February NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 DOYON - VERDON William - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
6 KNOX James - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
7 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
8 SU Caleb - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
9 IMREK Elijah S. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
10 BEZRODNOV Michael - 2% 9% 28% 39% 22%
10 ZIEGLER John - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
12 DODIN David 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
13 YANG Boyan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
14 ZHAO Zidong 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
15 HAMZA Tudor - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
15 FAN Jackson - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
17 WOLFE Alex - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
18 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
19 YUE Hongrui - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 LAI Boden - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
21 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
22 DESTEFANO Julius - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
23 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
24 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 2% 21% 76%
25 STRAUSS Luke 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
26 BARG Jonathan - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
27 LO Jake - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
28 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
29 KIM Byung - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
30 LAM Alan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
31 TRAN Spencer 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
32 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
33 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
34 GINZBURG Adam - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
35 KIM Sullivan - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
36 DAVIDENKO Alexander - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
37 SVERDLOV Seth - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
38 KARNAS Karol - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
38 LEE Aiden 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
40 FU Leon - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
41 SENNEWALD James J. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
41 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
43 LIU Andy 3% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
44 ATKINS Levi H. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
45 PARKER Isaiah 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
46 RIGGINS Joshua - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
47 ARAVIND Athreya - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
48 TSE Maxwell - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
49 NORMILE Nicholas - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
50 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
51 DOUBOV Andrew 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
52 CHEN Brian 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
53 DHAL Leon - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
54 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
55 LASIYCHUK Nikita 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
56 DODIN Daniel M. 2% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
57 WU Alistair - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2%
58 KOKENGE Reid - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
60 TIKHONOV Ilia 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
61 MORIN-JIANG Jake 2% 23% 42% 26% 6% -
62 WANG Zichun 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
63 PARKE Nathaniel 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
64 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
65 LEE Stewart S. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
66 SONG Troy 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
67 IARIKOV Nicholas - 5% 22% 39% 27% 5%
68 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 2%
69 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
70 ROBINSON Samuel - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
71 LOISEAU Eliott - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
72 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
73 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
74 SOKOL Luke 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
75 XIA Dashan - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
76 CHEN Leonardo 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
77 LU Jacob 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
78 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
78 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 5% 25% 41% 24% 4%
80 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
82 HU Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
83 WANG Joey - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
84 JEONG Arisu 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
85 SAVORETTI Pietro 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
85 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
87 ALI Farhan 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
88 TAI Edison - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
88 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
90 LEE JoonWon 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
90 SHCHUR Grayson 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
92 TIKHONOV Daniel - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
93 WU Steven 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
94 DELONG Joshua 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
95 LIU Adam 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
96 WU Jonathan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
97 CHEW Aedan 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
98 ROMANOV Ethan - 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
99 SANTOS Antonio K. 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 1%
99 GAO Daniel - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
101 SAUNIER Cameron - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
102 DIECK Logan O. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
103 KUGLER Luke - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
104 LEE Royce 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
105 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
105 WANG Daniel - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
107 SETO Jing - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
108 KIM Ian 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
109 YU Austin 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 6% -
109 LEONG Rex 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
111 KARIMOV Amir 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
112 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
112 GAO Victor 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
114 CHOI Zachary - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
115 WONG King-Yee 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
116 LOISEAU Oscar 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
117 WANG justin - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
118 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
119 NAEMI Barsam 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
120 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
121 LI Jade 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
122 OSMAN Amjad 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
123 TOYOFUKU Ethan 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
124 ACAR Devin 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
125 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
126 FENG Du (Victor) 12% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
127 RIM Eugene 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
128 SINGH Ravin - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
129 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
130 HUANG Kenneth 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
131 JONES Reilly - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
132 HU Robert J. - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
133 MUENKE Magnus 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
134 SHCHUR Landon - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
135 HOWARD Jackson 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
136 YI Nathan 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
137 HEDGES Lux 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
138 SUH Aiden 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
139 BRADSHAW Carter 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
139 ZHENG Jerry 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
141 BOSS Evan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
142 OSBORN Hunter 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
142 EMMERT JP 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
144 MEHROTRA Neel 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
146 DANIELS Jonah 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
147 HERNDON Liam Herndon 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
147 ZHANG Austin 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
147 CHEN YiHeng 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
150 MIZRAHI Michael 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
151 AYOTTE James 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
152 KIM Henry 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
152 SHIN Ryan 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
154 KIM Remington 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
155 FORTUNA Chase 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
155 NALLICHERI Ayaan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
157 FEINBERG James Y. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
158 WILLIAMS Logan 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
159 LEE Aiden 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
160 LESCURE Dimitri 5% 24% 39% 26% 7% -
161 TOWNSHEND Connor 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
162 SIM Ian 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
163 CHEN Edward 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
164 KHRISSANOV Peter 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
165 HE Patrick - 2% 14% 34% 33% 13% 2%
166 JOHNSON Ryder - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
167 DUKO Phillip 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
168 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
169 ZHANG Jonathan 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
170 HE Bronto 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
171 KUSACTAY Eric 19% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
172 ROSIELLO Francesco 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
173 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
174 GLEN Ethan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
175 MCDOWELL Will 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
176 DOWD Peter L. 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
177 LIDSKY Phineas 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
178 JOBE Connor 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
179 LINDOW Connor 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
180 MUENKE Torben 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
181 DECKER Hunter 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
181 HU Jingsen 73% 24% 3% - - -
183 XIE Brandon 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
183 WANG Terry 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
185 ADDLEMAN Joshua 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
186 LI Timothy 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
187 YAO Tristan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
187 SUN Lucas 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
187 ZHOU alex 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
190 ZHANG Lucas 37% 42% 18% 4% - -
191 CAMP Ethan 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
192 LEE DoWon 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
193 MAY Ciaran 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
194 CHENG Trevor 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
195 GUO Woody 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
196 SWENSON Diego 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
197 RVACHEV Michael 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.