October NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 2% 26% 72%
3 SHAN Simon - - - - 5% 31% 64%
5 KNOX James - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
6 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
7 GO Dongyeon - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
8 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 LIM Julien K. - - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
10 WOLFE Alex - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
11 YOON Youngdo - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
12 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
13 YANG Boyan - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
14 HAMZA Tudor - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
15 ATKINS Levi H. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
16 KUGLER Luke - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
17 RUBIN Daniel - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 18%
19 CAUCHY Eliot - 1% 10% 33% 40% 14% 1%
20 MANN Jake R. - - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
21 KATS Dylan G. - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
22 FAN Jackson - - 1% 10% 36% 44% 9%
23 HU Lucas - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
24 CHANG Andrew 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
25 PARK Sangwook - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
26 PRIHODKO Max - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
28 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
29 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
30 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
31 WU Johnny y. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
32 ACAR Devin 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
33 YUE Hongrui - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
34 IMREK Elijah S. - - - 3% 27% 70%
35 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
36 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
37 LAM Alan - - 1% 10% 33% 44% 12%
38 JEONG Soomin - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
39 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
40 DESTEFANO Julius - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
41 DIECK Logan O. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
42 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - - 6% 35% 59%
43 YOUNG Peyton E. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
44 GAO Daniel - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
45 BARG Jonathan - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
46 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
47 CORBIN Bennett 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 2%
48 TSE Maxwell - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
49 GRAVES Lawson 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
50 SVERDLOV Seth - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
51 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
52 BORISENKO Samuel - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
53 RIGGINS Joshua - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
54 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
55 DURKIN Tristan E. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
55 SONG Troy - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
57 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 4%
58 ZIEGLER John - 1% 7% 24% 40% 24% 5%
59 LEE Samuel Y. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 15%
60 CLICK Tristan - 6% 28% 41% 21% 3%
61 CHEN Edward 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
62 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
63 BRODSKY Julian - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
64 BUI Henry 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
65 ROMANOV Ethan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
66 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - - 4% 30% 66%
67 HU Robert J. - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
68 KOKENGE Reid - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
69 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
70 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
71 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
71 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
74 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
74 SANTOS Antonio K. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
76 BOUDREAUX James - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
77 IARIKOV Nicholas - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13%
78 XIA Dashan - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
79 TIKHONOV Ilia - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
80 KIM Byung - - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
81 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 2%
82 CHEN Jayden 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
83 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 2% 12% 37% 41% 8%
83 KIM Seojoon - - - 4% 23% 50% 23%
85 DHAL Leon - 2% 11% 32% 39% 14% 1%
86 KIM Nathan - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
87 ZHU Eric - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
88 KIM Jayden - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
89 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
90 VYSOTSKIY Evan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
91 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 6% 28% 54% 12%
92 SINGH Ravin - 2% 10% 29% 40% 18% 2%
93 SINGLETON Aman 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
94 TAI Edison - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
95 MAO Benjamin - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
96 KANG Taewoo - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
97 LEE JoonWon - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
97 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
99 NORMILE Nicholas - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
100 TRULL A.J. - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 7%
101 ZHANG Austin 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
102 CHEN Brian - - 3% 14% 36% 38% 9%
103 MITEV Alexander - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
105 WU Steven 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 2%
106 ZHENG Haoran - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
107 ALI Farhan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
108 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 7% 29% 43% 19% 2%
108 NOH Seungtae 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
110 REPIC Oliver - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
111 KIM Sullivan - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
112 LU Jacob - 2% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2%
113 LOISEAU Oscar 1% 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
114 SANTOS Francisco M. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
114 MCDOWELL Will - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
116 DOYON - VERDON William - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
117 MORIN-JIANG Jake 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
118 LEE Aiden - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
118 FU Leon - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
120 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
121 LOISEAU Eliott - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
122 TRAN Spencer 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
123 BREILING Nikki - 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
124 DODIN Daniel M. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
125 LOUIE Joseph 1% 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
126 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
127 DECKER Hunter 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
128 DU SHUNYU K. 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
129 SONG Jeheon - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
130 LIU Andy - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
131 XIE Brandon - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
132 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
133 KIM Gene - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
134 MILINKOVIC Maksim 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
135 SHCHUR Landon - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 5%
136 JOHNSON Ryder - 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
137 LEHNER Brian 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
138 LO Jake - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
138 CHOI Zachary - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
138 CHOI SEUNGWON 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
141 WU Jonathan - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
142 ZHENG Andy - - - 1% 13% 43% 42%
143 DANIELS Jonah - 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
144 WU Alistair - 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
145 LAI Boden - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
146 CHEN Leonardo - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
147 WANG Joey - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
148 MIDYANY Evan 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
149 CHONG christopher - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
150 ROBINSON Samuel - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
150 LI Grayson 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
152 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 1% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
153 ARAVIND Athreya - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
154 KE Sebastian 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
155 NALLICHERI Ayaan 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
156 CHEN Ryan 13% 39% 34% 12% 1% -
157 LIU Adam - 4% 19% 41% 31% 4%
158 KENT V David 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
159 JEONG Arisu 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
160 SU Caleb - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
161 NAKAS Levent 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
161 ZHANG Jonathan 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
161 SAVORETTI Pietro 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
164 DURKIN Hudson 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
165 YANG Gary - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
166 DAVIDENKO Alexander - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
167 LI Yunji (Rain) 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
168 LI Ethan R. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
169 SHA Michael 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
170 ZHAO kuncheng - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
171 LIANG Donny 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
172 CHEN Luowen 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
174 TOWNSHEND Connor 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
175 NAEMI Barsam 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
175 CHEN Jayden 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
177 LIU Yikun - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
178 JAIN Samyak - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
178 QIN Owen 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
180 LEE Inwoo 1% 27% 44% 24% 5% -
181 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
182 CAFASSO Alexander 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
183 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
184 SIEDOW William - 4% 20% 41% 28% 7% -
184 LEE Anton 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
184 DONDISCH ilan - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
187 SCHIEK Harrison 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
187 LEE Stewart S. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
189 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
190 WANG justin - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
190 GUO Luke 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
192 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
192 YI Nathan 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
194 LI Tristan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
195 LIDSKY Phineas 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
195 LEE Royce 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 1%
197 WONG Baron - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
198 SIM Ian 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
198 MUENKE Torben 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
200 TIKHONOV Daniel - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
201 GACIOCH Noah 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
202 GAO Victor 4% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
203 ADDLEMAN Joshua 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
204 SHOUSHA Hamza 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
205 LEE Aiden - 1% 7% 28% 40% 20% 3%
206 AHMED Mohsen 8% 36% 38% 16% 3% -
207 MUENKE Magnus - 3% 16% 37% 32% 10% 1%
208 LESCURE Dimitri - 6% 24% 39% 24% 6% -
209 QIAN Irvine 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
210 CHEN zhuoyang - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
210 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
212 WANG Zichun 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
213 HENSLEY Roran 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
213 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
213 KOFMAN David 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
216 WILLIAMS Logan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
216 CHEW Aedan 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
216 CHEN YiHeng - 19% 42% 30% 8% 1%
219 HUANG Kenneth 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
219 WANG Devin 7% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
221 ZHOU alex 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
222 HEADRICK Lance - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
223 TANG William 1% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2% -
224 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
225 SU Samuel 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
225 CHU Ted 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
227 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 10% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
227 MARENCIK Miles 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
229 LI Jade 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
229 LIU Yueri - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
231 NUTOVYCH David 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% -
232 ZHENG Jerry 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
232 DOUBOV Andrew - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
232 RONG Gordon 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
235 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
236 CHOI SIWON 59% 34% 7% - - - -
237 GOWDA Suyog 1% 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
238 CHENG Trevor 4% 27% 43% 21% 4% - -
239 LEE Daniel 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
239 SATHYAN Dev 32% 47% 19% 3% - - -
241 SCHWITZER Eliot 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
242 SEUNG HYUN SHIN 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
243 SHIN Ryan 5% 27% 41% 22% 5% - -
244 HSU Joshua 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
245 KIM Henry - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
246 DEVINENI Avyang 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
246 MARTISEK Martin 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
248 LI Ray 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
249 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 5% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
250 KARIMOV Amir - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
251 MULDOON Thomas 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
252 MIZRAHI Michael - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
253 KAPLAN Maddox 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
254 HERDMAN Julian 3% 46% 38% 12% 2% - -
255 PARKE Nathaniel 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
256 MODANLOU Navid - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
257 LI Timothy 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
257 HOWARD Jackson 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
259 YU Austin 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
260 LEE DoWon 3% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
261 CUMMINGS Owen 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
262 AYOTTE James 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
263 EMERSON Zachary 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
264 HU HAOYUE 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
265 GADHVI Darius 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
266 CHIN Dylan A. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
267 HERNDON Liam 1% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
267 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 11% 39% 34% 14% 3% - -
269 COLE Perrin 61% 33% 6% - - - -
270 GLUSHKOV David 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% - -
270 CARDENAS Lucas 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
270 GUO Woody 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
270 BREILING Sebastian 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
274 REID Wesley 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
275 KIM Remington 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
275 GLEN Ethan 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
277 RAHMAN Ali 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
277 HUANG Ethan 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
279 DAVIDSON James 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
279 SARMIENTO Luke 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
281 RONG Marcus 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
282 NILSEN Mark 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
283 KIM Ian 3% 28% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
284 NOLAN Tyler 10% 40% 37% 12% 1% - -
285 PETERSON Matthew - 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
286 JERKINS Gianni 77% 21% 2% - - - -
286 FRIEDMAN Andres 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
288 ZHAO Pierce 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
289 DEAN Samuel 64% 30% 5% - - - -
290 DEAN Isaac 92% 8% - - - - -
291 ROSIELLO Francesco 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
291 IBANEZ Benjamin 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
293 BRADSHAW Carter 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
294 HELMY Richard 10% 39% 37% 12% 2% - -
295 TUMULA Arihaan 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
296 HE Bronto 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
296 SUN Lucas 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
296 SUH Aiden 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
299 LIU Josh 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
299 FUNG SHAUN 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
301 ZHANG Luqi 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
301 CHAU Collin 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
303 YAO Tristan 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
304 DOWD Peter L. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
304 BAGDONAS Olivier 10% 33% 38% 17% 2% -
306 HAMILTON Travis 60% 34% 6% 1% - -
307 MECHREFE Anthony 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
308 AGGELER Donovan 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
308 LIN Daniel 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
310 MCALVANY Dashel 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
310 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 92% 8% - - - - -
312 LARSEN Max 62% 32% 6% - - - -
313 COIMBATORE Dillon 95% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.