March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
5 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
6 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
7 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
8 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
9 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
10 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
11 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
12 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
13 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
14 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
15 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
16 CAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
17 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
18 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
19 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
20 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
21 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
22 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
23 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
24 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
24 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
26 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
27 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
28 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
29 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
30 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
31 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
32 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
33 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
34 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
35 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
36 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
37 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
38 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 20% 2%
39 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
40 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
41 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
42 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
43 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
44 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
45 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
46 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
47 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
48 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
49 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 1%
50 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 3%
51 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
52 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
53 THAKUR Om S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
54 KIM Sullivan 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
55 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
56 KIM Nathan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
56 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
58 SONG Troy 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
59 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
60 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
61 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
62 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
63 EMDEN André 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
64 MAO Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
65 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
66 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
67 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
67 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
69 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
70 FU Leon 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
71 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
72 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
73 LEE inwoo 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
74 KIM Ian 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
75 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
76 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
77 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 11% 1%
78 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
79 GRAVES Lawson 100% 93% 54% 15% 2% -
80 PRAKASH Hari 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
81 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
82 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 13% 1%
83 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
84 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
85 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
86 HU Robert J. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
87 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
88 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
89 PETROV Niki A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
90 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
91 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
92 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
93 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
94 PETERSON Matthew 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
94 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
96 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
97 ZHENG Andy 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
98 LIU Yueri 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
99 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
100 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6%
101 DHAL Leon 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
101 WANG Joey 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
103 BUI Henry 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
104 YE Gavin 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
105 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
106 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
107 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
108 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 95% 67% 24% 4% - -
109 LEE DoWon 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
110 CHUNG Andrew 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% - -
111 LAI Boden 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
112 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
113 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
114 CHHU Allen 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
115 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
116 DODIN David 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
117 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
118 DONAHUE Lake 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
119 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
120 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
121 YU Jason 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
122 LEE Aiden 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
123 CHEN Bowen 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
124 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
125 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
126 CHOI Zachary 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
127 DAS Roshan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
128 HULL Liam 100% 33% 4% - - -
129 SIEDOW William 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
130 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
131 HERNDON Liam 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
132 HEADRICK Jack 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
133 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
134 KIM Teddy 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
135 LAM Alan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
136 MISHRA Milan B. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
137 LIU Adam 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
138 CHADDA Ilyas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
139 JU Hanul 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
140 PARK Sangwook 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
141 YU Austin 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
142 BUI Ryan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
143 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
144 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
145 OLSON Joseph 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
146 GOROZA Eric 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
147 MODANLOU Navid 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
148 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
149 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
150 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
151 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
152 ZIEGLER John 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
153 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
154 SOKOL Luke 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
155 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% - -
156 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
157 HU Anton 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% - -
158 MIAO KUNQI 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
159 JIANG Matthew 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
160 ALI Farhan 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
161 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
162 MEGGERS Davin 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
163 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
164 KIM Remington 100% 27% 3% - - - -
165 LI zerong 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
166 RUIZ Jayden 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
167 JAIN Samyak 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% 1%
168 FRANGER Max 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
168 NOVOJILOV Daniel 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
170 AYOTTE James 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
171 RAMSDELL Owen 100% 37% 5% - - - -
172 BAKKEN Archer 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
172 GUO Lucas 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
174 REID Wesley 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
175 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
176 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.