June NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 8:15 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22%
2 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
3 HOYLE Jacob C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
6 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
7 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
8 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
9 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
10 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
11 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
12 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
13 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
14 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
15 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
16 JIN Nicholas 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
17 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
18 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
19 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
20 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
21 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2% -
22 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
24 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
25 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
26 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
27 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
28 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
30 MA Ark 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
31 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
32 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
33 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
34 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
35 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
36 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
37 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
38 POPOVICI Stefan N. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
39 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
40 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
41 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
42 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
42 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
44 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
45 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
46 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
47 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
48 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
49 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
50 JIN Owen 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
51 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
52 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
53 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
54 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
55 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
56 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
57 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
58 CLICK Aiden 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
59 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
59 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
62 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
63 GUI Runlin 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
64 RHYU Kozmo 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
65 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
66 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
67 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
68 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
69 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
70 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
71 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
72 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
73 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
74 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
75 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
76 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
76 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13% 1%
78 WALSH Kevin 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
79 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
79 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
81 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
82 CAI Brian 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 4% -
83 SMITH William K. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
84 PRASAD Ankith 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
85 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
86 GAO Daniel 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
87 SMITH Justin C. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
88 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 18% 2%
88 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
90 SILVER Cameron 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
91 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
92 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
93 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
94 PARK Ian C. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
95 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
96 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
97 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
97 CHONG christopher 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
99 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
100 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
101 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
102 LI Brian X 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
103 LEHR William D. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
104 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
105 KIM William M. 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
105 PARK Brian 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
107 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
108 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
109 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
110 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
111 KIM Ethan J. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
112 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
113 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
114 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
115 LIANG Aaron 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
116 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
117 ZHU Max 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
118 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
119 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
120 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
121 PARK Frederick 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
122 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
123 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
124 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
125 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
126 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
127 GUINAN Joseph 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
128 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
129 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
129 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
131 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
132 JAIN Sarthak 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
133 LIN Ryan 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
134 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
135 ADLER Ian B. 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 10% 1%
136 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
137 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
138 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
139 KROPP Jack 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
140 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
141 HE Lawrence 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
142 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
143 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
143 WU Joseph 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
145 SHIV Rishi 100% 88% 44% 12% 2% - -
146 EMARA Omar 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
147 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
148 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
149 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
150 MOSES Alexander 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
150 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
152 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
152 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
154 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
154 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
154 LIU John 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
157 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
158 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
158 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
160 ZHENG Haoran 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
161 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
162 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
163 LEE Alexander G. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
164 GREGORY Abram 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
165 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
166 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
167 SMITH Jackson 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
168 LEE Shwan 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
169 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
169 MUGA Boris 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
171 WU Byron 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
172 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.