USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
3 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
5 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
6 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
7 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
8 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
9 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
11 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
12 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
13 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
13 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
15 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
16 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
17 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
18 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
19 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
20 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
21 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
21 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
23 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
24 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 5%
25 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
26 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
27 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
28 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
29 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
29 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
31 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
32 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
33 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
33 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
33 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
36 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
37 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
38 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
39 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
39 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 10%
41 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
42 LAKE Wyatt J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
42 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
44 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
45 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 6%
46 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
47 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
48 LI Peihong 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 13% 1%
49 FLYNN Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
49 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
51 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
52 BAEK David 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
53 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
54 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
55 WOO Christian 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
56 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
57 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
58 GUO Sean 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2%
59 GEOGHEGAN Ronan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
60 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
61 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
62 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
63 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
64 XIANG Derrick 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
65 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
65 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
65 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
68 OH SEAN 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
69 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
70 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
71 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 10%
72 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
73 OUYANG Matt J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
73 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
75 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
76 ZHANG Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
77 ZHOU Leon 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
78 KANG Anthony Jaegu 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
79 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
80 TAN Christien 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7% -
81 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
82 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
83 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
84 WEEKS Richard P. 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
85 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
86 LIU Derek 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
87 NG Eben S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
88 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
89 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
89 HONG Issac 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
91 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
92 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
93 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
94 XU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
95 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 4%
96 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
97 BADLANI Dev 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
98 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
99 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
100 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
101 BAO Aaron 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
102 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
103 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
104 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 2%
105 SAGE Michael J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
106 TORRES Treston 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
107 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
108 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
109 JI Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
110 CANO Marcos E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
110 HEARN Christen J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
112 AROUH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
113 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
114 KHER Roan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
114 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
116 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
117 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
118 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
119 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
120 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
121 ROEVER Sean M. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
122 PIERCE Cody 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
123 CHOU Jared T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
124 WU Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 24% 4%
125 GAO Anthony 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
126 LI Matthew 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
127 LIN Michael 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
128 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
129 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
130 QIU Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
131 MA Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
132 PAE Brian L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
133 BARRETT Austin 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
134 ZHENG zhe 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
135 LIU Jacob B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
136 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
137 TSAO Lukas 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
138 RUBIN Max 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
139 DETERING Julian 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
140 LIN James G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
141 SONG Bryan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
142 ARICO Trey 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
142 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
142 YAO Bradley 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
145 SONG Austin 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
146 KNIZHNIK David 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% - -
147 BECKFORD Gavin "Bailey" 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
148 AHMED Yousef 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
149 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 1%
150 SAMI Usman S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
151 IVES William R. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
151 METTE Russell 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
153 OROSZLAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
153 SANTOS Carlos 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
155 HONG David 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
156 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
157 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
158 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
159 NG Micah 100% 99% 91% 59% 17% 2% -
159 SIU Aiden 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
161 KUSHNIR Aden N. 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -
161 TEH Ryan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
163 QIAN Jason H. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
164 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
165 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 80% 34% 7% - -
166 LI Jinghua E. 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
167 LIEW Jeremy K. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
168 LLIDO Soren 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
169 MASCARI DUMONT Louis 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
170 OH Joshua 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
171 TANG August L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
171 LUAN Tian 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
173 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
174 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
175 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12% -
176 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
177 KIM Andrew J. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
177 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
179 XU Ethan 100% 95% 63% 21% 3% - -
180 NICOLL James 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
181 WANG Brayden 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
182 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
183 GONZALEZ Joseph G. 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1% -
183 PONG Caleb J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
185 ZENG Chuyi 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
186 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
187 LIU Ethan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
188 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
189 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
190 GUO Justin 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
190 FUKUDA Diego 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
192 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
193 MYERS Dean 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
194 BURGOS Jacob R. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
194 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
196 RYNSKI Gerik 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
197 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 3% -
197 WU Trevor 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 2%
199 KIM Harrison 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
199 CAPRA Ethan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
199 JIANG Raymond 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
202 XIAO Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
203 HUANG Eythan 100% 92% 58% 15% 2% - -
204 WANG Jackson 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
204 BEAVER Aaron 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
206 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
206 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
208 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
209 SMITH Cooper 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
210 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
211 SHEN Owen 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
212 CHENG Ethan 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
213 PO Oliver 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
214 SMITH Grant D. 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
215 LEE Jonah 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
216 STONE Adam 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
217 FANG Jaden 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
218 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
219 POLONSKI Anthony 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
219 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% - -
221 NG Jeremiah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
222 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
222 NICOLL William 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
222 WANG Julang 100% 72% 25% 3% - - -
222 CAZALET George 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
226 QUINTERO Julian 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
227 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
228 TAPUS Andrei 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
229 LO Preston 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
230 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
231 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
231 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
233 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
233 BALAKIRSKIY Gabriel 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% - -
235 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
235 PROMRAT Pete 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
238 CHIN Ryan 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
239 METTAPALLI Tarun 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
240 HUSSAIN Ibrahim 100% 72% 28% 6% - - -
241 GAO William 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
241 WANG Ethan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
241 DEDENBACH Joseph 100% 97% 69% 28% 5% - -
244 ZHANG Alex 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
245 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
246 TAN Peter 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
247 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
248 AYALA Nayen L. 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
248 RANJITH Yash M. 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
248 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
251 MANASWI Atreya 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
252 SONG Jeremy 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
253 MA Bryant 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
253 PARK Stephen 100% 32% 5% - - - -
255 TANG Albert 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
256 ROSE Ben 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
257 FECHTNER Ezra M. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
258 KOKKER Thomas 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
259 LAI Twayne 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
260 GRINDEM Stuart 100% 36% 5% - - - -
261 CHEN JON 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
262 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
263 RODRIGUEZ Jr. Jorge 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
264 PERSINGER Charles B. 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
264 RAJ Jay 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
266 ZHONG Alan D. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
267 UHRMACHER Idris 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
268 PANTIN Ethan M. 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% 1% -
268 CHAN Justin D. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
268 MALHAM Andrew 100% 72% 24% 3% - - -
268 KEITH HUDSON 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
272 LONG Connor M. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
273 MARTIN Dexter 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
274 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 28% 3% - - - -
275 BECKER Julian 100% 42% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.