USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
5 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
8 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
9 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
11 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
12 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
13 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
14 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
15 BANERJEE Anup 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
16 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
17 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
17 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
19 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
20 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
21 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
21 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
23 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 9%
24 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
25 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
26 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
27 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
28 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
29 GAO William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
30 LI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
31 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
32 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
33 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
34 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
35 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
36 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
37 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
37 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
39 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
40 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
41 BAEK David 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
42 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
43 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
44 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
45 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
46 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
47 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
48 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
49 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
50 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
51 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
52 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
53 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
54 MA Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
55 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 14% 1%
56 REYES Omar 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
57 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
58 YOON DYLAN 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
59 LEE Jacob 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
60 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
61 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
62 LI Avery Peihong 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
63 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
64 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
65 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
66 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
67 GLASSON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
68 CO Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
69 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
70 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
71 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
72 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
73 OH SEAN 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
74 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
75 TORRES Treston 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
76 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
77 LING Eddie 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
78 WANG Winston 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
79 OH Jaden 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
80 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
81 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 14%
82 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
83 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
84 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
84 BADLANI Dev 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
86 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
87 LI Samuel 100% 98% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
88 GUO Sean 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
89 KNIZHNIK David 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
90 MIALL Steven A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
90 MIN Eric 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
92 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
93 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
94 LIN Michael 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
95 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
96 DORE Davis 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
97 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
98 LEE Lukas 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 4% -
99 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
100 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
100 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
102 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 4%
103 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
104 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
105 PAE Brian L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
105 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
107 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
108 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
109 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
110 MOHAMED Murad 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
111 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
112 GUO Justin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
113 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
114 LIU Derek 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
115 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
116 TAN Peter 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
117 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
118 SAGE Michael P. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
119 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
120 QIAN Jason H. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
120 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
122 WANG Ethan 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
123 LEE Christopher T. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
124 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
125 MA Bryant 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
126 WONG Jackson 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
127 FUKUDA Diego 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
128 SHAO Eric 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
129 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
130 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
131 WANG Mason 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
132 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
133 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
134 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
135 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 13% 1%
135 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
137 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
138 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
139 LYU Victor 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
140 WU Alistair 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
141 NGUYEN Liam 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
142 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
143 TAN Christien 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 7%
144 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
145 WANG Brayden 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
146 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
147 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
148 PAN Henry 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
149 LEVY Jacob 100% 99% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
150 LI Matthew 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
151 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
151 TALASILA Arush 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
153 LI Arvin 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
154 MYERS Dean 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
155 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
156 LO Preston 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
157 PO Oliver 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
157 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
159 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
160 ZHENG Zhe 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
161 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
162 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
162 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
164 KIM Harrison 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
165 TUAN Evan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
166 PONS Diego 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
167 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
167 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
169 SONG Austin 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
170 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
170 DEDENBACH Joseph 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
172 RAJ Jay 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
173 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
174 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
175 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
176 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
177 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
178 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
179 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
180 LIU Michael H. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
181 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
181 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
183 OLSON Emerson 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
184 NICOLL William 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
185 SMITH Grant D. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
185 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
187 PARK Gabriel 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
188 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
189 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
190 LIU Ryan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
191 SHEN Owen 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
192 GUTH Joseph 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
193 MATSAKH Philip 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
194 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
195 TANG Albert 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
196 KHER Roan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
197 PARK Sky 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
198 CAPRA Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
199 ZHAO Bowen 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
200 FLYNN Ian 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% -
201 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
201 NGUYEN Martin 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
201 TJON Calum 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
204 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
204 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
206 TSAO Lukas 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
207 STRINGER David 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
208 RENTERIA Emiliano 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
209 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
209 BARRETT Austin 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
209 LI Aaron 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
212 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
213 HUANG Eythan 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
214 SENIC Lucas 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
215 LLIDO Soren 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
215 KETTELLE John 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
215 EDISON Ansel 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
218 RNO Kyler 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
218 LI Ayren 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
220 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
221 XU Ethan 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% - -
222 ZOU Yuming 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
223 LEE Eugene 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
224 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 28% 3% - - - -
225 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
226 TANG August L. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
226 TEH Ryan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
228 LI Jett 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
229 FRANK Amir 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
229 ANDRIC Borna 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
231 REZA Farazi 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
232 NICOLL James 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
232 XU Andy P. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
232 MCISAAC Finn 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
235 GOKCE Ellis 100% 30% 4% - - - -
236 LE Jacob H. 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
237 WU Alber Y. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
238 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
238 IVANENKO Alex 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
238 FU Steven 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
238 BOYKO Miles 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
242 LEE Brendan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
242 FANG Jaden 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
244 WANG Brian 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
245 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
245 CHIN Ryan 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
245 SONG Noel 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
245 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
249 UHLIG Cole 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
250 KIM Brian 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.