The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

November NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, November 13, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
2 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
6 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
7 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
8 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
9 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
10 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
12 LAM Alan 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
13 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
14 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
15 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
16 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
17 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
18 JIANG Leon 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
19 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
20 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
21 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
22 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
22 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
24 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
25 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
26 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
27 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
28 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
29 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
30 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
31 BUI Henry 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
32 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
33 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
34 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
35 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
36 ALI Farhan 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
37 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
38 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
39 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
40 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
41 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
42 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
43 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
44 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
45 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
46 PANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
47 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
48 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
49 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
50 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
51 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
52 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
53 FRANGER Max 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
54 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
55 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
56 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
57 ERDMAN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
58 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
59 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
60 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
61 MUGA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 2%
62 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
63 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
64 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
65 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
66 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
67 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
67 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
69 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
69 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 7%
69 ZHAO Zidong 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
72 LU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
73 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
74 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
75 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
76 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
77 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
78 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
79 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
80 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
81 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
82 GRAVES Lawson 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
83 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 22%
84 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
85 WANG owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
86 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
87 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
88 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
88 TANG William 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
90 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
91 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
92 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
93 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
94 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
95 GINZBURG Adam 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
96 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
97 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
98 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
99 LEE Inwoo 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
100 MITEV Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
101 WANG justin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
102 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
103 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
104 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
105 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
106 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
107 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
108 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
108 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
110 REPIC Oliver 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
111 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
112 XIA Dashan 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
113 BARTELS Marc 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
114 WANG Joey 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
115 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
116 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
116 HU Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
118 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
119 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
120 NAKAS Levent 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
121 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
122 WANG Evan Haoxuan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
123 CHUNG Andrew 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
124 ZHU Eric 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
125 KIM Alexander 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
125 XIE Steven 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
127 COUSINS Cameron 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
128 DONG Haiyi 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
129 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
130 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
131 MCDOWELL Will 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
132 YU Austin 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
133 JAIN Samyak 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
134 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
135 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
136 SONG Troy 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
137 ZHENG Jerry 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
138 MIAO Quentin 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
139 KIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
140 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
141 VINOTH Aaron 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
142 LU Jacob 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
143 KENT V David 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
144 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
144 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
144 MEN Junda 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
147 DAN Rex 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
148 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
149 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
150 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
151 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
152 WONG Baron 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
153 LIU Yueri 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
154 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
155 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
156 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
157 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
158 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
159 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
160 HENSLEY Roran 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
161 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
162 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
163 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
164 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 12% 2%
164 JU Hanul 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
166 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
167 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
168 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
169 PARKER Isaiah 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
170 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
171 ANDERSON Kai 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
171 RAO Neil 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
171 RICHARD silas 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
171 WU Johnny y. 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
175 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
176 OLSON Joseph 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
177 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
178 KIM Joshua 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
179 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
179 HEADRICK Jack 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
181 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
182 RICE Timothy 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
183 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
184 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
185 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
186 LI zerong 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
186 NAEMI Barsam 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
188 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
189 ZHANG Roland 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
190 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
190 OLSON Kevin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
192 CHENG Trevor 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
193 LIU Bryan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
194 AYOTTE James 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
195 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
196 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
196 CHEN Luowen 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
198 CHEN Leetyan 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
199 THOMAS Michael 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
200 DECKER Hunter 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
201 LI Tristan 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
201 TRACY James 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
203 WU Alistair 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
203 LEE DoWon 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
205 LI Ethan R. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
205 SHILOV Maxim 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% - -
207 REID Wesley 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
208 COLEMAN Ian 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
209 POHL Philip 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
210 HERNDON Liam 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
211 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
212 KIM Teo 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
213 MILEY Walker 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
213 PATEL Avi 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
215 LEE Damien 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
216 DHAL Leon 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
217 HSU Joshua 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
218 YALAMANCHILI Anvith 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
219 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
220 MEGGERS Davin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
220 COHEN Nathan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
222 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
223 XU Wangzitai 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
224 LI Timothy 100% 27% 3% - - - -
224 PATEL Jayen 100% 35% 6% - - - -
226 PEREZ Daniel 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
226 LEE Benjamin 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
228 SIM Ian 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
229 GUO Woody 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
230 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
230 KIM Remington 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
232 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
233 SUN Neo 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.