February NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 STRONG Sean T. - - - 1% 12% 49% 38%
3 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 KNYSH Oleg - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
5 ZHENG Andy - - - 2% 17% 51% 29%
6 YOO Justin - - - 4% 29% 66%
7 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
8 FAYEZ Ayman A. - - - - 3% 29% 68%
9 IMREK Elijah S. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
10 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
11 IVE Isaac L. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
12 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
13 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 5% 26% 55% 14%
14 BARG Jonathan 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
15 KAULL James T. - - 6% 36% 57%
16 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - - 4% 19% 46% 31%
17 KNOX James - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
18 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
18 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
20 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
21 IMREK Samuel A. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
22 WU Joseph - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
23 SPIER Julian H. - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
24 RIGGINS Joshua - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
25 JONES Reilly - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
26 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
27 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
28 TAI Edison - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
29 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
30 ZIEGLER John - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
31 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - 1% 12% 49% 38%
32 WANG justin 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3% -
33 SENNEWALD James J. - - 1% 5% 25% 45% 24%
34 FRAY Alexander - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
35 KULCSAR Viktor - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
36 ISAAC Joseph - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
37 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
38 IYOKI Kent - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
39 EAST William - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
40 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
41 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
42 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
43 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 4% 20% 47% 29%
44 SU Caleb - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
45 TIKHONOV Daniel 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
46 ATKINS Levi H. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 6%
47 KIM Benjamin I. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
48 SAUNIER Cameron 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
49 FAN Jackson - 6% 26% 40% 24% 3%
50 YASSEEN Mohammed - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
51 ALIMOV fayzulla - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
52 ROGAK Benjamin A. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
53 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
54 ROSE-JONES Simon - - 3% 21% 42% 28% 6%
55 NORMILE Nicholas 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
56 SPINA Joseph B. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
57 KIM Sullivan - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
58 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 2% -
59 WOLFE Alex - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
60 WU Jonathan - - 2% 13% 36% 36% 12%
61 SHCHUR Grayson 13% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
62 CHEN Leonardo 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
63 LI Jesse - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
64 MUENKE Magnus 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
65 DODIN David - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
66 KOKENGE Reid - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
67 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
68 MARSHALL John W. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
69 YUE Hongrui - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
70 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
71 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
72 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
73 LIBSON Tazman 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
74 SONG Troy - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
75 SETO Jing 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
76 MATTIS George 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
77 CARPENTER Liam 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 4%
78 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
79 LEE Aiden 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
79 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
81 GINZBURG Adam 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
82 MOORE Shomari A. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
82 THAYER Jake T. - - 5% 20% 37% 31% 8%
82 LO Jake - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
85 MORIN-JIANG Jake 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
86 CHOI Zachary 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
87 FU Leon - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
87 MIZRAHI Michael 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
89 IARIKOV Nicholas - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
89 DOUBOV Andrew 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4% -
91 ARAVIND Athreya - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
92 WEISS Miles J. - - - 1% 9% 44% 45%
93 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
95 DAVIDENKO Alexander - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
96 ROMANOV Ethan - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 2%
97 LASIYCHUK Nikita 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
98 NOWAK Jakub P. - 2% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1%
99 KHAYAT Ziad N. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
100 SANDERS Ian W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
100 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
100 BORISENKO Samuel - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
103 ZAYDMAN Ethan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
104 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
105 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
105 LANGE Henry C. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
107 NORTH Gary S. - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
108 GAO Daniel - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
109 CHEN Brian 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
110 SHELANSKI Isaac 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
111 MCDANIELS Jeremy - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
112 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - 5% 22% 40% 25% 7% 1%
113 SUH Aiden 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
114 LIU Adam 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
115 FULLERTON Houston T. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
116 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
116 DOYON - VERDON William - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
118 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
119 KROPP Jack - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
119 LU Jacob 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
121 GATZA Logan - 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
122 NEAL John P. 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
123 STRAUSS Luke 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
124 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
125 DESTEFANO Julius 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
126 TRAN Spencer 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
127 SMITH Nicholas S. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 2%
128 HU Lucas 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
129 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
130 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
131 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
132 CHONG christopher - 5% 28% 51% 16%
133 HILBERT Xavier - 10% 34% 40% 16%
134 KARIMOV Amir 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
135 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
135 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
137 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
138 HONDOR Robert D. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
139 LAM Alan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
140 KHRISSANOV Peter 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
141 LONCAR Luka E. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
142 YI Kyle 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
143 SHAH S Ayush - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
144 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
144 LEE Stewart S. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
146 TOLLEFSON Zachary 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
147 KIM Sterling S. - 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
148 HAMZA Tudor - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
149 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 1% 13% 37% 37% 13%
150 HUTTO Joshua 1% 9% 30% 39% 20% 2%
151 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
152 HU Robert J. 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
153 SERAFIN Ben 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
153 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 2% 26% 42% 25% 5%
155 SVERDLOV Seth 3% 29% 48% 19% 2%
157 KHANNA Nikhil 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
158 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 7% 44% 39% 9% 1%
159 WANG Joey 6% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
160 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
161 CHIEN Brandon - 1% 8% 29% 41% 18% 2%
162 LAI Boden - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
163 OSBORN Hunter 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
164 ZHENG Jerry 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
165 DEMPSEY Connor 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
166 LI Jade 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
167 LOISEAU Eliott 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
168 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
169 XIE Brandon 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
170 YU Austin 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
171 XIA Dashan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
172 PARKER Isaiah - 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
172 RIM Eugene 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
174 CHEW Aedan 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
175 SINGH Ravin 3% 18% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
176 WANG Daniel 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
176 DODIN Daniel M. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
178 BENACK Steven M. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
178 ALI Farhan 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
180 CAI Brian 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
181 KUGLER Luke - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
182 SINAI Nathan G. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
183 COX Matthew T. 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% 1%
184 ZELIN Sam J. 15% 41% 32% 10% 2% - -
185 SWENSON Keane J. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
186 LEE Aiden 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
187 PARKE Nathaniel 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
188 JOHNSON Jay 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
189 CANAUX Gabriel A. - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
190 FEINBERG James Y. 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
191 TSE Maxwell 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
192 KIM Henry 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
193 ACAR Devin 37% 42% 17% 4% - - -
194 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 32% 45% 20% 4% - -
195 MELCHER Jack H. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
196 BOSS Evan 78% 20% 2% - -
197 ELZAYN Hadi S. 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
198 WU Steven 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
199 HUANG Kenneth 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
200 TOWNSHEND Connor 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
202 TOOR Sukhwinderpal - - 4% 22% 44% 26% 4%
203 WESTPHAL David R. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
204 LESCURE Dimitri 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
205 LEE JoonWon 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
206 GAO Victor 14% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
207 WYATT Seth 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
208 DIECK Logan O. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
208 YANG Boyan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
210 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
211 THOMAS Samuel - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
211 NDJEKA Jesse - - < 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
213 WANG Zichun 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
214 MCDOWELL Will 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
214 CHO Alex 7% 31% 41% 19% 3% - -
216 DELONG Joshua 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
216 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
216 ADDLEMAN Joshua 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
219 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
220 BRADSHAW Carter 13% 39% 35% 11% 2% - -
221 ALI Adam 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
221 DUKO Phillip 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
223 SMITH Justin C. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
223 WU Alistair 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
225 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
226 LOISEAU Oscar 8% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
226 LEE Royce 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
226 HEDGES Lux 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
229 KARNAS Karol - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
229 LIDSKY Phineas 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
231 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
232 TIEMANN Landen 35% 42% 19% 3% - -
233 GOHEL Dayus T. - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
234 DISIMONE David Z. 7% 37% 38% 16% 3% - -
235 JOHNSON Ryder 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
236 SOKOL Luke 9% 35% 41% 14% 2% - -
237 HEDGES Philip S. - - < 1% 4% 22% 45% 28%
237 SHCHUR Landon - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
239 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
240 RVACHEV Michael 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
241 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
241 GLEN Ethan 65% 30% 5% - - - -
243 WANG Terry 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
244 GUO Woody 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
245 LEE Jayden J. 16% 48% 28% 7% 1% - -
246 YAO Tristan 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
247 LI Timothy 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
248 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
249 KIM Byung 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
250 KANAR Ian 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
252 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
253 COHEN Jared E. 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
254 AYOTTE James 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
255 CONKLIN Jim 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
256 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - < 1% 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
257 GERSEN Jacob 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
258 YI Nathan 25% 46% 24% 4% - - -
258 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 69% 28% 3% - - - -
258 ZHANG Austin 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
261 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
262 SMITH Troy H. 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
263 SIM Ian 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
263 CHEN YiHeng 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
265 CHEN Edward 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
266 DHAL Leon 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3% -
266 EMMERT JP 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
268 GROSSE Michael 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
268 KOEPPEL Levi E. 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
270 KILUK Andrew - 2% 12% 37% 36% 12% 1%
271 DECKER Hunter 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
272 DANIELS Jonah 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
273 GIBSON Nowell L. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
273 WONG King-Yee 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
275 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
275 OSMAN Amjad 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
277 LIOU Solomon - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
278 FENG Du (Victor) 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
279 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% - -
280 MOSES Alexander - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
281 KIM Ian 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
282 SAVORETTI Pietro 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
283 MENDOZA Zandro 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
284 JACKSON James 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3% -
285 CUMMINGS Kai 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
286 SNYDER IV William B. < 1% 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
287 ZHANG Jonathan 72% 25% 3% - -
288 WILLIAMS Logan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
289 CHENG Trevor 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
290 ROBINSON Samuel 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
291 TIKHONOV Ilia 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
292 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
293 ZHOU alex 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
294 TOWNSEND Avery S. < 1% 10% 34% 40% 16%
295 ZHAO Zidong 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
296 JENNINGS Adin 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
297 KIM Remington 64% 31% 5% - - - -
298 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
298 LEHNER Brian 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
298 LEE DoWon 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
298 HOWARD Jackson 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
302 ISAAC Mena < 1% 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
302 HE Bronto 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
302 LAWLOR Lee 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
305 KUSACTAY Eric 13% 56% 26% 5% - - -
306 SURESH NEERAJ 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
306 EVANS Grant 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
308 DOWD Peter L. 45% 42% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.