Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, April 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
2 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
3 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
5 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
6 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
7 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
8 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
9 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
11 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
12 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
13 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
14 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
15 LAI Boden 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
16 CHOI Zachary 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
17 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
18 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
19 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
20 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
21 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
22 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
23 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 15%
24 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 71% 24% 3%
25 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
26 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
27 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
28 LO Jake 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
29 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
30 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
31 DODIN David 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
32 DHAL Leon 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
33 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
34 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
35 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
36 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
37 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
38 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
39 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
40 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
41 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 95% 70% 27% 5% -
42 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3%
43 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
44 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
45 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
46 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
47 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
48 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
49 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16% 1%
50 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
51 KARIMOV Amir 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
52 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 8%
53 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
54 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
55 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
56 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
57 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
58 LEE Inwoo 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
59 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% -
60 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
61 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
62 DIECK Logan O. 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
63 BUI Henry 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% -
64 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
65 MATTIS George 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
66 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
67 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
68 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
68 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
68 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
71 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
72 WANG justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
73 WANG Joey 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
74 FU Leon 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2%
75 TSE Maxwell 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% -
76 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
77 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 10%
78 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
78 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
80 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
81 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 16%
82 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
82 LIU Adam 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
84 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
85 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
86 KIM Jayden 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
87 LAM Alan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
88 TRULL A.J. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
89 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
90 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
91 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 85% 39% 7% -
91 CHEN YiHeng 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
93 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
94 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
94 WU Alistair 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
96 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
97 SOKOL Luke 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
98 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
99 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
100 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16% 2%
101 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
102 CLICK Tristan 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
103 MITEV Alexander 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
104 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
105 LI Tristan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
106 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
106 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
108 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
109 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
110 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
111 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
112 HUANG Kenneth 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% 1%
113 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
114 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
115 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
116 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
117 MUENKE Magnus 100% 83% 29% 4% - -
118 ZIEGLER John 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
119 ACAR Devin 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
120 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
121 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
122 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 4%
123 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
124 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
125 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
126 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
127 AHMED Mohsen 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
128 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
129 SONG Troy 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
130 JAIN Samyak 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
131 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
132 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
132 LU Jacob 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
134 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
135 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
136 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
136 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
138 SINGLETON Aman 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
139 LIU Yueri 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
140 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
141 CHEN Edward 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
142 MIDYANY Evan 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
142 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
144 CORBIN Bennett 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
145 PARK Sangwook 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
146 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
147 LEE DoWon 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
148 TAI Edison 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
149 WANG Marcus 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
150 PARKER Isaiah 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
151 ALI Farhan 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
152 LEE Aiden 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
153 LI Jade 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
154 ZHANG Lucas 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
154 GRAVES Lawson 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
156 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
157 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
157 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
159 WU Steven 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
159 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
159 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
162 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
163 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -
164 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
165 YANG Gary 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
166 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
167 GLUSHKOV David 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
167 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
169 VOO Lucas 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
170 MODANLOU Navid 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
171 KUGLER Luke 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
172 MIAO Quentin K. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
173 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
174 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
175 CHEN Jayden 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
176 SINGH Ravin 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
177 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
178 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
179 HELMY Richard 100% 45% 7% - - -
180 LI Timothy 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% - -
181 YI Nathan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
182 DURKIN Hudson 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
182 KIM Henry 100% 95% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
184 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
185 KIM Gene 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
186 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
186 TANG William 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
188 JONES Reilly 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2% -
189 TRAN Spencer 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
190 LEE Stewart S. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% -
191 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 2% -
191 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
193 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
194 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
195 HERNDON Liam 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
196 AYOTTE James 100% 79% 29% 5% - - -
197 JEONG Arisu 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
198 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
199 KIM Ian 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
200 LI Jesse 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
201 LEE JoonWon 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
202 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 38% 4% - - -
203 NAKAS Levent 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
204 FU Nolan 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
205 CHEW Aedan 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
206 WU Johnny y. 100% 69% 27% 5% - - -
207 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 80% 27% 4% - -
208 WONG King-Yee 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
209 DECKER Hunter 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
210 SUH Aiden 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
211 CUELLAR Markus 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
212 PETINO Leonardo 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
213 SEEFELDT Henry C. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.