June NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 8:15 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
2 GRIFFITHS Ryan - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
3 HOYLE Jacob C. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
5 NOLLNER Dylan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
6 MUNLIN Donovan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
7 RODNEY Adam R. - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
8 RODNEY Maxwell 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
9 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
10 LANGE Henry C. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
11 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
12 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 4% 15% 29% 31% 16% 4%
13 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
14 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
15 WEISS Miles J. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
16 JIN Nicholas 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
17 MOORE Shomari A. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
18 IYOKI Kent - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
19 LIU Alexander - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
20 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
21 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% -
22 WEISS Lewis E. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
23 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 3% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
24 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
25 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
26 SMITH Dwight - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
27 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
28 GAIDAR Daniel B. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
30 MA Ark - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
31 LEE Ryan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
32 VERMEULE Spencer - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
33 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
34 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
35 YOO Justin H. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
36 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
37 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
38 POPOVICI Stefan N. 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
39 SHAH S Ayush 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
40 HILBERT Xavier - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
41 DAO Matthew M. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
42 SMOAK Omari Z. - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
42 HADDAD Justin R. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
44 JEONG Connor - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
45 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
46 STUSNICK Hunter - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
47 ANDREEV Arthur 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
48 LAWSON Henry A. - - 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
49 BISSINGER Michael P. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
50 JIN Owen 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
51 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
52 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
53 XU Zitong (Evan) 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
54 POPOVICI Michael A. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
55 YUMIACO Nolan C. 10% 28% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
56 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
57 SPITERI Gareth J. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 9%
58 CLICK Aiden 8% 26% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
59 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
59 SHENG Patrick Y. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
61 NORTH Gary S. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
62 SHARMA Sanil 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
63 GUI Runlin 13% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
64 RHYU Kozmo 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
65 WHITE Sean - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
66 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 1% 9% 31% 45% 15%
67 KRAFT Dennis A. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
68 CARPENTER Liam - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
69 CANDELA Nicholas - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
70 SPIER Julian H. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
71 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
72 ELLIS Yehia S. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
73 TAFOYA Devin D. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
74 ZHANG Joshua - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
75 CANDREVA Hunter R. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
76 SANDERS Ian W. - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
76 SCHULTZ Alex - 2% 14% 34% 36% 12% 1%
78 WALSH Kevin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
79 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
79 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
81 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
82 CAI Brian 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
83 SMITH William K. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
84 PRASAD Ankith 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
85 SAITOC Tudor - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
86 GAO Daniel 26% 45% 23% 5% - -
87 SMITH Justin C. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
88 HOLTZ Donovan K. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
88 SMITH Nicholas S. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
90 SILVER Cameron 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
91 DOLGONOS Mark - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
92 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
93 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 4%
94 PARK Ian C. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
95 MARAKOV Allen B. - 4% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
96 INSLER Ethan C. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
97 BEKKER Mitchel - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
97 CHONG christopher 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
99 GRABER Andrew J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
100 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
101 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
102 LI Brian X 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
103 LEHR William D. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
104 GIBSON Nowell L. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
105 KIM William M. 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
105 PARK Brian 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
107 SILVERS Noah E. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
108 IMREK Samuel A. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
109 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
110 PAHLAVI Kamran 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
111 KIM Ethan J. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
112 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 4% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1%
113 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
114 JONES Simon A. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
115 LIANG Aaron 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
116 KUMASHI Mihir R. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
117 ZHU Max 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
118 GANA Jr Jorge M. 3% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
119 TABLEMAN Doug S. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
120 YOUNG Peyton E. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
121 PARK Frederick 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
122 HONDOR Robert D. - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
123 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 17% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
124 SIMPSON Patrick 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
125 O'HARA Keegan J. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
126 ODEN Isaac M. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
127 GUINAN Joseph 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
128 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
129 DUNCAN Corwin - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
129 WIMMER Chandler M. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
131 KAMBESELES Jack M. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
132 JAIN Sarthak 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
133 LIN Ryan 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
134 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
135 ADLER Ian B. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
136 LEE Daniel Y. 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
137 IVAKIMOV Vasil 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
138 CHMUT Anton - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
139 KROPP Jack 10% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
140 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
141 HE Lawrence 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
142 KAMBESELES Peter G. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
143 PADHYE Siddhant 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
143 WU Joseph 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
145 SHIV Rishi 12% 44% 32% 10% 2% - -
146 EMARA Omar 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
147 GLAZ Nicholas S. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
148 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
149 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
150 MOSES Alexander 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
150 CUMMINGS Kai 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
152 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
152 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
154 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
154 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
154 LIU John 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
157 DEKERMANJI Christopher 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
158 BINDAS Odinn A. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
158 HENSAL Nicolas A. 8% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
160 ZHENG Haoran 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
161 GYURE Brayden H. 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
162 KIM Benjamin I. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
163 LEE Alexander G. 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
164 GREGORY Abram 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
165 LUKANYUK Lorence 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
166 GOLDFINE Ian J. 10% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
167 SMITH Jackson 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
168 LEE Shwan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
169 KRAVIT Connor B. 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
169 MUGA Boris 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
171 WU Byron 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
172 CHAWLA Armaan 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.