 ZHENG Haoran - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
8 LEE Seungwon - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
9 KOKENGE Reid - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
10 LIN Kyran - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 KATS Dylan G. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
12 SILVERS Ari - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
13 ZHAO corey - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
14 WANG DEVON - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
15 LOISEAU Eliott - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
16 CAO Albert - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
17 SU Caleb - - - - 4% 27% 68%
18 NGUYEN Tate - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 RICHARDS Jackson D. - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
20 LO Jake - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
21 WANG zhixing (Daniel） 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
22 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - 2% 10% 31% 39% 18%
23 SHCHUR Landon - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
24 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 5%
24 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
26 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
27 WU Jonathan - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
28 CAO Brad - 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 4%
29 IRWIN Peter - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
30 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
31 WANG Clayton - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
32 LEE JoonWon - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
33 CHOI Mason - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
34 LEE Samuel Y. - - 1% 10% 32% 43% 14%
35 IMREK Elijah S. - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
36 PARK Nicholas - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
37 HE Zhiheng - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
38 KOYFMAN Benjamin - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
39 ROMANOV Ethan - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 3%
40 WOLFE Alex - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
41 DESTEFANO Julius - 1% 9% 32% 40% 17%
42 KARNAS Karol - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
43 WEI Zheng (Jonny) - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
44 DOWDELL Riley - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
45 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
46 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
47 GAO Zachary - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
48 KIM Jayden - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
49 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 11% 33% 38% 14% 1%
50 SONN Rohan - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 3%
51 CHEN Brian 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
52 MAHESH Tarun - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
53 THAKUR Om S. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
54 KIM Sullivan 2% 19% 41% 29% 9% 1%
55 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
56 KIM Nathan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
56 SAVORETTI Francesco - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
58 SONG Troy 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
59 ARAVIND Athreya - - 2% 13% 37% 40% 9%
60 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
61 CHOI Aleksey - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
62 SINGH Ravin - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
63 EMDEN André - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
64 MAO Benjamin 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
65 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
66 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
67 GAO Chaney C. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
67 MAJAM Brandon Audie 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
69 SINGH Aryaman - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
70 FU Leon - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
71 ESKRIDGE Caleb 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
72 ZHENG Jerry 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% -
73 LEE inwoo 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
74 KIM Ian 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
75 DURKIN Tristan E. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
76 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
77 CHIN Dylan A. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
78 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
79 GRAVES Lawson 7% 39% 39% 13% 2% -
80 PRAKASH Hari 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
81 GLENNON Sebastian J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
82 OTTO Nathaniel B. - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
83 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
84 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 11%
85 PAK Elliot - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
86 HU Robert J. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
87 CLICK Tristan - 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1%
88 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 1% 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
89 PETROV Niki A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
90 TRULL A.J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
91 SANTOS Antonio K. - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
92 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
93 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
94 PETERSON Matthew 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
94 NAKAS Levent - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
96 SHA Michael - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
97 ZHENG Andy 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
98 LIU Yueri 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
99 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
100 ARKHIPOV Peter 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
101 DHAL Leon 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
101 WANG Joey 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
103 BUI Henry 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
104 YE Gavin 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
105 ZHU Eric - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
106 ARMSTRONG TyLee 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% - -
107 SAVORETTI Pietro 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
108 SANTOS Francisco M. 5% 28% 42% 20% 4% - -
109 LEE DoWon 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
110 CHUNG Andrew 2% 22% 44% 25% 6% - -
111 LAI Boden 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
112 HEADRICK Lance 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
113 NOFZIGER Bennett 7% 37% 38% 15% 3% - -
114 CHHU Allen 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
115 FISHMAN Rahm 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
116 DODIN David - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
117 GANTSOUDES Isaac 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
118 DONAHUE Lake 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
119 KANG EUNWOO - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
120 CHEN Zhengyang - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
121 YU Jason 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
122 LEE Aiden 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
123 CHEN Bowen 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
124 SAUNIER Cameron 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
125 MCWILLIAMS Miles 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
126 CHOI Zachary 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
127 DAS Roshan 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
128 HULL Liam 67% 29% 4% - - -
129 SIEDOW William 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
130 MITEV Alexander - 6% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
131 HERNDON Liam 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% - -
132 HEADRICK Jack 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
133 MAROCHNIK Daniel 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
134 KIM Teddy 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
135 LAM Alan 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
136 MISHRA Milan B. 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
137 LIU Adam 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
138 CHADDA Ilyas - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
139 JU Hanul 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
140 PARK Sangwook 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
141 YU Austin 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
142 BUI Ryan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
143 PETERSEN Zachary 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
144 BORISENKO Samuel 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
145 OLSON Joseph 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
146 GOROZA Eric 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
147 MODANLOU Navid 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
148 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
149 BRODSKY Julian - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11% 1%
150 ARMITAGE Liam 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
151 SHAFFER Tyler 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
152 ZIEGLER John 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
153 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
154 SOKOL Luke 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
155 LOISEAU Oscar 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
156 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 5% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
157 HU Anton 10% 40% 37% 11% 1% - -
158 MIAO KUNQI 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
159 JIANG Matthew 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
160 ALI Farhan 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
161 STAUDINGER Enzo 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
162 MEGGERS Davin 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
163 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
164 KIM Remington 73% 24% 3% - - - -
165 LI zerong 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
166 RUIZ Jayden 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
167 JAIN Samyak 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
168 FRANGER Max 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
168 NOVOJILOV Daniel 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
170 AYOTTE James 24% 45% 25% 6% - - -
171 RAMSDELL Owen 63% 31% 5% - - - -
172 BAKKEN Archer 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
172 GUO Lucas 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
174 REID Wesley 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
175 DODDAPANENI Aarav 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
176 ROSIELLO Francesco 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.