October NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
3 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
5 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
7 GO Dongyeon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
8 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 LIM Julien K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
10 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
11 YOON Youngdo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
12 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
13 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
14 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
15 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
16 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
17 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 18%
19 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
20 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
21 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
22 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 9%
23 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
24 CHANG Andrew 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% 1%
25 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
26 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
28 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
29 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
30 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
31 WU Johnny y. 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
32 ACAR Devin 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
33 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
34 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
35 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
36 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
37 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
38 JEONG Soomin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
39 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
40 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
41 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
42 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
43 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
44 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
45 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
46 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
47 CORBIN Bennett 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
48 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
49 GRAVES Lawson 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
50 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
51 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
52 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
53 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
54 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
55 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
55 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
57 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
58 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
59 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
60 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
61 CHEN Edward 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
62 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
63 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
64 BUI Henry 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
65 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
66 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
67 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
68 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
69 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
70 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
71 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
71 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
74 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
74 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
76 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
77 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
78 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
79 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
80 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
81 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
82 CHEN Jayden 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
83 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
83 KIM Seojoon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
85 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
86 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
87 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
88 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
89 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
90 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
91 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 94% 65% 12%
92 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20% 2%
93 SINGLETON Aman 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
94 TAI Edison 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
95 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
96 KANG Taewoo 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
97 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
97 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
99 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
100 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
101 ZHANG Austin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
102 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
103 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
105 WU Steven 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
106 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
107 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
108 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 2%
108 NOH Seungtae 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
110 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
111 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
112 LU Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
113 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
114 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
114 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
116 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
117 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
118 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
118 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
120 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 4% -
121 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
122 TRAN Spencer 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
123 BREILING Nikki 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 10% 1%
124 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
125 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
126 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
127 DECKER Hunter 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
128 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
129 SONG Jeheon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
130 LIU Andy 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
131 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
132 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 3%
133 KIM Gene 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
134 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
135 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
136 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
137 LEHNER Brian 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
138 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
138 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
138 CHOI SEUNGWON 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
141 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
142 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
143 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
144 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
145 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
146 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
147 WANG Joey 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
148 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
149 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
150 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
150 LI Grayson 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
152 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 2%
153 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
154 KE Sebastian 100% 96% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
155 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 96% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
156 CHEN Ryan 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
157 LIU Adam 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
158 KENT V David 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
159 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
160 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
161 NAKAS Levent 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
161 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
161 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
164 DURKIN Hudson 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
165 YANG Gary 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
166 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
167 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
168 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
169 SHA Michael 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
170 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
171 LIANG Donny 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
172 CHEN Luowen 100% 97% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
174 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
175 NAEMI Barsam 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
175 CHEN Jayden 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
177 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
178 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 92% 67% 29% 5%
178 QIN Owen 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
180 LEE Inwoo 100% 99% 73% 29% 5% -
181 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
182 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
183 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
184 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 7% -
184 LEE Anton 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
184 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
187 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
187 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
189 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
190 WANG justin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
190 GUO Luke 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
192 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
192 YI Nathan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
194 LI Tristan 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
195 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
195 LEE Royce 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
197 WONG Baron 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
198 SIM Ian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
198 MUENKE Torben 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
200 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
201 GACIOCH Noah 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
202 GAO Victor 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% - -
203 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
204 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
205 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
206 AHMED Mohsen 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
207 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
208 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
209 QIAN Irvine 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
210 CHEN zhuoyang 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
210 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
212 WANG Zichun 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
213 HENSLEY Roran 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
213 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
213 KOFMAN David 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
216 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
216 CHEW Aedan 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
216 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 80% 38% 8% 1%
219 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
219 WANG Devin 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
221 ZHOU alex 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
222 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
223 TANG William 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
224 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
225 SU Samuel 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
225 CHU Ted 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
227 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
227 MARENCIK Miles 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
229 LI Jade 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
229 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
231 NUTOVYCH David 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
232 ZHENG Jerry 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
232 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
232 RONG Gordon 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
235 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
236 CHOI SIWON 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
237 GOWDA Suyog 100% 99% 66% 22% 3% - -
238 CHENG Trevor 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% - -
239 LEE Daniel 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
239 SATHYAN Dev 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
241 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
242 SEUNG HYUN SHIN 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
243 SHIN Ryan 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
244 HSU Joshua 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
245 KIM Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
246 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
246 MARTISEK Martin 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
248 LI Ray 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
249 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
250 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
251 MULDOON Thomas 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
252 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
253 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
254 HERDMAN Julian 100% 97% 52% 13% 2% - -
255 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
256 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
257 LI Timothy 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
257 HOWARD Jackson 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
259 YU Austin 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
260 LEE DoWon 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
261 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
262 AYOTTE James 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
263 EMERSON Zachary 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
264 HU HAOYUE 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
265 GADHVI Darius 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
266 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
267 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
267 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
269 COLE Perrin 100% 39% 6% - - - -
270 GLUSHKOV David 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
270 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
270 GUO Woody 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
270 BREILING Sebastian 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
274 REID Wesley 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
275 KIM Remington 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
275 GLEN Ethan 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
277 RAHMAN Ali 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
277 HUANG Ethan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
279 DAVIDSON James 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
279 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
281 RONG Marcus 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
282 NILSEN Mark 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
283 KIM Ian 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
284 NOLAN Tyler 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% - -
285 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 4% -
286 JERKINS Gianni 100% 23% 2% - - - -
286 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
288 ZHAO Pierce 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
289 DEAN Samuel 100% 36% 6% - - - -
290 DEAN Isaac 100% 8% - - - - -
291 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
291 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
293 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
294 HELMY Richard 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
295 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
296 HE Bronto 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% - -
296 SUN Lucas 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
296 SUH Aiden 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
299 LIU Josh 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
299 FUNG SHAUN 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
301 ZHANG Luqi 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
301 CHAU Collin 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
303 YAO Tristan 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
304 DOWD Peter L. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
304 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
306 HAMILTON Travis 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
307 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
308 AGGELER Donovan 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
308 LIN Daniel 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
310 MCALVANY Dashel 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
310 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 8% - - - - -
312 LARSEN Max 100% 38% 6% - - - -
313 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.