February NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
6 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
7 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
8 SU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
9 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
10 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15%
12 DODIN David 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
13 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
14 ZHAO Zidong 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
15 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
15 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
17 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
18 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
19 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
20 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
21 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
22 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
23 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
24 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
25 STRAUSS Luke 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
26 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
27 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
28 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
29 KIM Byung 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
30 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
31 TRAN Spencer 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
32 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
33 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
34 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
35 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
36 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
37 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
38 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
38 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
40 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
41 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
41 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
43 LIU Andy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
44 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
45 PARKER Isaiah 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
46 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
47 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
48 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
49 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
50 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
51 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
52 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
53 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
54 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
55 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
56 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 98% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
57 WU Alistair 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
58 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
60 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
61 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% -
62 WANG Zichun 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
63 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
64 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 16%
65 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
66 SONG Troy 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
67 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
68 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
69 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
70 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
71 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
72 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
73 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
74 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
75 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
76 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
77 LU Jacob 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
78 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
78 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
80 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
82 HU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
83 WANG Joey 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
84 JEONG Arisu 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
85 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
85 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
87 ALI Farhan 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
88 TAI Edison 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
88 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
90 LEE JoonWon 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
90 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
92 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
93 WU Steven 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
94 DELONG Joshua 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
95 LIU Adam 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
96 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
97 CHEW Aedan 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
98 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
99 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
99 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
101 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
102 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
103 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
104 LEE Royce 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
105 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
105 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
107 SETO Jing 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
108 KIM Ian 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
109 YU Austin 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
109 LEONG Rex 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
111 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
112 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
112 GAO Victor 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
114 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
115 WONG King-Yee 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
116 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
117 WANG justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
118 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
119 NAEMI Barsam 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
120 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
121 LI Jade 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
122 OSMAN Amjad 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
123 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
124 ACAR Devin 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
125 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
126 FENG Du (Victor) 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
127 RIM Eugene 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
128 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
129 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
130 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
131 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
132 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
133 MUENKE Magnus 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
134 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
135 HOWARD Jackson 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
136 YI Nathan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
137 HEDGES Lux 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
138 SUH Aiden 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
139 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
139 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
141 BOSS Evan 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
142 OSBORN Hunter 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
142 EMMERT JP 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
144 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
146 DANIELS Jonah 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
147 HERNDON Liam Herndon 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
147 ZHANG Austin 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
147 CHEN YiHeng 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
150 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
151 AYOTTE James 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
152 KIM Henry 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
152 SHIN Ryan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
154 KIM Remington 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
155 FORTUNA Chase 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
155 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
157 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
158 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% -
159 LEE Aiden 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
160 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
161 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
162 SIM Ian 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
163 CHEN Edward 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
164 KHRISSANOV Peter 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
165 HE Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
166 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
167 DUKO Phillip 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
168 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
169 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
170 HE Bronto 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
171 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
172 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
173 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% - -
174 GLEN Ethan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
175 MCDOWELL Will 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
176 DOWD Peter L. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
177 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
178 JOBE Connor 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
179 LINDOW Connor 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
180 MUENKE Torben 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
181 DECKER Hunter 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
181 HU Jingsen 100% 27% 3% - - -
183 XIE Brandon 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
183 WANG Terry 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
185 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
186 LI Timothy 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
187 YAO Tristan 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
187 SUN Lucas 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
187 ZHOU alex 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
190 ZHANG Lucas 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
191 CAMP Ethan 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
192 LEE DoWon 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
193 MAY Ciaran 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 5% -
194 CHENG Trevor 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
195 GUO Woody 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
196 SWENSON Diego 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
197 RVACHEV Michael 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.