February NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
2 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
3 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
5 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 29%
6 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
8 FAYEZ Ayman A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
9 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
10 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
13 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 14%
14 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
15 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
16 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
17 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
18 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
18 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
20 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
21 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
22 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
23 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
24 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
25 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
26 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
27 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
28 TAI Edison 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
29 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
30 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
31 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
32 WANG justin 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3% -
33 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
34 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
35 KULCSAR Viktor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
36 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
37 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
38 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
39 EAST William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
40 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
41 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
42 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
43 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
44 SU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
45 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
46 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
47 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
48 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
49 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 3%
50 YASSEEN Mohammed 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
51 ALIMOV fayzulla 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
52 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
53 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
54 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
55 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
56 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
57 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
58 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2% -
59 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
60 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
61 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% - -
62 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3% -
63 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
64 MUENKE Magnus 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
65 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
66 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
67 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
68 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
69 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
70 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
71 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
72 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
73 LIBSON Tazman 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
74 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
75 SETO Jing 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
76 MATTIS George 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
77 CARPENTER Liam 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
78 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
79 LEE Aiden 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
79 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
81 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
82 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
82 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
82 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
85 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
86 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
87 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
87 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% - -
89 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
89 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5% -
91 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
92 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
93 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
95 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
96 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
97 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
98 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1%
99 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
100 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
100 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
100 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
103 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
104 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
105 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
105 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
107 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
108 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
109 CHEN Brian 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
110 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
111 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
112 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% 1%
113 SUH Aiden 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
114 LIU Adam 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
115 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
116 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
116 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
118 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
119 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
119 LU Jacob 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2% -
121 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
122 NEAL John P. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
123 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
124 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
125 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
126 TRAN Spencer 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
127 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
128 HU Lucas 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
129 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
130 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
131 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
132 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 95% 67% 16%
133 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 90% 56% 16%
134 KARIMOV Amir 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
135 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
135 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
137 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
138 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
139 LAM Alan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
140 KHRISSANOV Peter 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
141 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
142 YI Kyle 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
143 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
144 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
144 LEE Stewart S. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
146 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
147 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
148 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
149 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 99% 87% 50% 13%
150 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
151 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
152 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
153 SERAFIN Ben 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
153 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 98% 72% 30% 5%
155 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 97% 68% 21% 2%
157 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
158 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 93% 49% 10% 1%
159 WANG Joey 100% 94% 65% 26% 4% -
160 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
161 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20% 2%
162 LAI Boden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
163 OSBORN Hunter 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
164 ZHENG Jerry 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
165 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
166 LI Jade 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
167 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 94% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
168 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
169 XIE Brandon 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
170 YU Austin 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
171 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
172 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
172 RIM Eugene 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
174 CHEW Aedan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
175 SINGH Ravin 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
176 WANG Daniel 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
176 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
178 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
178 ALI Farhan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
180 CAI Brian 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
181 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
182 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
183 COX Matthew T. 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
184 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
185 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
186 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
187 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
188 JOHNSON Jay 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
189 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
190 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -
191 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
192 KIM Henry 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
193 ACAR Devin 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
194 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
195 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
196 BOSS Evan 100% 22% 2% - -
197 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% -
198 WU Steven 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
199 HUANG Kenneth 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
200 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
202 TOOR Sukhwinderpal 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29% 4%
203 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
204 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
205 LEE JoonWon 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
206 GAO Victor 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
207 WYATT Seth 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
208 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
208 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
210 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
211 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
211 NDJEKA Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
213 WANG Zichun 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
214 MCDOWELL Will 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
214 CHO Alex 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% - -
216 DELONG Joshua 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% - -
216 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
216 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
219 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
220 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
221 ALI Adam 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
221 DUKO Phillip 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
223 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
223 WU Alistair 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
225 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
226 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 92% 56% 19% 4% - -
226 LEE Royce 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
226 HEDGES Lux 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
229 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
229 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
231 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
232 TIEMANN Landen 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
233 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
234 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
235 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
236 SOKOL Luke 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% - -
237 HEDGES Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
237 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
239 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
240 RVACHEV Michael 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
241 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% 1% -
241 GLEN Ethan 100% 35% 5% - - - -
243 WANG Terry 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
244 GUO Woody 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
245 LEE Jayden J. 100% 84% 35% 7% 1% - -
246 YAO Tristan 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
247 LI Timothy 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
248 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
249 KIM Byung 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
250 KANAR Ian 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
252 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
253 COHEN Jared E. 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% -
254 AYOTTE James 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
255 CONKLIN Jim 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
256 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
257 GERSEN Jacob 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
258 YI Nathan 100% 75% 29% 4% - - -
258 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 31% 3% - - - -
258 ZHANG Austin 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
261 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
262 SMITH Troy H. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
263 SIM Ian 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
263 CHEN YiHeng 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
265 CHEN Edward 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
266 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
266 EMMERT JP 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
268 GROSSE Michael 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
268 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
270 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 13% 1%
271 DECKER Hunter 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
272 DANIELS Jonah 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
273 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
273 WONG King-Yee 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
275 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
275 OSMAN Amjad 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
277 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 12% 1%
278 FENG Du (Victor) 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
279 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% - -
280 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
281 KIM Ian 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% - -
282 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
283 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
284 JACKSON James 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4% -
285 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
286 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
287 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 28% 3% - -
288 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
289 CHENG Trevor 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
290 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
291 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 99% 85% 50% 14% 1%
292 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
293 ZHOU alex 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
294 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 90% 56% 16%
295 ZHAO Zidong 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
296 JENNINGS Adin 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
297 KIM Remington 100% 36% 5% - - - -
298 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
298 LEHNER Brian 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
298 LEE DoWon 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
298 HOWARD Jackson 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
302 ISAAC Mena 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
302 HE Bronto 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
302 LAWLOR Lee 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
305 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 87% 31% 5% - - -
306 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
306 EVANS Grant 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
308 DOWD Peter L. 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.